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Tobi Lütke is still captivated by internet commerce, 20 years later

6 Oct 2025 · 1h 42m · Tobi Lütke, John Collison · 23 quoted facts

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In brief

Tobi Lütke argues that a company is itself a technology, and that its internal software shapes its culture more than policies or incentives do. Shopify builds its own tools, such as the GSD project registry, because tools change the environment instantly. He applies the same view to commerce: software for merchants should make entrepreneurship simple and keep them current through platform shifts like agentic commerce.

The tension is between what can be measured and what cannot. Lütke contrasts stopwatch-style efficiency management with the unmeasurable work of taste, quality and caring about a problem. He says Shopify's tooling, Shop Pay, engineering for traffic spikes and stablecoin payments all follow from caring about a problem more deeply than others. The pull toward bespoke tools can also lead Shopify into areas where it should not build.

Key insights

  1. Internal tools reshape a company faster than policy

    Lütke says a change to the GSD software becomes part of the working environment immediately, while a new policy needs town halls and persuasion. That makes opinionated internal software the fastest way to evolve a company's culture.

  2. A central project registry makes progress visible

    GSD holds every project, deadline and update in one system, and teams report to Lütke at least every eight weeks. Both hosts say this sounds too simple to matter but works.

  3. Traffic spikes from drops forced Shopify to scale

    A 2010 merchant, The Chive, repeatedly took Shopify down when it ran sales. Shopify chose to rebuild its systems to handle the spikes rather than drop the customer, and later spikes came from Supreme and Kylie Jenner.

  4. Quality products, not fewer purchases, answer consumerism

    Lütke argues people throw things away because the things are cheap and fall apart. A durable product, like a universal travel adapter, ends the cycle of repurchase.

  5. Caring about one problem beats expanding sideways

    Lütke says early VCs turned him down because there were only about 40,000 online stores. Shopify's product removed the friction that kept that number small. He cites Nvidia's long bet on CUDA as the same pattern.

Questions

What is agentic commerce and how is Shopify getting ready for it?

Agentic commerce means AI assistants such as ChatGPT finding and buying products for you. Lütke says Shopify's role is infrastructure: it is connecting every store to the AI chat systems through an MCP connection (a standard way for AI tools to talk to software) and building a global product catalog.

Why does Tobi Lütke think companies are a form of technology?

He says a company creates social acceptance for many people to spend their whole day pursuing one mission together, much as universities give people time for intellectual inquiry. Like other technology, it can be designed and improved.

Why did Shopify build its own HR software?

Lütke says Shopify has different ideas about compensation than software like Workday assumes, and some of those could not be done in Workday. John Collison adds that software carries a worldview and shapes the decisions of the company that uses it.

How does Shop Pay work and why does it matter?

Shop Pay began as a 'Remember Me' checkbox so shoppers did not have to type their address on a phone at every store. Lütke says it is Shopify's most converting feature, with a 16% conversion increase.

How is Shopify planning to accept stablecoins?

Lütke says Shopify is working to let all its stores take stablecoins (digital tokens pegged to the US dollar). Through Bridge, a Stripe company, payments settle into US dollars, so merchants do not have to change their business. Shopify is testing to make sure conversion rates do not fall.

Facts

Stated by the speakers. Each quote matches the transcript, which shows what was said, not that it is true.

Tobi Lütke says the core of Shopify's codebase is about 20 million lines of code, with several million more in its TypeScript admin interface.

“the sort of core part of Shopify, with all the, like, minor stuff like the identity system and all these kind of things is like 20 million lines of code”

0:01:16 · Tobi Lütke · Shopify codebase

Tobi Lütke says Shopify began as internal software built to run his own snowboard store.

“Shopify itself started out as internal software to power my Snowbot store.”

0:10:07 · Tobi Lütke · Shopify origins

Shopify runs an internal system called GSD, short for 'getting shit done', that works as its wiki, feed and central registry of every project.

“an internal system called GSD getting shit done. it's the central registry clearinghouse it's our wiki it's our feeds and stuff like this but it also has every project in it”

0:07:27 · Tobi Lütke · Internal tools

Frederick Taylor introduced the stopwatch to time production steps at Bethlehem Steel, which Lütke credits with driving large efficiency gains.

“Frederick Taylor came up and brought the wonderful new technology of a stopwatch to the production line and timed the various steps.”

0:05:08 · Tobi Lütke · Scientific management · 1800s

Tobi Lütke says The Chive was the first merchant whose flash sales took Shopify down, around 2010.

“The one that did it for us first, it was like something in 2010, it was a business called The Chive”

0:28:49 · Tobi Lütke · Flash sales · 2010

Lütke says Shopify considered dropping The Chive as a customer but decided instead to rebuild its systems to handle such demand.

“we clearly need to fire the customer and decided, no, absolutely not. We're using this as a gem and we're going to use them.”

0:29:53 · Tobi Lütke · Scaling decisions · 2010

Lütke says lock contention, where many buyers try to reduce the same inventory number at once, is a core scaling problem for Shopify checkouts.

“It's very, very hard to scale if everyone at the same time wants to decrement an integer in the database”

0:32:51 · Tobi Lütke · Lock contention

Lütke cites the wooden-pallet supply industry as a $60 billion a year business to illustrate the size of retail.

“My favorite stat is that the companies, the industry supplying wooden pallets to warehouses is a $60 billion a year industry.”

0:21:59 · Tobi Lütke · Retail scale

Tobi Lütke says Shopify helped one of its customers grow to $1 billion in revenue.

“We ended up raising one of our customers to $1 billion of revenue.”

0:22:35 · Tobi Lütke · Merchant growth

Shop Pay began life as a feature called Remember Me, named after its checkbox.

“ShopPay. ShopPay's awesome. It started out this life as a feature called Remember Me, which is literally what was on the checkbox.”

0:49:18 · Tobi Lütke · Shop Pay

Tobi Lütke says Shop Pay produces a 16% increase in checkout conversion.

“it's like it's a 16 % conversion increase by it being robbed, right? So it's a remarkable product now”

0:51:42 · Tobi Lütke · Shop Pay

Lütke notes that HTTP includes a 402 'payment required' status code that was never widely implemented.

“there's the 402 error code, payment required, right? It's like built into HTTP standard and no one ever implemented it.”

0:50:25 · Tobi Lütke · HTTP 402

John Collison dates the Stripe–Shopify partnership to around 2011–2012, about 13 years of working together.

“I mean, I guess if you dated 2012, which I think is like maybe 2011, 2012, like 13 years, it's certainly more tenured than some.”

0:59:50 · John Collison · Stripe partnership · 2012

Lütke credits Kevin Kelly's essay on 1,000 true fans, written in the early 2000s, as the idea behind niche commerce online.

“Kevin Kelly wrote about this in the early 2000s. He wrote an essay of a thousand true fans, and the internet is about finding your thousand true fans”

0:54:13 · Tobi Lütke · 1,000 true fans · early 2000s

Lütke says a venture investor declined to fund Shopify in 2008 because only about 40,000 online stores existed.

“the reason why you didn't invest is like you said there's 40 ,000 online stores in the world right now in 2008”

1:03:38 · Tobi Lütke · Fundraising · 2008

Lütke says Shopify's stablecoin payments settle into US dollars through Bridge, so merchants need no strategic change.

“because through the work that Bridge is doing, we can settle into US dollars directly”

0:57:16 · Tobi Lütke · Stablecoin payments

Lütke says VS Code was Erich Gamma's fourth code editor, and that Gamma also wrote the Design Patterns book.

“VS Code is Erich Gamma's fourth editor. It's like he spent his entire life making these things.”

1:04:45 · Tobi Lütke · Craftsmanship

Lütke says Nvidia's CUDA platform existed for about ten years before AlexNet was trained on it.

“CUDA was not even, like, that was around for 10 years before AlexNet got trained.”

1:06:15 · Tobi Lütke · Nvidia CUDA

Lütke says Coinbase faced intense regulatory attack, and he praises CEO Brian Armstrong's handling of it.

“that's like, they went through like, the government wanted them dead.”

1:14:25 · Tobi Lütke · Coinbase regulation

Lütke says that as a student he wrote software to learn Latin vocabulary, similar to spaced repetition, and his grades rose.

“at some point, I wrote software for teaching myself, basically similar to, I suppose, what's called spaced repetition now.”

1:29:00 · Tobi Lütke · Early programming

Tobi Lütke says Shopify is Canada's largest company by market cap and that he built it as an immigrant.

“I built Canada's largest company now at this point by market cap as an immigrant.”

1:32:40 · Tobi Lütke · Shopify scale

Lütke says the Bruce Nuclear Power Plant in Ontario is about six to seven gigawatts and has expanded with reactors built under budget.

“It's like the Bruce Nuclear Power Plant, which we constantly build more reactors for, which is like every time under budget and before schedule, like six, seven gigawatts now”

1:35:13 · Tobi Lütke · Canadian nuclear power

Lütke says the 24-hour Daytona race, which he is racing in, is the race that opens the Formula One film.

“So one car, 24. It's actually, if you watch the Formula One cinema movie, that starts at that race.”

1:39:05 · Tobi Lütke · Daytona 24

Chapters

  1. 0:01:16Shopify's giant codebase and its review system

    Lütke describes how large Shopify's software is and how a dedicated internal system supports reviewing thousands of projects.

    “It's apparently one of the largest TypeScript applications and definitely the largest Ruby application.”
  2. 0:07:27Measuring teams: GSD and regular reviews

    Lütke explains how to judge R&D teams when output is hard to measure: put every project in a shared system and review often.

    “have rituals by which we talk every, I mean, at the latest, every eight weeks”
  3. 0:15:24Why the environment beats policy

    Lütke argues that software shapes culture faster than incentives or policies and describes Shopify's vision for merchants.

    “it's the environment that I think we have a lot more power over.”
  4. 0:28:49Drops, load spikes and lock contention

    Shopify's early outages under flash-sale demand pushed it to engineer for peak load and to work through database lock contention.

    “it was like something in 2010, it was a business called The Chive”
  5. 0:35:45Agentic commerce and personalization

    The two discuss how AI assistants could become shopping channels and what that means for search, personalization and small merchants.

    “an MCP connected to every Shopify store and a global catalog”
  6. 0:49:18Shop Pay and advertising-fuelled merchants

    Shop Pay's origin and conversion gains are tied to how personalized advertising helped niche merchants grow.

    “It started out this life as a feature called Remember Me”
  7. 1:00:05Stablecoins and the Stripe partnership

    Shopify is adding stablecoin payments, and the hosts reflect on why the long Stripe–Shopify partnership has lasted.

    “tech is extraordinarily bad at partnerships”
  8. 1:15:52Coinbase board and ungovernable founders

    Lütke says serving on Coinbase's board gave him a reference point for his own company and explains how he avoids being managed up to.

    “I think great entrepreneurs are ungovernable.”
  9. 1:32:40Entrepreneurship, programming and Canada

    Lütke describes how he started programming, what teenagers should practice, and what he thinks Canada should do to grow.

    “I built Canada's largest company now at this point by market cap as an immigrant.”
  10. 1:37:47Motor racing and Formula One

    Lütke explains why racing appeals to him, and the conversation turns to Formula One as a made-up entertainment product.

    “I race in races, and I don't even try to win.”

Transcript

0:00:00
Tobi Lütke

The best gift in life is finding a beautiful problem that you can never solve. And even if you accidentally solve it, if you're so unfortunate to solve it, hopefully it has plenty of enlightened problem children. Consumerism is a thing that is being thrown around, but where does it come from? They throw away things because they hate the things that they have. The thing that solves consumerism is quality products. Personalized ad is a wonderful thing. I am scrolling past something that's monetizing the free application that I appreciate using.

