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Lex Fridman Podcast

#419 – Sam Altman: OpenAI, GPT-5, Sora, Board Saga, Elon Musk, Ilya, Power & AGI

18 Mar 2024 · 2h 2m · Lex Fridman, Sam Altman · 19 quoted facts

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In brief

Sam Altman argues that the road to artificial general intelligence (AGI, meaning AI as capable as people across many tasks) will be a power struggle. He says no single person or company should control it, and that governance, public releases and broad access to tools matter as much as the technology. He describes GPT-4 as a primitive first step.

The conversation moves between personal and technical subjects. Altman recounts the painful November 2023 board crisis and the lessons it taught him about structure and trust. He then turns to Musk's lawsuit, Sora, future models, compute, energy and safety. The tension is between moving fast toward AGI and building institutions that can withstand the pressure.

Key insights

  1. The board crisis exposed a nonprofit governance flaw

    Altman says a nonprofit board answers to no shareholders, so it holds great power with little accountability. After the crisis the board was rebuilt with more experienced members, chosen as a group ('slates') rather than one at a time.

  2. Altman wants no personal control over AGI

    He says he has never wanted super-voting control, and that governments, not companies, should set rules of the road. He admits the failed firing showed the board's legal power didn't work in practice.

  3. Releasing models gradually is OpenAI's safety strategy

    Altman says OpenAI publicised GPT-1 through GPT-4 instead of building in secret, so people and institutions can adapt. He worries that outsiders still see big leaps, so he wonders whether releases should be even more gradual.

  4. Compute may become a global commodity like energy

    Altman says demand for compute depends on price, unlike smartphone chips, because people would use far more if it were cheap. He names energy as the hardest constraint and points to fusion and new fission reactors.

  5. Altman measures AI by tasks, not jobs

    He says the useful question is what share of 5-second, 5-minute, 5-hour and even 5-day tasks AI can do. He expects people to work at higher levels of abstraction rather than be wholesale replaced.

Questions

What actually happened in the OpenAI board crisis?

Altman says the board fired him on a Friday in November 2023. Two board members then asked him to return, and on Sunday evening the board named an interim CEO. He later returned with a new board.

Why is Elon Musk suing OpenAI, according to Altman?

Altman says he doesn't know Musk's real motives. He claims Musk left after wanting total control, and wanted OpenAI folded into Tesla or made for-profit under his control. Altman suggests the lawsuit isn't really about open source.

Will ChatGPT ever show ads?

Altman says he dislikes ads and likes that users pay and know answers aren't swayed by advertisers. He allows that some ad format might work, but he believes OpenAI can fund its compute costs without ads.

When does Altman think AGI will arrive?

He says the question is poorly defined, because people use very different definitions. He expects remarkably capable systems by the end of this decade, possibly sooner.

What is the 'Q*' project, and is OpenAI hiding AGI?

Altman declined to explain Q*, saying only that OpenAI researches better reasoning and hasn't cracked it yet. He says nobody, including Ilya Sutskever, has seen AGI.

Facts

Stated by the speakers. Each quote matches the transcript, which shows what was said, not that it is true.

Sam Altman says the OpenAI board shrank from nine members to six over about a year because the members couldn't agree on additions.

“It was nine and then it went down to six and then we couldn't agree on who to add.”

0:14:52 · Sam Altman · Board size · 2023

Sam Altman says Larry Summers was suggested for the new board by the old board members during the crisis weekend.

“Larry was actually one of their suggestions, the old board members”

0:15:29 · Sam Altman · Board selection · 2023

Sam Altman says two board members called him on the Saturday after his firing to discuss his returning to OpenAI.

“Saturday morning, uh, two of the board members called and said, Hey, we, you know, destabilized.”

0:22:04 · Sam Altman · Board crisis · 2023

Sam Altman says OpenAI's unusual structure evolved by repeatedly patching a nonprofit as it needed far more capital.

“How do we patch the structure? Um, and then patch it again and patch it again.”

0:32:32 · Sam Altman · Corporate structure

Sam Altman says Elon Musk wanted to make OpenAI a for-profit company under his control or merge it with Tesla.

“He wanted to make OpenAI into a for profit company that he could have control of or have it merge with Tesla.”

0:34:27 · Sam Altman · Musk dispute

Sam Altman says Grok, from Musk's xAI, had not been open sourced until people pointed out the hypocrisy.

“Grok had not open sourced anything until people pointed out it was a little bit hypocritical”

0:37:23 · Sam Altman · Open source · 2024

Sam Altman said OpenAI uses lots of human-labeled data in its work, without giving specifics about how Sora is trained.

“I mean, without saying anything specific about the Sora approach, we we use lots of human data in our work.”

