In brief
Generative AI is a tool available to every company, so using it for generic jobs like cutting costs or drafting code will not create a lasting edge over rivals. Jay Barney argues that sustained advantage still comes from resources that are valuable, rare and costly to copy, such as trust, brand, supplier relationships and culture. AI pays off only when it is tied to those strengths.
The tension is between urgency and durability. Barney says leaders should adopt AI quickly everywhere it helps, because failing to do so is a competitive disadvantage. But that adoption only buys parity. CEOs must work out what makes their firm special and point AI at it, while tempering spending expectations. Agility, the ability to absorb change, is itself a possible advantage.
Facts
Stated by the speakers. Each quote matches the transcript, which shows what was said, not that it is true.
Jay Barney, a professor at the University of Utah's Eccles School of Business, co-authored the Harvard Business Review article 'AI Won't Give You a New Sustainable Advantage' with Martin Reeves of Boston Consulting Group.
“Jay Barney is a professor at the University of Utah's Eccles School of Business. With Martin Reeves of Boston Consulting Group, he co-authored the HBR article, AI won't give you a new sustainable advantage.”
0:01:33 · Alison Beard · HBR article
Barney says firms are using generative AI to produce first drafts of code, which humans then refine.
“Firms are using GenAI to, right now, produce the first draft of code, and then a human being will go through and then update and make it make it more elegant or whatever.”
0:03:10 · Jay Barney · Coding
Barney says boilerplate contracting work in the legal profession is expected to be substantially affected by generative AI.
“in the legal profession, a lot of the sort of boilerplate contracting work and and other kinds of work that the lawyers historically have done is”
0:02:24 · Jay Barney · Legal work
Barney compares building a general-purpose proprietary AI system to a company building its own word processor to gain advantage.
“It's kinda like deciding, Gee, we wanna get a competitive advantage from word processing, so we'll build our own word processing system.”
0:04:46 · Jay Barney · Proprietary AI
Barney argues proprietary AI software is unlikely to provide sustained advantage because competitors can build their own.
“if it one firm can develop proprietary software, then its competitors can also develop that proprietary software, and so even that is unlikely to be a source of, uh, sustained advantage.”
0:05:20 · Jay Barney · Proprietary software
Barney uses the example of a 15-year database on customers, suppliers and employees to illustrate unique proprietary data.
“suppose that your company, uh, has developed a very long, very complex database that summarizes, uh, information you've collected about your customers, your suppliers, and your employees for the last 15 years.”
0:06:00 · Jay Barney · Proprietary data
Barney says sampling theory suggests seeking the smallest dataset that reveals the patterns needed, and that research is under way on minimal datasets for generative AI.
“sampling theory suggests that, uh, we should actually be trying to figure out what's the smallest sample of smallest data set we need to have in order to generalize”
0:07:30 · Jay Barney · Sampling theory
Barney says results from using generative AI feed back into its data, which creates a second-mover advantage.
“when you use GenAI to do something, the results of the analysis you've done then feed back into the data set, and so the GenAI becomes smarter after you've done your work.”
0:08:33 · Jay Barney · Second-mover advantage
Barney says companies should use generative AI widely and quickly because access is currently inexpensive.
“Obviously, you should be using GenAI pretty much everywhere where you can, as quickly as you can, especially since access to GenAI is actually not that expensive right now.”
0:09:02 · Jay Barney · Adoption
Barney states that sustained competitive advantage requires resources or capabilities that are valuable, rare and costly to imitate.
“you have to have resources or capabilities that are valuable, that are rare and costly to imitate.”
0:09:54 · Jay Barney · Competitive advantage
Barney cites Amazon's complex relationships with millions of suppliers and customers as a setting where generative AI can add value.
“In order for Amazon to run its business model, it has to have relationships with its suppliers and customers, and there's millions of them, and it's deeply complicated.”
0:09:54 · Jay Barney · Amazon example
Barney and Reeves call a firm's ability to apply new technology cleverly and manage change 'agility' in their paper.
“We we in the paper, we call it agility. Some firms are able to take that, uh, new technology and apply it in an agile and a clever and creative way”
0:10:59 · Jay Barney · Agility
Barney lists friendship, trust, supplier relationships and brand names as examples of socially complex resources that are hard to imitate.
“They're things like friendship, trust, relationships with suppliers, brand names, which are, uh, which are a promise to consumers about what your brand stands for.”
0:12:02 · Jay Barney · Social complexity
Barney says capabilities that take years to develop through sequential steps are likely sources of sustained advantage.
“You can't go from where you are to where you want to be just by working hard. You have to go through a series of steps and processes to get there.”
0:12:02 · Jay Barney · Path dependence
The Barney and Reeves paper uses the example of asking generative AI for seven new kinds of toothbrushes to illustrate work that yields only competitive parity.
“We use the example in the, uh, in the paper of, uh, toothbrush example, you know, asking GenAI to generate a list of 7 new kinds of toothbrushes.”
0:15:28 · Jay Barney · Toothbrush example
Barney says firms at generative AI conferences openly discuss cost-cutting methods, which he says helps competitors imitate them.
“I go to these conferences on GenAI, and a a firms are just talking about all the cool ways they pull out costs, uh, in various processes in their organizations.”
0:15:55 · Jay Barney · Imitation
Barney advises that CEOs should focus on understanding and protecting their firm's sources of sustained advantage, while functional managers focus on creating value with AI.
“CEOs, on the other hand, should be focused on understanding, nurturing, protecting, growing these sources of sustained competitive advantage.”
0:18:14 · Jay Barney · CEO role
Barney compares generative AI to the introduction of personal computers, which changed everything yet did not alone confer competitive advantage.
“I remember when PCs were first introduced, you know, this will change everything, and in fact, it did change everything.”
0:18:53 · Jay Barney · PC analogy
Barney illustrates that a firm of 10,000 employees might run about 20,000 generative AI experiments a day.
“we have 10,000 employees, that means there are probably 20,000 GenAI experiments a day, some of which have no value at all, but some of which might be quite valuable”
0:21:57 · Jay Barney · Experimentation
Barney suggests companies run generative AI competitions, with prizes such as a thousand dollars, to harness employee experimentation.
“you can have GenAI competitions where you say, Hey, if you come up a really cool application of GenAI, submit it to this people, this this group”
0:22:25 · Jay Barney · Employee competitions