0:00:31

You should tell the EU this. Yes, well, I do, actually. Some people fall in love with solutions, some people fall in love with problems. And I just, like, fundamentally am a person who appreciates the people who fall in love with problems. But, like, it's very hard to know who is who. Because, well, if you don't change anything, they look exactly the same. Disappointing you only have half an Irish problem.

0:00:52
John Collison

Oh, this, Ash? Well, this is our MVP. when we weren't even sure this would be a thing. Tobi Lütke launched Shopify in 2006. We've been working closely with them for over a decade, and I always enjoy getting together with Toby, and I always learn a lot. Cheers. Cheers. OK, many places I could start. What's the size of the code base in as much as, you know, how would you do the vendor stuff, whatever?

0:01:16
Tobi Lütke

I think the sort of core part of Shopify, with all the, like, minor stuff like the identity system and all these kind of things is like 20 million lines of code, and then the TypeScript written admin interface is like another, I think, 8, 9, 10. It's apparently one of the largest TypeScript applications and definitely the largest Ruby application. So we pushed it into pretty uncharted territories for our tech stacks. It does so much. It's like a full fintech business in there with capital and these kind of things and all of what we are doing together.

0:01:48

And my company adopts the real-life messy complexities of the commerce world into itself to then front it with approachable interfaces, things that don't, you know, just making all the pieces fit together. And so that requires a lot of work. So there's like thousands of projects going on at any given time. So going through all of them is work. But we have a good system. We have like a product operations team that prepares for it. We have an internal system that's just for the reviews, which is actually kind of cool.

0:02:21
John Collison

What does the system do?

0:02:23
Tobi Lütke

So I'm fascinated with companies. I think companies are underappreciated by the, for the, like, just, we don't think of that, generally. It's like, you know, companies are technology themselves. They are technology by which you create, part of what they create is social acceptance for, you know, people, maybe tens of people, hundreds of people, thousands, tens of thousands, people, depending, to spend all their day pursuing a mission together. You know, it's like, it's really just like universities exist giving you time that you can use for like, hopefully intellectual inquiry into some topic and everyone's cool with that.

0:03:03

Although if you try to do the same thing, you know, just with your laptop on the internet all day long, has not nearly the same social acceptance, may also be valuable. And then companies are ones that allow people, a lot of people together to, you know, try to make your car like a pursue a mission or create something hopefully world class. So, I think companies are understudied and also the sort of incentive system behind companies tends to be that there's no absolute need for perfecting them.

0:03:33

There's just like, you've got to be better than everyone else. And at some point in many industries, if you get ahead, it's really, really hard for the others to catch up. And so, there's sort of a point equilibrium at which point you just - Because you're good enough and so there isn't pressure to get better beyond some points. Yeah, I mean, I just, I mean, take an absolute example. I talked with some executives in the gold mining space, right?

0:03:55

It's just like really sort of interesting because I'm like, what is your day like? Like the same question. It's like, it's like much more interesting.

0:04:00
John Collison

And what is a gold mining executive?

0:04:02
Tobi Lütke

It's just like, I mean, my conclusion, which wasn't maybe what he was trying to guide me to, was essentially government relations or investor relations. You know, like if you're, you know, like you know how much is in the ground, you know, So it's a capital play. But somehow, if the investors like you better, then you get a higher multiple, at which point it behooves you to purchase all the other gold mines really quickly. So I imagine this involves playing golf.

0:04:28

That's probably the technology there.

0:04:31
John Collison

Is one of the conundrums for you, as someone who thinks about companies and organizations a lot, the lack of measurability of R &D, which is probably half of what Shopify spends its money on is R &D. And so if you're running a factory, it's pretty easy to measure the inputs and outputs and, you know, how many widgets are we producing per hour and what's the labor efficiency and everything like that. It's very measurable. Whereas when you're building software, it's like, I don't know, we put a bunch of engineers on it and hopefully in like six months they have a great product out there in the market.

0:05:01

But the intermediate measure is, yeah, you can measure like pull requests per engineer per day or whatever. And everyone knows it's like a very broken proxy.

0:05:08
Tobi Lütke

I have lots of thoughts on this specifically. I would love to actually know how you think about this too. So traditionally, when you look back in business history, about when people got a little bit scientific about business or actually started to improve them, clearly it all started sort of vibes-based. And then Frederick Taylor came up and brought the wonderful new technology of a stopwatch to the production line and timed the various steps. And, of course, produced business, I think, Bethlehem Steel, end of the 1800s, and drove massive efficiency gains.

0:05:37

And so that's like the hero's journey of business books.

0:05:41
John Collison

And there's still so much of the corporate culture today, right? It's how org charts tend to be structured. It's how the financial statements are. The kind of business that financial statements are optimized for is kind of a factory.

0:05:51
Tobi Lütke

In a world where almost no company was terribly conscientious and no company was metabolized all the value available to them, someone starting to hill climb some source of efficiency gains or just becoming a better company was a breathtaking change. Once someone starts hill climbing, everyone has to or gets left behind. So that became the story. And it's remarkable to think that that was probably good enough for probably 80 years or 90 years from this point on.

0:06:26
John Collison

It's a lean, basically, which is the 2 .0 of that.

0:06:29
Tobi Lütke

Exactly. So you said it was a car industry with, exactly, Toyota and so on. and we just, there's some new ideas came on, but they were all around this drive for efficiency. The downside of a drive to efficiency is that it requires you to act on quantifiable. You can only measure what you can measure, like, semantically. So that's not the entire, like, the space of how to make better companies. Like, there's a huge amount of things that are unquantifiable, but taste.

0:07:01

Like, quality is hard to quantify.

0:07:03
John Collison

Well, not only that, because those are the obvious examples of uncountifiables. But the big one is, I'm curious, there's a team at Shopify that's doing a great job of their product, and there's a team that's lost and has kind of a woolly direction, and actually their dev tools suck. And so it's very hard for them to make forward progress, and they're thrashing if the lots of keep the lights on work. Just how do you distinguish between the team that's struggling and the team that's executing really well?

0:07:27
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I think that's, I mean, this is why the question in my mouth is, I should go to, I don't know. Here's what I found works, is have rituals by which we talk every, I mean, at the latest, every eight weeks. And so let the teams talk about the progress against the goal. It's like the new, like we have an internal system called GSD getting shit done. it's the central registry clearinghouse it's our wiki it's our feeds and stuff like this but it also has every project in it and so it's built around teams updating everyone else registering here's something we learned and so that was step number one let's get all get the actual state of a business into

0:08:15

a legible internal system so that you can reason about it where is every project, what's the deadlines, what has changed. And so this is what these reviews are about. So we go, like, this is what we have on the screen. They get a little TL draw that they can drag images and mockups and everything into, but that's their area. But, like, all the metrics and all the things are, like, around the edge on the screen, right in front of everyone.

0:08:39

And we can talk about that and how many people are on a team and this kind of stuff. And giving everyone an opportunity to just talk to me, even if it's only quickly, is incredibly valuable and I just learned tons of things about it and there's something that's in the calendar and I know it's exhausting and much a lot of work but I don't know how to do it in any other way because that is the thing by which people can say hey it feels like progress is really well and here's what we're building and here's something we learned what should we do about it is it like

0:09:11
John Collison

people want to get into running the couch to 5k program start with get off the couch yes go walk down the block go walk down two blocks you know and things like that it turns out that from an organizational point of view, having a centralized source where you track all the projects and you list out your goals and you post updates based on it, that sounds too simple to work in the same way that getting off the couch is too simple as a step to running a marathon, but it turns out

0:09:33
Tobi Lütke

both are true? I think it's, honestly, it's not a complex idea and it's extremely valuable for or 15 other reasons other than it powering the Vs reviews. But yeah, it's not terribly complex and it works.

0:09:51
John Collison

No, we took inspiration from GSD, your system as we built out, ours similarly, and having a centralized internal source of truth for projects that are going on is surprisingly helpful. And it feels like it shouldn't be, but it is.

0:10:07
Tobi Lütke

Yeah. You know, it's funny because, so again, It's an internal system. Shopify has a culture of building internal software. It's, I mean, I tend to point out Shopify itself started out as internal software to power my Snowbot store. So it'd be funny to not do this. And so I think fundamentally, like companies are all pretty bad. Like all the companies of today are pretty bad compared to the companies we will have in the future. And I don't know how I would possibly run Shopify without having GSD.

0:10:44

And I think there's going to be some productizations of GSD that'll be available to everyone. It's probably going to be renamed 15 times or whatever, become a category of software that's going to exist. And then everyone's going to be wondering, how the hell did we build software before we had it? Yes. And I try to have Shopify live in that particular state a little bit earlier.

0:11:05
John Collison

Has your proclivity for developing internal software ever led in just like a really hilariously overbuilt internal software direction? Like what's the most ridiculous internally developed piece of software?

0:11:17
Tobi Lütke

You have like a static sort of internal geocities, like it's like static site hosting, which is like it's the most incredible. Oh, geocity, yeah. Like geocity, yeah, like 90s web with all the pros and cons. Yeah, like it's, I mean, it sent us down wrong paths. Like it's very often, I say internal tools culture. This is actually a little bit of a dangerous statement. I shouldn't make it like as such. We have a very strong appreciation of good software and good in the context of we have to use it.

0:11:49

Like some software is really good. Like Shopify is really, really, really good software if you're running like a D2C business or with products. Some people try to stretch it to subscription-based groceries, stores, something. Maybe that even works, but I clearly didn't build it with this in mind. And I actually, although I appreciate all my customers, I'd rather not anyone use the software if it's bad for them. Because that's like, I build Shopify to avoid people having to use shitty software, not to add to the pile.

0:12:21

So sometimes this means, given our scale and our minimum quality bar, that we have to build it ourselves. And in those cases, we do that. Sometimes we build it where we have no business doing it, and that's where things go sometimes wrong.

0:12:34
John Collison

Well, what I think is interesting is you think it's important to build your own HR software, and you would recommend people at least think seriously about that. Maybe you can share the worldview there.

0:12:44
Tobi Lütke

I'm not sure. I exactly recommend it. But we have ideas about how to do HR in terms of compensation and so on that are just different from what's normally implemented. This is most true in project management software, like, again, GST. If you use software by others, you have to buy Interval Vision. Like, some vendors tell you the software can do absolutely everything.

0:13:07
John Collison

Software has a worldview, so you're adopting Workday's worldview when it comes to your HR, which may or may not be what you want to do.

0:13:14
Tobi Lütke

That's right. And I think that's important to realize and it's important to use to get advantage. And I think this is why it's really, really important to buy software. Like the people who buy the software, other people should use the software, and because they have a better view of what needs to be had. So in our case, in HRS, we had some things that were not doable with Workday and all the systems, and so we built it ourselves.

0:13:42

This led to a journey that might have gone a little bit too far on how should this be done. This is one of the areas where you probably should find the weirdest bit of software ever made. But it's working for us.

0:13:54
John Collison

But is it something like the internal systems you use will subtly affect the decisions that you make? Everyone's probably been in meetings where it's like, oh, well, we can't do that because the system doesn't support it. And so, again, do you want to have a workday-designed compensation system? Probably not. You wouldn't frame it that way, which is why, again, it's important that people think about, what is the vision they want and does the software.

0:14:19
Tobi Lütke

I'm a toolmaker through and through. I have the sort of kids in the LAN parties of the 90s that set up the internet sharing for everyone, right? Like, that was still difficult. I just, like, I'm a toolmaker infrastructure thinker in my entire life. And I deeply believe in environments that cause people to accomplish bigger and better things than what they even imagined they could have done. Marshall McLuhan says, like, first we make the tools and then they shape us or something along those lines.