0:44:35 · Sam Altman · Sora training · 2024

Sam Altman argues the right way to measure AI's economic impact is the share of tasks it can do, rather than the share of jobs replaced.

“The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do?”

0:48:47 · Sam Altman · AI and work

Sam Altman says most users don't need GPT-4 Turbo's 128K-token context window most of the time.

“Most people don't need all the way to 128 most of the time.”

0:56:58 · Sam Altman · Context window · 2024

Sam Altman says ChatGPT's memory feature is an early step toward a model that learns about its user and becomes more useful over time.

“I think what people want, or at least what I want for myself, is a model that gets to know me and gets more useful to me over time.”

1:02:42 · Sam Altman · AI memory · 2024

Sam Altman says OpenAI practises iterative deployment, publicising each GPT version instead of building GPT-5 in secret.

“rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT five, we decided to talk about GPT one, two, three and four.”

1:11:08 · Sam Altman · Release strategy

Sam Altman used a rough estimate of 3 billion smartphone chips a year to argue that compute behaves unlike the phone chip market.

“Let's say they upgrade every two years, so the market per year is 3 billion system on chip for smartphones.”

1:17:22 · Sam Altman · Compute market · 2024

Sam Altman says Helion is doing the best work on nuclear fusion, which he sees as part of the energy answer for AI compute.

“I think Helion's doing the best work, but I'm happy there's like a race for fusion right now.”

1:18:39 · Sam Altman · Fusion energy · 2024

Sam Altman says the safest AGI scenario is a short timeline to AGI followed by a slow takeoff.

“I think short timelines, slow takeoff is the safest quadrant and the one I'd most like us to be in.”

1:22:11 · Sam Altman · AI safety

Sam Altman says ChatGPT's subscription model means users pay and are not the product, which he prefers over ad-supported models.

“we have a very simple business model and I like it. And I know that I'm not the product, like, I know I'm paying”

1:27:37 · Sam Altman · Business model

Lex Fridman cited a controversy in which Google's Gemini image generation produced historically inaccurate images such as Black Nazis and Black founding fathers.

“The Gemini 1.5 came out recently. There's a lot of drama around it, speaking of theatrical things, and it generated, uh, Black Nazis and Black founding fathers.”

1:29:58 · Lex Fridman · Gemini controversy · 2024

Sam Altman proposes that AI companies publish the desired behavior of their models, so users can tell whether a failure is a bug or intended policy.

“it'd be nice to write out what the desired behavior of a model is, make that public, take input on it”

1:30:52 · Sam Altman · Model behavior

Sam Altman expects very capable AI systems by the end of the 2020s, possibly sooner, while calling the term AGI poorly defined.

“I expect that by the end of this decade, and possibly somewhat sooner than that, we will have quite capable systems”

1:39:51 · Sam Altman · AGI timeline · 2020s

Sam Altman says he has never had or wanted super-voting control over OpenAI, even after the board crisis.

“I continue to not want super voting control over OpenAI.”

1:46:18 · Sam Altman · Governance · 2024

Chapters

  1. 0:07:59Altman recounts the November 2023 board crisis

    Altman calls the firing and reinstatement the most painful experience of his career. He describes the weekend of shifting events and the support he felt.

    “That was definitely the most painful professional experience of my life”
  2. 0:13:49Why the nonprofit board had too much power

    Altman explains that a nonprofit board answers to no shareholders, and how the new board was assembled with more experience.

    “the board of a nonprofit has, unless you put other rules in place”
  3. 0:34:27Musk's lawsuit and what 'open' means

    Altman gives his account of why Musk left OpenAI and defends the company's approach to free access and selective open-sourcing.

    “He wanted total control to sort of turn it around.”
  4. 0:41:50Sora, world models and creators

    The pair discuss what video models understand about the world, their limits, and how artists should be compensated.

    “It's just some of it works and some of it doesn't work.”
  5. 0:52:30GPT-4, memory and the next model

    Altman says GPT-4 will look bad in hindsight, and discusses long context, memory and slower reasoning.

    “it is our job to live a few years in the future”
  6. 1:16:47Compute, energy and the arms race

    Altman explains why he thinks compute is the key resource and that energy is its hardest bottleneck. He also describes the safety risks of competition.

    “compute is gonna be the currency of the future.”
  7. 1:25:58Search, ads and model bias

    Altman rejects building a better Google and explains his dislike of ads. He proposes publishing how models should behave.

    “I don't think the world needs another copy of Google.”
  8. 1:45:00AGI, power and who should control it

    Altman discusses the timeline for AGI, his refusal of personal control, and what worries him most about the technology.