0:14:47

I have a terrible memory for exact quotes. But the sentiment is right. And so I think this is powerful and is something I want to channel at every level. Again, I want the people who have a utilitarian problem of, hey, I need an online store to accidentally catch Shopify because it's the go-to software, but then Shopify to inspire them to build much bigger and better companies than they thought they did and like elevate their own ambition in what they are building, just like my ambition increased from building snowboard stores to helping millions of businesses be built.

0:15:24

And so it's the environment that I think we have a lot more power over. And it's the sort of missing ingredient when people talk about, you know, people talk about incentives shaping companies and then policies shaping companies. So those tend to be the two tools. and I think sort of generally if people are really insightful they talk about culture as well but it's the environment that's even more powerful than all those things and it tends to be as a software company especially if you feel like you have agency over the tools that you actually have more power over the tools and therefore the environment than you have over policies because those can be moving forward by the speed of a

0:16:08

deploy a new change to the GSD software is immediately part of environment where a rollout of a new policy is going to be a conservative town hall and a lot of convincing. So in funny ways, it actually acts as a fast and the most effective way of evolving a company forward.

0:16:27
John Collison

Having opinionated software that you use to tweak the environment. That's right. So the obvious question is if software shapes us and kind of shapes the actions of organizations and you should think about what the vision embedded in software is. What is the vision of Shopify for your merchants? I mean, you said one part, which is that they should be more ambitious for their business success and they can probably be more successful than they might realize. What else?

0:16:56
Tobi Lütke

What I tend to visualize is like, what are the things, you know, if you're sitting with a friend over drinks in an Irish pub and...

0:17:07
John Collison

I'm with you so far.

0:17:09
Tobi Lütke

and the question is like hey um you've done an online store you've done an e-commerce business you've done a retail business for shopify would you do this again but the answer to the question is like hopefully hell yes because and then there comes a list of things that we that we would like to uh do like amongst those is like it just makes it easy like it allows me to build the business this not feeling like I have like, you know, when you try to paint a painting and you have like mittens on, like it's just like, this is sort of a, you know, where there's perfect vision in your mind, but you can't get it out because of

0:17:43

tools or the - We've all used software like that. Exactly. So like another thing is it just kept, it keeps me cutting edge, right? Like it's, we are going through an enormous platform shift. Like Shopify predates smartphones, right? Like a software. So we have seen multiple platform shifts and usually what happens when you study any kind of industry upheaval or recession or anything, it's hardest on the small businesses. The really big businesses get bailed out anyway, and everyone in between has probably usually the line of credits or whatever capital to make it through.

0:18:18

You're talking about an economic recession. Economic recession. So something happens in the world. The small businesses are the ones who are wiped out. The failure rates during recessions is enormous. And that's a huge drag on economies because like 60 to 80 % of all people who work for small businesses.

0:18:35
John Collison

I think people felt this very viscerally in COVID with restaurants, which are obviously particularly hard hit by COVID. But I think people could see how little, how kind of shallow the balance sheets were because entire, you know, streets turned over with new storefronts. Like it was a very visual representation for people of how fragile a lot of small businesses are.

0:18:56
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, and like, I mean, many, many places never recovered. It's like, it's a very organic process by which an area becomes, like sort of have the critical mass of interesting stores that like then has people come there and that just like this builds up over very, very long periods of time. Entire cities, centers can shift in these times. And so it's a very precarious balance. And they have very tight margins. And there's so much that makes them fragile systematically that at least all their sales disappearing because suddenly most people purchase from their mobile phones that just their website doesn't work on.

0:19:40

It's not their job to stay current with these kind of things. So just like inoculating from all these kind of shifts is a really important part of a business.

0:19:47
John Collison

So you're talking about some of the disadvantages that small businesses have. I was realizing recently, it actually really hit me when I went to buy something from a very large, famous brand, name redacted to protect the guilty, but very big, very storied. And I was going through the e-commerce experience, and it was horrendous. It was so bad. And I realized that thanks to Shopify, we are now, I don't think it's hyperbole to say we're living in an inverted world where the very large retailers are worse off in their e-commerce experience.

0:20:18

They have worse systems and lower converting websites than small businesses, which have these amazing, super snappy, and they're just more technically performative. You measure the latency, if you measure the full funnel conversion, everything like that. On any metric by which you were with your stopwatch and you went from Bethlehem Steel to the internet, and we're kind of measuring things with your stopwatch, the small businesses are better off. So one, I thought that was just interesting that in this case, we have this inversion where on a very tangible technical level, the Rebel Alliance is doing better than the large established companies.

0:20:51

But then it made me wonder, there's kind of a question for Shopify where you have succeeded on the small business side. And I know that's probably anathema to you. It's like, oh, no, we're just getting started, blah, blah, blah. But you have a very significant fraction of the small business e-commerce market with a very successful product there. And so how do you think about Shopify expansion from here, where you can go international, you can go up market to large companies, you can go into new modalities like agentic commerce?

0:21:15

There's many vectors of expansion, but it does feel like there's a take-stop moment because step one is deliver a great experience for small businesses.

0:21:24
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, thank you. By the way, me too. I also have purchased from Nike. It wasn't Nike, but yeah, those kinds of people. Yes. You know, I love this inversion because the inversion is one of the very few spaces where this is true. Yes, exactly. And that is exactly what we set out to do. It's actually an access to the capital market. Yes. My fundamental belief is people should use amazing software that really, really is perfectly fit to the problem there.

0:21:59

You don't blow something. Exactly. But we can go deeper and deeper and deeper into the space. So it's just really, really quick. It's really easy to underestimate the size of, everyone underestimates the size of the internet and everyone underestimates the size of retail. We sit in the intersection of both those things. My favorite stat is that the companies, the industry supplying wooden pallets to warehouses is a $60 billion a year industry. It's just like that gives you a sort of idea for how large retail actually is, at least directionally.

0:22:35

And so what we have done from a company perspective is we were very, very clear that our mission is to make entrepreneurship simpler. And that's where our heart is. And many of our customers have gotten quite big. We ended up raising one of our customers to $1 billion of revenue. And so there's some of our customers, in the top 10 of largest customers, many of them have started on Shopify. The reason why they're still around is because we actually, again, we take this so seriously that we're actually building with them while they grow.

0:23:08

And it turns out, again, like all these stories of software is for a certain segment of a market are skills issues. And that's exactly what they sounded like when I first heard about it. It's convenience to the company making the software to say we are focused on one segment. And by the way, we're all the segment focused on the richest segment, funnily enough. And we just said, no, we are starting with SMB and then some of them grow and hopefully we build good software and then we invite the others over.

0:23:37

The most common thing that people said with Shopify in the early days was always that this will never work in real life because in the real world, retailers are messy and and just have all these business rules that we didn't implement. And our opinion was always like, well, the real world sounds like a terrible place. We like all this better, and we just invite everyone over.

0:23:59
John Collison

Well, isn't there also something where the real world is messy? But we find this with Stripe Billing, where people say, oh, everyone's billing system is different, and the dimensions of their billing that they want to encode and things like that. Therefore, there's a certain size beyond which Stripe Billing will cap out and people need a custom system. And our view is, absolutely, billing is really messy. And it's also hard to test because it involves time travel, right?

0:24:24

It's like, you know, what happens if people do a mid-period adjustment that needs to be prorated, whatever? Therefore, do you want to be using your homegrown version of this that was developed by some guy who had never built an e-commerce or billing system before and has since left the company and, you know, now it's kind of poorly maintained? Or do you want to buy it from people who have been thinking about this problem space and building a generally abstracted frame.

0:24:47

And, you know, our Stripe building now has a time travel engine where you can just move time around to test all these kind of different cases, because obviously you need that. And in Shopify's case, similarly, yeah, we've been thinking about inventory management for a very long time and, you know, how you model inventory and all these kind of things. And so I feel like it's funny that people sometimes say, oh, this will never work at the large end because our needs are super complex.

0:25:09

Therefore, we should be using a piece of software that only has one user and is poorly maintained by one tiny corner of the company.

0:25:16
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, that's right. I think, look, when I first started programming in my apprenticeship, my master taught me that in the software world, you have about two years' time anytime you start an important piece of software to try to nail it, try to nail the problem, because afterwards it just automatically, like someone put cement in the code base, you're never going to change a thing. And that's just like, that's the state of software in the 90s. And frankly, just the way the software works, everything that got to scale was finished in the 90s with cement in it, and then sold in the 2000s.

0:25:54

And in a lot of decision-makers' life, that was the time when software adoption really started, and their priors are loaded up with software that corresponds to roughly what Jürgen back then was telling me. Now, we've gotten a lot smarter about building software. We have CI and automated testing in general. We know how to build software in a way. We're by no means perfect at it. We don't even know how to measure it, as we talked about earlier.

0:26:18

But state of art has increased significantly, and we make better software. And that's a completely different thing than what people are comparing it again. But it's hard to tell them. The first 80 % of every e-commerce business are the same. It's like you need a checkout, you need credit cards, and you're taking credit cards for us. And you need the hosting and the checkout and Office graphics and admin interface. So it's the last 20 % that are actually quite unique.

0:26:43

And they exist in a particular, very predictable problem domain. Like, what does the website look like? It's like, what my brand looks like? And also business rules. Like, we have over time, just like your time-traveling backtest system, figured out where do we allow programming or programming-enabled extensibility in the system. them so that these last 20 % can uniquely be created for everyone who wants them. And I think that's what it means. I think that's a place you can only get to if people work on the problem, really care.

0:27:20

Because you kind of have to fall in love with a problem to want to look at it from so many sides that at some point you understand it well enough to not solve the problems that a triple state, but build infrastructure in the form of primitives that can be composed to solve all the problems. And that's a completely different level, but it's what I deeply appreciate. I massively admire it every single time any category gets to this quality of decision making and infrastructure.

0:27:48
John Collison

And the thing I enjoy on the software quality side that both Shopify and Stripe sell on, that's just a funny domain to pursue is peak load, where Stripe sells on just, you can put a lot of transactions through the system at once. And obviously Shopify, similarly, it feels to me that how you displace other e-commerce systems is if you are getting very spiky sales, you can put 1 ,000 requests per second through the system and that's totally fine.

0:28:19

And most systems at a technical level can't do that. I guess I find it funny because I think we kind of grew up together kind of expanding the, you know, request per second thresholds. And you guys pushed us pretty well there. But I'm curious, like, where did this come from in e-commerce culture? Because, like, the marketer is saying, everyone will come to the website and click, you know, buy at the same time. The engineers are like, no, please do that.

0:28:42

Stop encouraging that. But it's become like a real part of e-commerce culture, like the drops and things like that. Maybe you can fill me in on the drop history. So it's funny.

0:28:49
Tobi Lütke

You seem to have started this. Yeah, like, it's really funny. I'm just as amused by this as you are because it's like - No engineer would ever suggest this. Right, because it's a very, very strange thing, but it works. It's fantastic business built around it. The one that did it for us first, it was like something in 2010, it was a business called The Chive, which was like some, I mean, it's a website, it was like some community.

0:29:18

and I had like some t-shirt with Bill Murray on it and that thing every single time I went on sale I took Shopify down. It was just like unbelievable. We actually couldn't, we didn't know the demand level because we just couldn't observe it. It was like upstream, the routers could not send enough traffic and it's like, first of all, who's to try if we had to like catch up very quickly and so it was one of those things there was a very specific decision moment where we realized, I mean, obviously we shopped right down this worst possible thing.

0:29:53

This is like the entire company exists to never make it so that anyone's down, no less the entire thing. So we were like, well, the traditional business thing is like, this is super expensive from a reputation, from money, and we can't even, in our business model, ever make money back from the chive given the amount of resources we consume. So we clearly need to fire the customer and decided, no, absolutely not. We're using this as a gem and we're going to use them.

0:30:21

We're going to build the system in such a way we can deal with this because this is exactly what good engineering looks like. And that was for tutors because I think this sort of pattern ended up really sticking. It was like Supreme, which really drove us further. It was streetwear world. I remember Supreme and I remember Kylie Jenner.

0:30:42
John Collison

It was like lip kits. I don't really, that's embedded in my memory from kind of 2013, 2014 stripe-ish. That was definitely, like, that was a board-level topic.

0:30:52
Tobi Lütke

Yes, and we had board-level discussions on our side, too. It actually would be funny to know the diff. We probably sweated exactly the same amounts on both sides, because obviously we have an incredibly long-standing and, I think at this point, storied partnership. It's tremendously difficult to synthetically test all the pieces that go into commerce because it's just so complex with so many things. There's so many APIs. There's so much we have to, like the shipping to, of course, payments.

0:31:26

And payments is like, depending on the mix of bins, it's like a different profile on Lord. Kylie Jenner still had a lot more debit cards and that just kind of exercised different parts of infrastructure. Anyway, these kind of things you find out. And on our side, we just like, yeah, no sin was forgiven. Every single sin was revealed and found us to be wanting very publicly. Is there anything particularly technically hard to scale? Well, I mean, so if you open Even a book on databases, like sort of page, probably chapter one, is like an example of how a transaction works.

0:32:08

It's like, I mean, either moving money on a ledger or moving an item out of inventory and into an order. Yeah.

0:32:16
John Collison

It's a textbook definition of technology.

0:32:19
Tobi Lütke

Like two textbook definitions in a row. So you are fundamentally have to serialize at those points. This is like the lock contention moment. There's architectures which we employ that you can get around this. There's like pools of products like we take out of an integer into like a striped thing. And there's all sorts of things that do and then try to refill this as fast as possible. But the point is that you really deal with lock contention and lock contention is difficult.

0:32:51

It's very, very hard to scale if everyone at the same time wants to decrement an integer in the database, just actually. Then also the transaction involves having to go to interchange and move money.

0:33:03
John Collison

I was reading some histories of Oracle recently, but I think it's kind of interesting because proprietary databases were the leading databases. The LAMP stack only really took over in the 2000s, but in the 1990s, if you were building a thing, you actually needed to go buy your database, and there was these proprietary database wars. in the 70s. And I was wondering, are there lessons for us for the kind of current AI wars and model wars from the database history?

0:33:28

But it was striking talking about kind of the early feature wars of Oracle versus its competitors. And locking was such a big differentiator in those early versions. And like row-level locking. Row-level locking was a big thing. But it came in like Oracle 6 or something. You know what I mean? You would think it's like an Oracle 2 feature, but no, it took them a few revs to get there. And row-level locking was like the bee's knees.

0:33:53

Yeah. And they released it.

0:33:54
Tobi Lütke

Yeah. I mean, and very glad they did. So, I mean, yeah. I mean, this is, .com predates Shopify a little bit. But, like, yeah, .com tech company creation was, like, day one, you send $1 million to Larry to get your Oracle database. And I think, you know, day, like, 180, you went public or something.

0:34:16
John Collison

It's a very different time from today. Yes. I mean, I guess we're kind of getting back to that a little bit in AI where, you know, Step 1 sent $300 billion to Oracle for a data center.

0:34:27
Tobi Lütke

You're a couple days past 180 on your journey to becoming a public company, I have to say. Yes, yes.

0:34:35
John Collison

Anyway, moving on. I want to talk about agentic commerce. I had a really nice shopping experience recently where I wanted to buy an integrated travel adapter and power brick. and so I did some product research in ChatGPT and it was really nice. There was no ads getting in the way or anything like that. I actually found a product that I hadn't come across from Momax. It was really good. I think I was telling you. Yeah, I have to.

0:35:02

Okay, yeah, I was pretty good. And what's the verdict? It's very good. It's very good. Okay, yeah, we'll put a link. And it kind of linked me out and I purchased, obviously, super easy one click with ShopPay and everything like that. And it felt very futuristic to me, both in the product discovery and the completion side of things. but it feels like filling out web forms is not a value-add activity for people. Like when you travel, you probably don't directly book the hotel yourself on the website.

0:35:30

You have an assistant who does it or something like that because choosing the hotel might be desirable for you but actually filling out the web form is not a value-add activity for you. And so what is your vision for how agentic commerce happens specifically? Because it seems relevant to your interests.

0:35:45
Tobi Lütke

It's relevant to my interests. I mean, it will be extremely valuable and it will be something that will be done a lot and might even be like a majority of commerce or like on the internet. I don't know. But like, I think my role in this is going to be like largely infrastructure providing. Right? Like I, this is the, our job is to keep our, like all the millions of business of Shopify extremely current. And so what we want to do is make sure that everyone's plugged into the various chat systems and there's an MCP connected to every Shopify store and a global catalog that's really nicely presented.

0:36:26

So we're building software specifically for the open AIs and the clouds and the complexities to make it really, really easy for these products to show up and reason about them and so on. Because we think it's really, really important that they can show up. So there's an infrastructure angle in it. But how is it being used? So I think the best way to predict the future in most cases is just, frankly, look at what rich people buy for themselves.

0:36:55

Uber is a wonderful company. It's also extremely predictable because rich people had car service. So it's figuring out a way to scale that in such a way from cost basis so that everyone can use it. It's just like, yes, that works. So personal shoppers, right? These are the places where memory and understanding people and personalization are just like, pay so many dividends and are so clearly all too good. Like, it's like people have to make so much out of, like, data and advertising.

0:37:27

You know, a personalized ad is a wonderful thing, right? Like, if a personal ad that tells, like, you know, I am scrolling past something that's monetizing the free application that I appreciate using. You should tell the EU this. Yes, well, I do, actually. and the fact that it's highly personalized to me means like at this moment where this platform monetizes because they're giving me a gift that I get to use. It's win-win. It's win-win.

0:37:54

Using this moment also that is now not just like a fucking like Ford 150 truck or I don't even know if that's how you say that but like it's like I'm not a market for trucks, right? So I instead I see a travel adapter like what you should send me. You know like it was just like.

0:38:10
John Collison

I am your personal shopper in this case.

0:38:11
Tobi Lütke

But the funny thing is you send me the link, and if I would put that link in ChatGPT, which has lots of my history, and ask, is that the kind of product that I would appreciate? It would just return yes, right? Because it solves the problem in its entirety. It's like a travel adapter, which is likely for any country to any plug to any other, all sorts of stuff, good product, right? I want it.

0:38:35
John Collison

Okay, so we're getting down the road here. I mean, it feels like step one that's going to happen with agentic commerce is I feel like existing aggregators, if just aggregation is their raison d 'etre, then they're going to have a lot of questions that they need to answer. Because ChatGPT and the AI apps end up as a new aggregation point. And so it seems to very much benefit the tail. It benefits all the Shopify merchants, just like we had a new set of content creators emerge on YouTube that effectively compete with TV.

0:39:10

They're both just entertainment. And the tail becomes much more powerful when you have over-the-top distribution through YouTube. Similarly, it feels like once you have over-the-top distribution through AI apps, it becomes... You have a much more powerful position as a tail merchant because Momax is a tiny brand, but they can just get recommended as the best product. So that's step one that I think happens.

0:39:33
Tobi Lütke

I think a slight modification I would just make to this. I don't think the tail part matters. I think marriage matters. It's kind of an important point because often when you talk a lot about commerce and products, at some point just because of prior discussions, people are like, yeah, but aren't you just feeding consumerism? So this is sort of like the negative take. And again, consumerism is like a thing that is being thrown around, but where does it come from?

0:40:01

It comes from people throwing away a lot of things that they probably shouldn't. But they throw away things because they hate the things that they have. These things don't work. They fall apart. They don't do the thing. They're like cheap, plasticky, this kind of thing. The thing that solves consumerism is quality products that you want to keep using. You want to be excited about this. and you want this travel adapter to last forever. And so you never have to think of, you literally never have to Google what plug is being used in Singapore.

0:40:35

And you just know that the thing that you have with you can deal with everything to everything. So problem solved. And so I think that's an important modification on the point.

0:40:47
John Collison

Yeah, I guess implicit in my view is that there's good stuff in the tail, whereas the head has distributional advantages. and so it is more meritocratic to bubble more stuff up from the tail. That is, I think, the reconciliation of those two worldviews. Okay, so that's kind of step one that happens. I think you are getting to step two, which is it feels like there's a lot of changes potentially that can happen around personalization, about agents actually acting for you.

0:41:13

And maybe one thing, I'm curious if you have thoughts on it. It just seems like a lot of search in e-commerce is really bad where it's keyword-based search still and you can't do things like, let me know if this becomes available in gray. Or what other products do you have like this? And you want some kind of embedding space that thinks about similarity between the products and no one can do this. So when are we getting better personalization?

0:41:36

And search. I just want a really good search of the products that are out there.

0:41:39
Tobi Lütke

I am obsessing about this now. And we should have been...

0:41:43
John Collison

Tell me the secret Shopify roadmap.

0:41:46
Tobi Lütke

Shopify should have solved this earlier and hasn't. And I'm pretty mopey about this. You guys are okay. I think we will solve this now. So the thing is that it's really, really fascinating. I really deeply appreciate it as a field. It's so different. It has its own lore. Everything is interesting, is my fundamental opinion. And search has been a wonderful area to actually learn a lot more about the history now. And the fundamental thing is there's a generic bias in search and a text is king.

0:42:26

And frankly, the people who worked in search are fundamentally more interested in searching for papers than for products. And so there's very few of the best people in search in a world of people who know most have actually ended up working specifically on product search, which is really, should be seen as its own completely different domain that just sort of looks like it, but it's really clearly deeper with lots and lots of complex features and so on.

0:42:55

So, I got to build up over last year, a really really great search team and exactly look at the embeddings and these kind of things. The amount of improvements that's just unexplored is just staggering.

0:43:12
John Collison

Shouldn't you do search across that? I find it interesting when Shopify does things broader than the Shopify universe. Because the Shop app can track packages not bought from Shopify merchants, right? Yeah. Yeah. And so shouldn't you do the search thing across the whole web and not just Shopify? No, should we? I think so. Because the thing that feels like the big opportunity to me is clustering was always so hard to do because all the features were developed manually.

0:43:41

And so you had to go say that the dress is red and everything like that. And it feels like, have you ever used LLM as just a recommender engine where I like feeding in, these are all the books that I've read recently. Give me a narrative nonfiction book that someone who's read all these books might like. And it does extremely well, but you're kind of using the LLM to access its world model. And it feels like now you can have an interesting kind of product world model and access it.

0:44:06

but people, like for the people using it, whether a merchant is on Shopify or not is probably an incidental detail they don't care about.

0:44:12
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I totally agree. And you're talking about how, but like what is the really important thing? I just want, I want the LLM to be proactive and just tell me, hey, there's like, this outfit would look good on you and here's a preview, right? Like, and just like, here's a full cost and you want it, right? Like, it's the personal shopper outreach kind of component, which I think is just like really valuable. And this is not going to be like some kind of, like, you'll get this from everyone because it's really easy to put together.

0:44:37

It's hard to get the data and the embeddings and the sort of understanding about, you know, like we have to figure, it's funny. The most important thing, again, in the AI space is also the unquantifiable. It's the vibes, people call it there. It seems like Mid Journey specifically is one company that managed to actually scale taste.

0:44:59
John Collison

It's a very distinct aesthetic in the images.

0:45:01
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, and maybe this is because they drove towards It's a particular aesthetic that they just sort of kind of felt they had ownership over, but it's one that's clearly appreciated.