    “I, nor any other one person, have total control over OpenAI or over AGI”

Transcript

0:00:00
Lex Fridman

The following is a conversation with Sam Altman, his 2nd time on the podcast. He is the CEO of OpenAI, the company behind GPT, four, ChatGPT, Sora, and perhaps one day, the very company that will build AGI. And now, a quick few second mention of each sponsor. Check them out in the description. It's the best way to support this podcast. We got a new sponsor, Cloaked for protecting your personal information, Shopify for selling stuff online, BetterHelp for helping out your mind, and ExpressVPN for protecting your privacy and security on the interwebs.

0:00:43

Choose wisely, my friends. Also, if you want to work with our amazing team, we're always hiring, or if you just wanna get in touch with me, uh, go to Lexfridman. com. Contact. And now on to the full ad reads. As always, no ads in the middle. I try to make this interesting, but if you must skip them, friends, please do. Check out our sponsors. I enjoy their stuff, maybe you will, too. This episode is brought to you by Cloaked, a sponsor I didn't know existed until quite recently, and always thought a thing like this should exist, and I couldn't quite find a thing like it that existed.

0:01:19

And once I found it, it was pretty awesome. It's a platform that lets you generate new email addresses and phone numbers every time you sign up for a website. So it's, uh, called a masked email, which basically creates, I guess you could say, it's a fake email that hides your actual email, but it's not fake in that it actually exists and persists throughout time. And the website thinks it's real, but it just forwards to your actual email.

0:01:44

You can set up the forwarding. The point is, the website or service that you sign up for doesn't know your actual phone number and doesn't know your actual email. So this is a really interesting idea because when you sign up to different websites, there's a kind of contract, unspoken contract, that the email you provide and the phone number you provide will not be abused. For the kind of abuse I'm talking about, in sort of the best case, just spammed, or in the worst case, that email or phone number being sold out there.

0:02:14

And then you get not just spam from one source, but spam from all of the sources all over the place. Anyway, this is just a smart thing to protect yourself, and it also does basic, uh, password manager stuff, so you can think of Cloaked as a just a great password manager with extra privacy superpowers. You can go to Cloaked dot com. Slash Lex to get 14 days free, or, for a limited time, use code Lexpod when signing up to get 25 off an annual Cloaked plan.

0:02:46

This episode is also brought to you by Shopify, a platform designed for anyone, yes, anyone, including me, to sell anywhere with a great looking, uh, online store. I use it to sell some t shirts at Lexfridman. com. Store, you can check it out. I use the most basic store. It took just a few minutes and the store was up, from the uh, shirt design being finished to the store being alive and being able to sell t shirts and ship those t shirts.

0:03:18

Thanks to the integration with a third party, which there's thousands of integrations with a third party. So for T shirts, that's like on demand printing, so you don't have to take care of the shipping and the printing and all that kind of stuff. All of that is integrated, super easy to do, and this works for any kind of business that sells stuff online. You can integrate into your own website, or you can sell it on Shopify itself, which is what I do.

0:03:44

You can sign up for a one per month trial period at Shopify. com. Slash Lex all lowercase. Go to Shopify. com slash Lex to take your business to the next level today. This episode is also brought to you by BetterHelp spelled H E L P help. They figure out what you need and match you with a licensed therapist in under 48 h. Works for individuals, works for couples. I'm a huge fan of, uh, talking as a way of exploring the human mind, two people talking with a motivation and a goal in mind.

0:04:22

Of, uh, surfacing certain kinds of problems and alleviating those kinds of problems, sometimes the surfacing in itself does a lot of the alleviation. Returning to a time in the past when trauma happened, and to reframe it in a way that helps you understand, that helps you forgive, that helps you let go, all of that, that's really powerful. And betterhelp just, uh, is an accessible way of doing that, or at least trying talk therapy. So they've helped a lot of people, 4.4 million people got help, so you could be one of those if you wanna try.

0:05:01

Check them out at betterhelp. com. Slash Lex and save on your 1st month. That's betterhelp. com. Slash Lex. This episode is also brought to you by ExpressVPN. I love that there's a, uh, kind of privacy theme to the sponsors in this episode. I think everybody should be using a VPN for many reasons. One, it can allow you to geographically transport yourself, but the main reason is it just adds this extra layer of security and privacy between you and the ISP.

0:05:35

That they say they're technically not supposed to be collecting the data when you use things like Chrome or Cognito, but they can be collecting the data. I don't know how the laws of that works, but I wouldn't trust it, so a VPN is essential for that. My favorite VPN for many many years has been ExpressVPN. Big, sexy button still works, looks different, but still works on any operating system, my favorite being Linux.