0:45:09
John Collison

But David is also like deep founder mode type how he operates.

0:45:13
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, exactly. And so, I mean, when something outperforms, it's usually the product of a place that doesn't make decisions by consensus, right, as we know. So how do we, like, we need to figure out taste in this product sense. and we'll figure this out. Someone's going to figure it out. Maybe everyone's going to figure it out. Maybe it's already figured out in the neurons and we just don't give enough information for it to reason around the taste.

0:45:44

And so putting like, I think it will be very, very, very good personal chopper. The thing that I think the aggregators still, to just like get back to your point on the aggregation side, there's many reasons why people buy things. I just like lots of things are inputs purchases. It's like the things next to the checkout counter in the supermarket. I don't think people are going to use chat GPT to buy mass bars or something, like candy or so.

0:46:12
John Collison

You don't do so online. Right, exactly. But is there an online impulse purchase that is not suited to happening in an AI app?

0:46:22
Tobi Lütke

Interesting question. Nothing comes to mind immediately.

0:46:24
John Collison

I mean, I guess online impulse purchases are like things where you're scrolling through Instagram and it's like, you know, all the COVID stuff. It's the sharpest knife ever developed.

0:46:32
Tobi Lütke

I wonder if it was truly... The umbrella that changes color in the rain. I wonder if it was truly input... I mean, they sort of feel like input purchase, but they tend to be... Like, very few people part with money unless they are like, holy shit, this is the thing I always wanted. Like, this is actually usually the longest...

0:46:46
John Collison

It's just tapping into demand that's been there for a long time.

0:46:49
Tobi Lütke

It's sometimes a little bit... The opinion... When you look at log files, you're going to get a very incorrect view of the world. It's very often the longest consideration phases. Like for years, I wanted a travel adapter that can deal with everything to everything. And the fact that it goes in a chat from you or in an Instagram ad, doesn't matter. I'll Insta purchase it at this point.

0:47:12
John Collison

Okay, you were just ready to do that. My other purchase I made recently that I really liked is I was going on a long day hike. And if you read the accident reports, it's often people day hiking who get into trouble because people who are going out on a multi-day hike, they have like their tent with them. Like they're prepared, you know what I mean? And then people go... It's all a problem with bicycle helmets too, right?

0:47:30

Like same issue. It's a short journey, exactly, just to the store that gets people in trouble. Yeah, so day hikers, they get in trouble because they think they don't need any preparedness and then they end up out after dark and, you know, a rescue party and everything like that. And so it was like, it's called Bivvy, you know, like a little sleeping bag for emergency purposes. And it's made out of the reflective foil. And so, again, it's if you end up stuck, an emergency foil sleeping bag, just so you don't die of exposure, but it folds up to it's like that size, and so you can just stick it in a day pack, and now you are somewhat more prepared

0:48:02

for the elements than you were before. I don't know, do you have a favorite recent purchase?

0:48:07
Tobi Lütke

I like the, I just really like these, I mean, someone going just like to ridiculously fervor and to just like almost, like products that just celebrate craftsmanship in a way, even in places where it's just like no one else does. It's like, I, weird example, but I take all these vitamins in the morning and I've bought these CVS vitamin pill cases at some point just for travel. And then I found on Shopify this Japanese perfectly CNC-built, unbelievably beautiful pill cases.

0:48:44

It's just like the entire website is just like a love letter to precision engineered, like tolerances of sub-millimeters. What's it made of? Like metal, which is like absolutely, it feels like, it feels so, whatever. I'm really excited about it. Let's put something. Put a link in. Put a link in. I forgot the name, sadly. And now I gift those things because they're just beautiful. Yeah, yeah, yeah.

0:49:11
John Collison

That's cool. How's ShopPay doing? We referenced it there.

0:49:18
Tobi Lütke

ShopPay. ShopPay's awesome. It started out this life as a feature called Remember Me, which is literally what was on the checkbox.

0:49:28
John Collison

We also had a thing that was called Remember Me.

0:49:30
Tobi Lütke

That's like the original name for Link. No way. Yeah. That's trippy. That's very funny. It makes sense.

0:49:40
John Collison

They're kind of the same thing. Shop is much broader, but they're similar things.

0:49:44
Tobi Lütke

Actually, Shop feels more narrow. It's like it's on Comet specifically.

0:49:48
John Collison

You guys do all the shipping and tracking.

0:49:49
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, that's right. And so, yeah, so, yeah, Shop started, like, Shop then, I mean, Shop is Shopify's brand for buyers, right? Like, so, it's, you know, Shopify is what you use to be on Shop. And at least that's what we think about it. So, you know, there's a Shop app and, you know, Shop Pay. So, I mean, again, it started because it's a ridiculous thing that we asked anyone to fill out their address with their thumbs when you purchase something that is insane.

0:50:25

This was meant to never be a thing because, you know, like in the, I don't know when they came up with HTTP, but there's the 402 error code, payment required, right? It's like built into HTTP standard and no one ever implemented it. And so moving money around was supposed to be built into the platform and wasn't. And then credit card forms were hilariously insecure over the normal web. And then we came up with HTTPS and made it reasonable, I suppose, and then it became good enough.

0:50:57

There was all these efforts, Apple Pay, actually PayPal was around, but then sort of didn't do anything. So there are so many people doing this. and it's just like, okay, well, clearly this is going to be solved soon, but might as well just put a remember me thing in there so we can solve this now as almost a polyfill for the future of the internet. And then no one did. I mean, very few people did, and it just sort of didn't happen.

0:51:21

And now ShopPay is like incredible. Super glad to have it. It's like the most converting thing we've ever done.

0:51:28
John Collison

Yeah, what seems interesting to me about it is I think it's a significant part. It's not the only part, but it's a significant part of the inversion where, again, now the small stores are significantly better off than the large stores online, and that's just a striking...

0:51:42
Tobi Lütke

It's striking, and it's like it's a 16 % conversion increase by it being robbed, right? So it's a remarkable product now, because, again, it's a power of branding. It's purple always, and people learn to trust it and associate it with a store that's actually recent and cared for and doesn't, you know, now they don't have to, before they get to checkout, they know they will not have to type in the address with their phones, like some kind of heathen from the 90s.

0:52:12
John Collison

Just like... You mentioned personalized advertising and being a big fan of it. It seems to me that there is a real symbiotic relationship between Instagram, where people are kind of scrolling in an aesthetic mood, looking at nice things, and then Shopify stores, where they need customers, and so especially during the pandemic there was this huge growth of direct-to-consumer brands who really cracked the Instagram CAC to LTV math and they were able to grow in a big way there.

0:52:44

Then of course the Apple ATT changes happened where for a brief period it got harder. It seems like Meta has mostly solved that but anyway, I'm just curious what's the current state of like is this worldview I have true that there's a lot of Shopify merchants that have been able to really scale up thanks to personalized direct advertising?

0:53:03
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, 100%. It's a main growth channel is advertising on the platform. The Meta platform specifically is just so incredible for this. I think the Meta Shopify LAO has created more businesses than any government policy in history. So it's like, I mean, if you just compare to television and consumer packaged goods before, the television channel required broadcast. And so the only things you could really advertise were like mass market high margin products. Yeah, yeah, yeah. For the advertising.

0:53:40

Washing powder and all this kind of stuff. Exactly. So it's like laundry detergent and toothpaste. Yeah. And so the Instagram, Shopify is a precise inversion of this. as highly meritorious products. It's the first time you can advertise niche products. Exactly. And the niche products are actually doing better. That's the crazy thing. Advertising directly snowboards is impossible there. Can't take out a billboard for snowboards. The brand halo of Burton means you can't compete with that. There's intersections.

0:54:13

Snowboards only for powder snow on the U .S., West Coast, and in certain environments. This is not the best example. Usually there's three different intersections of something. And it goes back to, Kevin Kelly wrote about this in the early 2000s. He wrote an essay of a thousand true fans, and the internet is about finding your thousand true fans and everything else will happen. And restoring that idea or bringing this idea into retail has done a lot of good things, right?

0:54:48

It just created better products. It created this world uses. And meta allowing you to discover one of those people who has a potential to be one of those thousand true fans is an incredibly powerful thing that just, again, led to enormous good and employment and all these kind of things. So it's a very, very powerful combination. There's all sorts of other ways how people grow, but this is a very, very large part of everyone's strategy.

0:55:15
John Collison

You're saying this enables 4K for commerce. There's this higher resolution, more specialization, as opposed to the blurry generic products.

0:55:23
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, exactly. Find the people who are really interested in who appreciate the products. I like that.

0:55:29
John Collison

How is the stablecoin rollout going on Shopify? So we're obviously doing lots of stablecoin stuff with lots of people, including you guys. But I feel like you guys are one of the biggest bets on stablecoin pay-ins. Everyone should just be able to use stablecoins as a payment method.

0:55:48
Tobi Lütke

that we've seen. And so, how's that going? I'm obviously just like you, a huge fan of the concept of stablecoins. I love the work you're doing there and congrats on the launch of Turbo. And the internet just needs its own currencies. I think it's important. At least it needs its own infrastructure to move things by internet speeds. And I'm excited for it because, I mean, I think a valid criticism of crypto in the past, as exciting as it is, has been that the utilitarian difference between a real US dollar and a US dollar crypto coin is like that the US dollar crypto coin is mostly like, it's sort of like gift certificates to scams.

0:56:33

It's like, there's not that many things you can actually purchase with it that are of high utility value. It's like, obviously, this is, I think, why -

0:56:40
John Collison

The economy was too circular.

0:56:41
Tobi Lütke

Exactly. Most of it was like, you purchase other coins. that then you might have, I mean, hopefully you diamond handed into some kind of upswing, but it's like that's not usually what happened. And I think that's valid criticism. I think the most important thing to happen there is we need to expand what can be purchased with stable coins to the things people want to purchase, like outside of just sort of insular crypto, fintech. But yeah, we are working hard on getting all Shopify stores to just take stable coins.

0:57:16

What does the merchant response mean? Very positive. Again, because through the work that Bridge is doing, we can settle into US dollars directly. So the merchants, they've just gained a new ability without having to make a strategic choice to go into a new industry. Like if there's demand for being able to spend stable coins and they can now sell to everyone who wants to particularly do that. So it's totally transparent and it's a beautiful thing, amortizing R &D over millions of businesses with us centrally because we can just build up the system.

0:57:54

And everyone gets benefit of it. And so obviously it's in testing. The conversion rates have to not be negatively affected obviously by its presence. So we have to make absolutely sure this is the case and lots of overbounds of caution on every Royal Rekord from the checkout because it's the busiest checkout on the internet, basically. So we might not want to reduce conversion rates ever.

0:58:21
John Collison

I think it'll also be interesting to watch the consumer training aspect of it. QR code is always my example of this, where the tech has existed since the 90s, but it It was really only during the pandemic when we installed the software in people's brains to understand how QR codes work. But there was a moment, and now they're kind of everywhere for everything. And obviously, they're in Asia before they're in the US and everything like that.

0:58:42

I think there'll be something similar with stablecoins where they'll be offered at the point of checkout way before people become super familiar with them. But we're probably only a small number of years away from some mass market familiarity.

0:58:56
Tobi Lütke

I think it's going to be very, very natural for people, but also in a way that they just not think about it. It's like it's a normal thing. It doesn't matter. It's going to be so well tooled up to bridge between these things that it's using crypto rails while using the internet. And until you need it out of the internet, you don't have to bridge anything. Yes, yes.

0:59:21
John Collison

You've referenced a few times the kind of stuff Stripe and Shopify are doing together. And, you know, we've caught up at various points and even talked at the meta level about the Stripe-Shopify relationship where there's some, I don't know, is it like Apple TSMC or something there where it's like deep intertwined building in a stable way, but also kind of expanding over time. And no confusion as to who's ultimately the one building the end product versus who's kind of providing some of the underlying infrastructure.

0:59:50

But I'm curious what you think has worked well because, yeah, a lot of corporate relationships do not last. I mean, I guess if you dated 2012, which I think is like maybe 2011, 2012, like 13 years, it's certainly more tenured than some.

1:00:05
Tobi Lütke

Yeah. And I think it's almost more impressive when you think about it as market cap expansion. I mean, we were both a very small company. People get greedy, yeah. Well, also, I mean, we have had a highly functioning, excellent symbiotic partnership. And probably there's like, I mean, how many more digits on the market cap of both companies? Like we've expanded many, many, many times here, many out of magnitude. And that's pretty rare because like, again, partnerships, especially in tech, tech is extraordinarily bad at partnerships.

1:00:41

and I mean it's always treated as a prisoner's dilemma that at some point someone in the company realizes defecting gives you five points on the map and that sounds really really good with the short term focus. So everyone mistrusts each other and it's fairly rare and I think it's cool that we pulled it off and I appreciate the partnership it's been really really fantastic being able to just focus on my space instead of having to duplicate things that Stripe would always have done better.

1:01:14

I think a lot about main quests and side quests. And I have such good, I guess, founder market fit with commerce. I just like, I really care about this. And I really, I have, I can spend my entire, like it's one, Karl Popper calls it finding, like the best gift in life is finding a beautiful problem that you can never solve. And even if you accidentally solve it, if you're so unfortunate to solve it, hopefully it has plenty of enlightened problem children that you can then tackle.

1:01:48

And so finding one of those is good and not having to meander into some complete adjacency to support it is actually wonderful. Yeah.

1:01:57
John Collison

I think there's also something about when you talk about this idea of focus, I think second acts are kind of a bit over-valorized in Silicon Valley somehow, where everyone talks about, oh, we want to do like a new AWS is kind of the coolest thing ever where you do a second thing that is completely unrelated to the first thing versus NVIDIA is the largest company in the world. And they just started making GPUs in the 90s and it turns out a lot of people want GPUs.

1:02:24

And I mean, they did obviously lots of incremental expansion from there, like calling them GPUs is doing a disservice, but it's in a very hill-climbing expansion way.

1:02:32
Tobi Lütke

They went vertical. I think it said horizontal. Business folks tell you to go horizontal because, again, the chief competency of most businesses ended up being having a stopwatch. It was a management system world, but we are actually in a different world now. It's like this is commoditized. It's easy to access and probably GPT-5 is better at it than most managers. It's now actually like, well, what problem do you understand better than what's in the training tokens for GPT-5?

1:03:01

and what do care more, which is a human capacity specifically. And so Jensen just cared more about GPUs and saw more potential in that.

1:03:12
John Collison

Isn't there a bit of MBA-ism here too, where if one was trying to, when Shopify was 1 ,000 times smaller, raise money for Shopify, it would just sound ludicrous to say, we're just going to do e-commerce software, and it turns out that's a really big market, and here's our current projection, and here's when it's 1 ,000 times larger. It's like, get out of here, come on. Whereas if you say, oh, we'll expand to do this, and we'll expand to do that, we'll build a CRM or whatever, it's easier to justify expanding into other TAMs.

1:03:38
Tobi Lütke

I got rejected from plenty of VCs in 2008 when I went around. And some of them said they would invest, and then it was usually terrible terms of like ratchets or multiple. And I had to move a company to Silicon Valley, which, again, I would have if I wouldn't have told me to do it. Once you tell me to do something, I don't want it anymore. but anyway I caught up with many of the partners later in one case a really interesting conversation he asked me what did we miss back then and I was just like well the reason why you didn't invest is like you said there's 40 ,000 online stores in the world right now in 2008 and

1:04:18

well you can get half of them but that's not actually that big of a business and what we miss is like well Shopify itself was the solution to that problem. The reason why no one was building online stores is because the friction was so high. And so it's a little bit of that, right? Like, yes, it's not an interesting business plan. It doesn't, the pitch isn't very good. Specifically coming from me. This, but more. Yeah, yeah.

1:04:45

Coming from me is probably especially bad. But like, it's also kind of, man, the best products in the world come from people just like really really being deep on something. In the programming world, we are using Cursor, which is basically VS Code. VS Code is Erich Gamma's fourth editor. It's like he spent his entire life making these things. It's like the craftsmanship. Yeah, it's like he wrote the design patterns book that many of us read at some point, literally about programming text editors.

1:05:14

Right? So it's like, yeah, sometimes you just need to dedicate a career to a field and get deeper into it than anyone else and celebrate craftsmanship along the way and kind of try to build the best thing.

1:05:29
John Collison

Yeah. But again, it's hard for people to give credit to that idea and a model. Like people are not capable of being sufficiently optimistic about a business that really works. It just blows through all their projections.

1:05:42
Tobi Lütke

Yeah. The question is also, we've seen the story so many times that some step function changes. At some point, maybe with ShopPay and all these kind of things with Shopify, it somehow became something very different than what you would have visualized. And this is in no area more true than in the NVIDIA case. These CUDA cores, the Tensor cores, were round. They were on these cards which everyone put. They were part of the bomb. and very little use by any of engine.

1:06:15

Like, CarMax's new engine probably used them for something useful. But they're just there. And CUDA was not even, like, that was around for 10 years before AlexNet got trained. Like, it's an incredible vision to just, like, doggedly pursue this because, you know, in the future there will be value if you do this. And it makes you wonder. I think that's probably true for almost every space. I think every space driven to that level could become so big.

1:06:43
John Collison

Isn't there something here where more founders should be willing to follow their nose of what's just a good product? Because, again, I think that what can happen as companies scale is founders get successful by building good product. And then they hire a bunch of people and finance people and run the planning process and everything like that. And it's like, okay, well, what's the revenue projection for this? and things like that. Whereas actually, when we built Stripe Atlas for incorporation, there was no amazing projections behind that, that one day this will be a giant business.

1:07:18

It's not a giant business for us by any kind of revenue metric, but we think it's very valuable because people start their business on Stripe and we help them with something foundational of incorporating the company and getting it off the ground. And it all kind of ties together in this very immeasurable, nebulous way. And kind of like you're saying with CUDA, I assume that it's hard to justify at that moment in time, but it seems like the right technical decision.

1:07:40

And there's something maybe where founders should be a bit more willing to follow their noses on what is right for the product and right for the user, and it'll all come out in the wash in years down the line.

1:07:51
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I'm a great believer that if you build things that are of value, then people will figure that out. It's very, very hard to keep people away from things that make their lives significantly and the easier, better, or more joyful. And I mean, I get the front row seat to this on my platform. It's crazy how fast some success stories. One of my favorite things we do is we started making these really sort of nice awards for people when they hit certain sales milestones.

1:08:26

And some of those, when I go travel, I check out who's just got them and just like sometimes deliver them. And Harley does this much more than me. And like, it's such a cool thing to talk with them. And man, like some of these businesses that had like 100 ,000 or a million sales are like 18 months old. It's just like, just cracked the code or something. And with the most, you know, talk about 1 ,000 true fans.

1:08:56

It's like millions. It's like an army created because people just were starved for this like authentic, like unabashed, like something needed to be done. Something was wrong in the world. It involved a product not existing. And that product not existing was such a bother to someone that they made it their mission to create it. And then they went through trials and tribulations. Usually, they often documenting the journey. allowing other people to ride shotgun to sort of over time try on their vision of the world, which again is not to change the world, but it's to add the thing that was missing.

1:09:36

It just makes things 1 % better, not like sort of everything is new. And they just agree with that and they love authenticity of it. They love that someone that they now have a little bit of a relationship with kind of pursued this thing that they think it was worth doing. And then the product comes out and they tell everyone and then more people buy it. And it's just like there's so much good that comes out of this.

1:10:03

And that was all value which was there for everyone to take. Like every product that sells well was a discovery. It was sort of invented but also kind of discovered. But it's that person that did it and they deserve the chronological value that comes to them. Everything about this is like it's the best part of capitalism all rolled up for everyone to inspect and review. And we get to have a front row seat from data and front row seat sometimes with giving these sort of celebration artifacts.

1:10:33

And anyway, so this is always the greatest thing. It's like just like the people who are using the platforms are actually really inspiring people.

1:10:41
John Collison

Well, you know, I feel like it must be particularly satisfying for you because there's all these edge case failure modes of capitalism of, you know, rent extraction or oligopoly or regulatory capture or everything like that. And you just have a front row seat to the pure competitive differentiation, people succeeding on the merits, and it's kind of a very pure form.

1:11:02
Tobi Lütke

I feel like you have that too. And it's like, we should write postcards to the rest of it. There's something really to this. You know, just don't, this real world thing, right? It's like, the one everyone says, your product wouldn't work in. like that sounds so dystopian is like, it does really sound quite dystopian. Like, so I don't want to have anything to do with it. I just much rather like, hey, just build this, whatever world, whatever that is, and invite everyone over.

1:11:36

And if it's good and works, then people will join. Like, it's actually that simple. And I think it's better to live in a world with not like people going direct, people communicating, right? People being real people. It's, there's no, there's very, very rarely is there a PR department or like even, there's probably a marketing strategy, but the marketing strategy works like based on, you know, just like new ideas and organically. And there are very few people being highly enabled building products that they care about.

1:12:05
John Collison

We had Mackenzie from Ambrook on here, which is SaaS for financial infrastructure for farms. But she was saying one of the big trends in agriculture right now is direct-to-consumer stuff, where you're actually transacting directly with your farmer. And I'm sure a lot of them are running on Shopify as well.

1:12:22
Tobi Lütke

What have you learned on the Coinbase board? I never had another job, really. My apprenticeship and mostly learned what not to do as a company. and then sort of had the opportunity to start Shopify, just trying literally the opposite. And that's basically the operations I've been running on. It's been amazingly successful. So thank you, Siemens. But it's so hard, especially building it in Canada, like in Ottawa and Toronto. It's funny, I always had this effect of, I came to a valley a lot when I had time and money.

1:12:53

I had all these meetings and then talked with people and they described to me how real companies do these things. And then I went home and tried to implement it. And then only years later did I realize very few of the companies describing what they're doing actually did the things that they told me. Everyone gave me sort of an idealized highlight reel, and I compared that to my average. And then I implemented how I think you could do a better job on the stuff that they described, and sometimes ended up with good things.

1:13:21

And I was very, very happy with this. And then now, obviously, I'm describing when this goes really right. And just as often, this went really wrong. So, they are just like Shopify ended up being this lopsided thing that is probably ludicrously over-engineered but advanced at certain things and then incredibly primitive at things that no one fails usually. Because in a more liquid labor market where more people build companies, the information is just more readily available.

1:13:52

What was awesome was joining Coinbase as a board because it's like here's another founder-run company, by an incredible entrepreneur that's put together, again, not by committee, but by a clear desire to build an important company, an important institution. And just holding it up and seeing what they were incredibly strong at compared to... I learned so much about my own company and I could... Have a reference point. Have a reference point. Right? So it's quite a gift.

1:14:25

I don't know when it's the right time for a successful entrepreneur to join another company. I wouldn't do it too early, but it eventually becomes quite valuable. And so Coinbase is such a remarkable company. You had Brian on. He's such an incredible entrepreneur. Your very first principles. And that was a company under brutal attack by the regulators in a way that very few companies of all time have ever faced. that's like, they went through like, the government wanted them dead.

1:14:55

And pretty much said so, right? So I learned so much about the posture that Brian took to it. He will never get enough credit for the courage and like the intestinal fortitude he's shown there. Because many of the details are internal to the company and the board, but like, God damn it, he's like good. Like I do not think I could have navigated my company through a similar barrage.

1:15:22
John Collison

Yeah, Brian strikes me as someone who is very hard to manage up to. That's always the risk for CEOs, that people are trying to construct some Potemkin village. And he was describing the policy work that they were doing. And he was saying, well, the company's meant to be the good cop and the trade group will be the bad cop. And then he's being the trade group. And it's like, wait, these are also the good cops. And so he was saying, OK, here's our new bad cop plan.

1:15:46

But again, he was just kind of refusing to go along with the things that everyone was serving up to him as the plan.

1:15:52
Tobi Lütke

I think great entrepreneurs are ungovernable. And it's the problems often arise when people somehow manage to figure out how to. I think studying failed companies is actually often more useful than you agree. What you find invariably is that the company knew exactly the stuff that was the problem. It's just like somehow CEOs got disconnected from that.

1:16:18
John Collison

Yeah, it's not so much that I want to study failures. It's that I really want to avoid making the same mistakes that other people have well-intentionally made and like found, oh yeah, no, that's a blind canyon up there. We should at least be able to make new exciting mistakes. Rob, the guy here who runs CorpDev, he's very experienced in it and he's done hundreds of acquisitions previously. But it makes him way better as a corp dev lever because it turns out that there's lots of ways for deals to go sideways.

1:16:48

And if you just have seen a lot of them before, you can keep tabs on them and be finding ways to steer away from them and things like that. And I think just avoiding the well-trodden mistakes, and if you're going to make mistakes, at least make new mistakes that haven't been discovered yet, is kind of underrated as a strategy.

1:17:04
Tobi Lütke

It's totally underrated but completely vital because you drive to a thousand paper cuts as a company. So you kind of have to first avoid it becoming a thousand. And then second, you will make mistakes. Make them original so there's alpha in it, so that you accrue some additional knowledge that now is unique to you.

1:17:22
John Collison

How do you like to be ungovernable? How do you like to avoid being managed up to? You probably can't share all your secrets, because part of them are part of the special time.

1:17:29
Tobi Lütke

I just think going direct a lot inside of a company, too. It's just like, I mean, this...

1:17:34
John Collison

The tourney of the org chart and information flowing up, being polished at each step.

1:17:37
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I'm just like, I don't think, like up and down is sort of not the right mental model. It's in and out. It's good. It's like certain decisions are best made at the outskirts of a company, closest to the customers. But I'm a big believer in many decisions have to be brought inwards as well. Like this is why product reviews are like very centralized. It's like a way of efficiently moving information completely independent of org charts.

1:18:03

I'm a fan of functionally organized companies. It's the trade-offs, it's like it is significantly harder for executives. It's very unpopular for executives because obviously they just don't own like entire shebang that they can make all decisions in and that requires a lot more collaboration which feels wrong and feels slow. But you make vastly better products in functional organizations, at least for Shopify. and you know that helps. I just like know a lot about the company like being so many details like I try to be like in AI stuff first so that I can you know I always see it as a gift when something new happens because especially like I'm very good at quickly figuring out stuff and then

1:18:53

I sit there with knowledge and I can now like look at okay who else gets there fast and those are my future leaders. Like that's a very implicit test. Oh, that's interesting. You're kind of testing some adaptability or something like that. Yeah. Like the biggest difference between people inside of any company or just like in general in industry is like some people fall in love with solutions, some people fall in love with problems. And I just like fundamentally am a person who appreciates who people fall in love with problems.

1:19:20

They're very hard to distinguish during fairly stable times. It's very hard to know who is who because if you don't change anything they look exactly the same. I like inducing change in general to suss this out. but I like, I don't know.

1:19:32
John Collison

How do you induce change? That sounds euphemistic.

1:19:35
Tobi Lütke

I don't know, just like literally like that, like do stuff. I think reorgs are sort of a standard way. All reorgs work because reorgs are valuable. It doesn't matter what your organization structure is afterwards. Well, I mean, it does, but there's some benefits to any organization structure.

1:19:52
John Collison

It shakes things out of the stasis.

1:19:53
Tobi Lütke

Well, and the advantages of any organization structure occur immediately. The disadvantages only appear over time. So if you change a lot, you do multiple things. You're also like, I think heightening your misalignment with people you don't want in a company is an enormously important thing. So like if you re-work a lot. Yeah, so if you re-work a lot, you end up, the people that have stepped out who don't like that, which is a perfect, it's probably the same position to take even.

1:20:21

If a company thrives under a lot of change and is exposing itself to a lot of change, then it's important that you are clear about that. I think you try to make your company as different from every other company as possible, which is actually, I think, the opposite of what most companies, most CEOs optimize for.

1:20:36
John Collison

And probably most professional management.

1:20:37
Tobi Lütke

Right. I think a lot of people want to make their company as similar as possible to all other companies. But I think that's, I mean, to me, that's a lack of diversity, right? There should be diversity in companies because there is diversity in people and people need to find a product.

1:20:53
John Collison

In what ways is Shopify most different to other companies?

1:20:56
Tobi Lütke

I mean, this sort of, you know, the internal tool culture is maybe an example of this. It's quite clearly R &D run in a way that quite a few companies are, but they don't acknowledge, they're obscured. We actually say it and celebrate it and say, we actually are under the opinion at this point that everyone should be able to code, at least sort of since Vype coding is around. This has gone from a, you know, have to spend all of your teenage years in a dark room, from cultivating a rare skill to spending a couple of weekends with YouTube.

1:21:28

Like, let's go. This is not a problem anymore.

1:21:31
John Collison

Speaking of teenage years, I'm always very interested in the on-ramp to entrepreneurship and the on-ramps to programming. And I'm curious, some people decry that programming has gotten harder to on-ramp into, where the first stuff I built was janky PHP webpages. But obviously, PHP is actually very nice because you're just writing code directly in the webpage and you refresh it, that's the execution environment. And now... It's a high watermark of our industry. And so have we made programming too hard to get into?

1:22:01

Yes, totally.

1:22:01
Tobi Lütke

Okay. To tell my wonderful board member, David Heinemar-Hanson, like the high watermark of the world of programming, at least web programming, was clearly when the FTP PHP file up and it was instantaneously deployed. How long does it take code to deploy these days? This is like all choices now, right? I mean, we've made some choices which are worth making. Maybe we'll do it again. Yes. But there was an immediacy and a visceralness to programming, and that clearly has been lost.

1:22:31

So lots of things have gotten incredibly amazing. And I always said, we used to say that after two years, it's like someone puts them into code base and no one changes anything. We figured out how to avoid those horrors. I think we have a very mature discipline. We've always had like a identity crisis. We always wanted to be someone else. We have significant science envy. We even attempt to call it computer science. There are some people who do computer science in the machine learning world.

1:23:07

So it's a real thing, but clearly that's not, it's a vocational art.

1:23:12
John Collison

It's not most computer science degrees.

1:23:13
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, and this is also how we eliminated things like aesthetics and beauty and stuff from our code bases. So I like when talking about it, there are beautiful code bases. There's beautiful code. It's like this code that tells a story and clearly communicates what it's there for to everyone who reads it, ideally, is an artwork of sorts. And so, yes, I think we have progressed. I think we have also advanced. but I think we don't have a clear vision to drive simplicity.

1:23:44

And I think I personally really deeply appreciate and have always prioritized hiring electrical engineers into programming roles just because they just have a better idea for the costs of inefficiency. Waste, really. You know, like you put too many chips on a thing, it's too expensive to manufacture, you will just never sell it, it's not a good product. where the zero marginal cost of copying software just means all synths are forgiven. And in fact, of course, still runs and does a thing, right?

1:24:15
John Collison

You really have to fit the whole system in your head as an electrical engineer.

1:24:18
Tobi Lütke

That's right. And so anyway, so I think we're immature. We don't know what great is. We leave a lot of this up to people, and therefore the outcomes are so different, depending on who is on the project. I mean, again, we're all getting more conscientious about it. I think they are in a counter swing to the horrors of architecture, astronauts that have caused a lot of damage to, I think, our industry over the last, especially in the 2010s.

1:24:49

So we are getting in a better spot. And then I don't know what AI it was. But the interesting thing is, I don't even think it's going to end up mattering because AI is going to solve all technical debt. So it's like maybe all it's in-sensory.

1:24:59
John Collison

You're still the prompt engineer, you're right. Exactly. Same question about on-ramps to entrepreneurship. You know, as a kid, you were selling things to your classmates. And what I observe is a lot of entrepreneurs have the same origin stories where they were entrepreneurial early. Either something like that where they had some business in school. A super common one is Patrick did web development. And, you know, when you're a kid, getting paid thousands of euros to build a website is like infinite money.

1:25:26

I didn't know such large amounts of money exist. And obviously to a small business, they're like, wow, I'm totally taking advantage of this kid for a mere, You know, a few thousand euros. And then another common one seems to be dropshipping arbitrage. You know, this whole thing of like buying on AliExpress and selling on eBay or something like that. But you maybe have a window into this with Shopify or something. Do you have a sense of what the right, like if a 13, 14-year-old is listening to this and interested in making money, what are the areas where you think are kind of good to pursue today?

1:25:56
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I think these reps are the important thing. The mechanisms change and there's like entrepreneurship clubs are really like using Shopify a lot. And like it's, I love that. And I, this is one of those areas I would love to go much deeper on. Like just because it's like such a, it's, it's, it would be so fun to really, really, you know, build directly for them. The super important thing is just go through life, like understanding that like everything around you is built.

1:26:21

You wrote one of my favorite tweets of all time. Probably like actually maybe a high water mark on X, like on this topic. The world's museum of passion projects. That's right. And I love that because if you can teach that to students, it's worth more than most of the entire curriculums of subjects. And so I think the commonality behind entrepreneurs is that they early in life, they somehow something happened that told them that the world is dynamic and it changes.

1:26:53

some of us I had the enormous advantage of living exactly sort of at the time when events of computers to no computers like in homes and like I had one early and lots of my neighbors didn't so I had the counterfactual there of and I'm being just absolutely fascinated with them and then networks came in my teens internet um so I had a front row seat to a world like like The world around me in this small sleepy town in Germany was irreconcilable with what was becoming possible.

1:27:26

It was so clear that so much would change. And so I think that dissuade me of sleepwalking through the world. It just made me like this, okay, that's fun. I'm sitting on a piece of information that everyone around me doesn't believe yet, but is clearly true and I'm going to bet on. And so I'm going to take reps looking at things around me and figuring out how we could be done better. And that process is, I think, the most valuable process to cultivate as a young adult or teenager.

1:27:58
John Collison

So the meta process is more important than the actual domain you choose.

1:28:01
Tobi Lütke

I agree. Yeah, absolutely. I think if you spot opportunities, see what you can do with it. It's a really important thing. I think we overemphasize those stories and de-emphasize the process that causes this. It's building the habit of looking at things and thinking about, A, do I know how to make a better version of this, which you should do anyway? And then we definitely underestimate and under-celebrate and under-lineize.

1:28:30
John Collison

The Beatles Hamburg days.

1:28:32
Tobi Lütke

And acting on this impulse would mean I'm going to spend the next five years of my life doing this. And I'm willing to pay what that costs. And for you, is that just doing a lot of programming as a teenager? Programming is how I just like made things different. And, you know, like I went to these classical language schools. I was bad at Latin. We started with Latin. I only got English in like an eighth grade, hence my accent.

1:28:59
John Collison

But your Latin accent is excellent.

1:29:00
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I imagine. Well, no, because no one knows how that actually sounds, and it's definitely not German. So everyone just like, it goes off. Anyway, I just hated doing the vocabulary tests. I was bad at it. So at some point, I wrote software for teaching myself, basically similar to, I suppose, what's called spaced repetition now. But like, it's just like, and it's like, there's a little basic shell script, right? Like, and it's stupid, but like, something about making this and then using it made it interesting enough that I did it.

1:29:31

And so it's a very clear moment where I went from, I think I got a D on a test, which was starting to be problematic. I just like A's for the rest of my life. And it's just like, that is a crazy experience. This is a thing that didn't exist, but fits me personally. Maybe my first internal tool. So yeah, it changes you. Exactly. It made you passionate about building your own software.

1:29:51
John Collison

You mentioned spaced repetition. The other interesting educational topic, De Jura's Mastery Learning in the Bloom Two Sigma effect. How do you put that into practice, do you, with your own kids?

1:30:03
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, so my kids. I have three boys, 15, 13, 11. And they go to a school, a boys' school, which we are quite fond of. And I mean, my kids, they're quite nerdy. So it's just like that. I met them, yeah. Yeah, so I love them to bits. I can't wait to go home. It's such a fun time. Everyone should have kids. and the particular mechanisms by, I don't know. It's like the most important principle of, like parity principle I have is everything's interesting.

1:30:38

This is a sentence you will hear a lot in our household. It's what kids say it. No one is allowed to say they're bad at something. They're only ever allowed to say they are not good at something yet. So that's basically the entire set of principles.

1:30:51
John Collison

We're not good at gross margins yet.

1:30:54
Tobi Lütke

Exactly, yes. We choose not, yes. You know, and making a joke is funny too, right? Like, it's just like, I want them to have those things in their priors because like, it's really easy to say something is annoying, but like, it's much, much harder to figure out what you would have to do to make it interesting for yourself. And I think that's, there just isn't anything that is not actually interesting. You spend a long time in banking.

1:31:19

It doesn't sound terribly interesting to me initially, but like, I've learned enough about it, I've read books about double-entry accounting and the history thereof. And it's just absolutely fascinating.

1:31:28
John Collison

Did we recommend the Calamira's book to you, Fragile by Design, which is a history of various countries' banking system? I'm literally just reading it. Oh, you are? Okay. The Canada chapter is particularly good. It's like a history of the Canadian banking system.

1:31:40
Tobi Lütke

I'm very fond of Canada right now, which is like, it needs a new origin, I think.

1:31:45
John Collison

Yeah, yeah. Well, I found it interesting how it kind of explains the path dependence of how each country gets to where it is. Speaking of Canada, what's your advice for Mark Carney?

1:31:54
Tobi Lütke

Yeah, I mean, it's funny. Our partnership is very, very storied and layered, and somehow your board members are not my prime minister. So that's fun. Look, I love Canada. I live more in Canada than Germany for longer. I think it's a beautiful project. It's a beautiful implementation of different implementation from the United States or from Europe of classical liberalism. It's very much veered into socialism under Trudeau. he pushed that very, very hard. I am very much hoping that Mark is helping all of Canada to figure out that that's a successful discovery of something that doesn't work because obviously that kind of push socialism always leads to poverty.

1:32:37
John Collison

The problem with socializing is eventually run out of other people's money.

1:32:40
Tobi Lütke

Exactly. And so it's just like, and it doesn't need it because it's such an incredibly, like, I mean, I built Canada's largest company now at this point by market cap as an immigrant. And I think the advantage I had as an immigrant is I wasn't sort of aware that we are supposed to, you know, make small plans. So I made big plans, you know, just like and held everyone accountable to that. And it turns out you can build world-class companies if you do that.

1:33:05

And there doesn't need to be any kind of inferiority like there. And also, just like from first principles, it's like it's just like, I mean, first of all, it is attached to like next door to the best consumer market on planet Earth. until 15 minutes ago, we were good friends. And it's, you know, it has in the ground basically as much, like it's number one, two or three on every single resource that is of value in the next manufacturing buildup age.

1:33:37

So like we should probably get on extracting some of those resources and do something. I think it can be richest country in the world if it shows so. And it just needs to make a decision that it wants that. And I'm very optimistic about Mark pushing into that direction. And I hope he's going to push very far because I think there's no advantage of waiting.

1:34:02
John Collison

So taking economic growth and GDP growth seriously, which has obviously plateaued somewhat in Canada in recent years, and then being willing to make the potentially controversial policy decisions and kind of changes that are required to actually enable that.

1:34:14
Tobi Lütke

Well, I mean, the things that are controversial, policy decisions are just like controversial for path dependence, not real. Like Canada has something crazy to tell people, but there's like this incredible heartburn over pipelines, which are like things that go underground next to highways. And it's just like no one knows that there's a pipe. Like the only thing a pipeline does is you don't need diesel trucks. That's the only thing. And you can save a lot of diesel.

1:34:44

It also changes the cost basis and like Canada has all these resources and they need to somehow get to ports. And so it just like feels like these like tiny little implementation details. It's like as if computer manufacturers would somehow get down on copper cables, right? Like it's a weird thing. And so deep politicizing just like implementation details that professionals can do. It's odd because Canada for instance doesn't have this on nuclear power. Like, where I live in Ontario, it's like the grid is entirely clean.

1:35:13

It's like the Bruce Nuclear Power Plant, which we constantly build more reactors for, which is like every time under budget and before schedule, like six, seven gigawatts now and just humming and then the rest is... It's the cleanest grid in the world. And so, like, the funny thing is it doesn't even need it because it has all the other stuff too that it could just use, but we could have this too. So, like, I think there's like the blueprint is obvious.

1:35:37

Well, actually, my main advice to him is always like, I want him to, in fact, ideally talk to you about the Shannon Economic Zone because I feel like it's like a blueprint for success in Canada because I think we can build data centers or space ports and stuff like it's much faster. And my hope is that Canada can build up an economy and a meritful market and so on, which makes it like, can get back to doing what Canada's best, which is like succeed by helping America succeed and just work together and let's go.

1:36:12
John Collison

And as you say, energy could be a big part of that. As you mentioned nuclear, I was thinking about hydro where obviously Canada has a ton of hydro already. Like you were saying, the 7 gigawatt nuclear power station, but I think La Grande Rive is a 7 gigawatt project and could be a lot more. I think there's other phases that were not

1:36:28
Tobi Lütke

done. Absolutely massive. On every single angle you look, every single time I learn about a new resource that people probably need a lot of, if I look it's just like there. It's just unexplored.

1:36:39
John Collison

Yeah. Maybe last question. We have your Daytona car here. What is the draw of motor racing to you?

1:36:50
Tobi Lütke

Yeah. I mean, I just love it, and it's surprising to me. Honestly, this is one of the weird... Sorry, is it or isn't surprising? It is surprising to me. So it's like, you know, so I love like kind of figuring out my own limitations or propensities. Like it's just like I think it's like some it's a game everyone is playing, I think, to some degree, maybe less conscientiously. I try on every hobby that anyone I admire gets into because it's like maybe I'm interested in it too.

1:37:22

I wouldn't know. Like, again, everything is interesting. Motorsports was like not really something I high likelihood or betting average on liking because I didn't even have a driver license. after coming to Canada, after my German one expired. And so a couple of friends took me to, like, I went to a track, and I went out, and I just, like, immediately fell in love with it. There's something just incredible, and I love competing against myself, I guess.

1:37:47

I think that's the thing. I just, like, I race in races, and I don't even try to win. I'm, like, I'm still competing against myself, and I see all the other cars as obstacles. and so there's just like this beautiful thing about it's technical and you're connected with this like four basically playing card size patches of rubber to the ground and there's only so much grip to get out of them and like trying to get to like 99 .9 percent of like lateral acceleration or turning understanding the weight transitions of the cards and all these kind of things and trying to get to the best lap time you can.

1:38:30

And the difference between that lap time and the theoretical possible lap time is just the exact report card of all your inadequacies as a driver. And next lap, you try to do it slightly better and better and better and just hone this craft. It's like the immediacy and the adrenaline. It's just a brilliant thing which I discovered for myself. So I started taking it more seriously over a couple of years and now like Daytona this year and hopefully do the big 24-hour.

1:39:01
John Collison

Which is a 24-hour relay race, right? Like you swap with other drivers? Yeah, that's right.

1:39:05
Tobi Lütke

So one car, 24. It's actually, if you watch the Formula One cinema movie, that starts at that race. Ah, okay. It was really fun to see. Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's like I've done the getting up in the middle of the night, walk exactly down that first scene, the red pit walks, like down to the pits. and only our pit stall was even exactly the one you went to wear in a movie and then get in the car and you're very, very tired in the middle of night.

1:39:30

So I have to say.

1:39:31
John Collison

I found out recently they sold sponsorships for the fake F1 teams in that movie and made a lot of money on that. Brilliant.

1:39:39
Tobi Lütke

Incredible bit of product placement. I mean, if you think about it, Formula One itself is such a made-up thing. It's so synthetic. It's like we just decided to create a document, which is a set of rules. And somehow, because that document existed, like, 20 teams moved cars around the planet, which is, like, also one of the bull cases. Like, I don't even believe in AI unemployment to begin with. It's not how things work. But if you were worried about it, F1 is a good thing.

1:40:05

I think F1 is kind of proving that we can just make up completely incredible pursuits, especially with AI and robotics. We can make it cheaper, and then, like, let's go.

1:40:14
John Collison

Yeah, there's a great—I mean, the history of F1 is super interesting. There was a great Colossus podcast on the history of F1 describing basically the Bernie Ecclestone era, which came with the emergence of TV, obviously. And there's even things like the different race schedules were not standardized. And there was like multiple – like not every team would show up to every race or whatever. And so he really kind of harangued everyone into kind of a standardized thing.

1:40:36

But then it feels like the modern era, especially with Netflix, I think they've very successfully internalized that they're selling an entertainment product. and some people will watch every race every weekend. But like, I'm not going to watch every F1 race, but I will watch Drive to Survive. Like that is an appropriate short form amount of F1 for me. And so I think they've actually very savvily internalized that their F1 is an entertainment product and it needs to be kind of consumable in all the appropriate form factors.

1:41:06
Tobi Lütke

And they just gave access to the sort of intrigue in politics and just characters behind it. Like Formula 1 drives are crazy people, right? but it's a nutty thing to basically drive a billboard around at 350 kilometers an hour. So the characters are larger than life and absolutely driven by almost zero-sum competitors. No one's there to just compete against themselves.

1:41:28
John Collison

And part of how it works, I remember hearing Zach Brown, the McLaren team principal, talk about how Netflix is everywhere in the paddocks and around and things like that. And he was saying, yes, you're aware that you've signed a thing that Netflix microphones will be everywhere, but they're really savvy where they'll have the, like in a spy movie, they'll have the directional microphones trained on you from like a super far away distance. And you just end up forgetting that like you're on a hot mic your entire day while trying to actually manage a race.

1:41:56

And so I think they get authentic content because yeah, in theory, people know that they're on camera and on a microphone all the time, but you actually just can't live your life that way. You know, you just forget. And so they actually get kind of interesting content.

1:42:09
Tobi Lütke

I completely agree. and it's like the season is long they do many races it's actually amazing what they do you know like fantastic athletes they lose like 5-10 pounds yeah yeah Singapore night race so it's pretty amazing and like it's a fantastic sport I actually love what Netflix did because like I mean Liberty Media is one of those companies you kind of have to like Germ alone like I mean Cable Cowboy is already one of the best it's a great book it's such a great book and then like

1:42:35
John Collison

you know he wrote a book he's like it's coming out soon imminently I did not know it yeah he has an autobiography so That'll be fireworks. Yeah, it'll be really good. I agree.

1:42:43
Tobi Lütke

Well, look, thank you, Dobby. This was fun. This was super fun. So it's really, really fortuitous what you have as an Irish pub just popped up in your office. Exactly, yes.