0:05:59

I can talk forever about why I love Linux. I wonder if Linux will be around with all this AI, with all this rapid AI development. Maybe programmers programming is a way of life, as a recreation for millions, as a profession for millions, will die out, and there'll only be a handful of few, like the Cobalt programmers of today. That carry the flag of knowing what Linux is, how to spell Linux, let alone use it. I wonder, hopefully not, because there's always room for optimizing at every level of the compilation, from the human language to the AI language, to the machine language, to the zeros and ones, the compilation of the entire stack.

0:06:49

I think there's a lot of jobs to be had, a lot of really profitable, well paying jobs to be had there, but maybe not millions of people are needed. Maybe there'll be millions of people that program with just natural language, with just words, English or whatever new language we create that. The whole world can use, and the whole world in using can help break down the barriers of language. We arrived here, friends, when we started at the meager explanation of the use of a VPN.

0:07:18

You can also take this journey by going to ExpressVPn. com. Slash lexpod for an extra three months free. This is a Lex Fridman podcast. To support it, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now, dear friends, here's Sam Altman. Take me through the OpenAI board saga that started on Thursday, November 16th, maybe Friday, November 17th. For you.

0:07:59
Sam Altman

That was definitely the most painful professional experience of my life, and chaotic and shameful and upsetting, and a bunch of other negative things. Uh, there were great things about it too. And I wish, I wish it had not been in such an adrenaline rush that I wasn't able to stop and appreciate them at the time. But um, I came across this old tweet of mine, or this tweet of mine from that time period, which was like it was like, you know, kind of going to your own eulogy, watching people say all these great things about you, and, uh, just like unbelievable support from people I I love and care about.

0:08:46

Uh, that was really nice. Um, that whole weekend, I, I kind of like, felt, with one big exception, I, I felt like a great deal of love and very little hate. Um, even though it felt like it, just I have no idea what's happening and what's gonna happen here, and this feels really bad. And there were definitely times I thought it was gonna be like one of the worst things to ever happen for AI safety. Well, I also think I'm happy that it happened relatively early.

0:09:21

I thought at some point between when OpenAI started and when we created AGI, there was gonna be something crazy and explosive that happened, but there may be more crazy and explosive things still to happen. Um, it still, I think, helped us build up some resilience and be ready for more challenges in the future.

0:09:48
Lex Fridman

But the thing you had a sense that you would experience is some kind of power struggle,

0:09:54
Sam Altman

The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle, like the world should. I like, well, not should. I expect that to be the case,

0:10:03
Lex Fridman

and so you have to go through that. As like you said, iterate as often as possible. Uh, in figuring out how to have a board structure, how to have organization, how to have, um, the kind of people that you're working with, how to communicate all that. In order to, uh, deescalate the power struggle as much as possible, pacify it.

0:10:24
Sam Altman

but at this point it feels, you know, like something that was in the past that was really unpleasant and really difficult and painful. But we're back to work and things are so busy and so intense that I don't spend a lot of time thinking about it. There was a time after, uh, there was like this fugue state, um, for kind of like the month after, maybe 45 days after that was. I was just sort of like drifting through the days, I was so out of it, um, I was feeling so down.

0:11:04
Lex Fridman

Just on a personal, psychological level.

0:11:05
Sam Altman

yeah, really painful, um, and hard to, like, have to keep running open AI. In the middle of that, I just wanted to, like, crawl into a cave and kind of recover for a while. But, you know, now it's like, we're just back to working on the mission.

0:11:24
Lex Fridman

Well, it's still useful to go back there and reflect on board structures, on power dynamics, on how companies are run, the tension between research and product development and money and all this kind of stuff. So that you, who have a very high potential of building AGI, would do so in a slightly more organized, less dramatic way in the future. So there's value there to go. Both the personal, psychological aspects of you as a leader, and also just the the board structure and all this kind of messy stuff.

0:12:04
Sam Altman

definitely learned a lot about, um, structure and incentives, and um, what we need out of a a board, um, and I think that is. It is valuable that this happened now, in some sense. Um, I think this is probably not like the last high stress moment of OpenAI, but it was quite a high stress moment like company very nearly got destroyed. And we think a lot about many of the other things we've gotta get right for AGI.

0:12:36

But thinking about, uh, how to build a resilient org and how to build a structure that will stand up to, like, a lot of pressure in the world, which I expect more and more as we get closer. I think that's super important.

0:12:47
Lex Fridman

Do you have a sense of how deep and rigorous the deliberation process by the board was? Like, can you shine some light on just human dynamics involved in situations like this? Was it just a few conversations and all of a sudden it escalates, and why don't we fire Sam? Kind of thing?

0:13:05
Sam Altman

I think I think the board members were are well meaning people on the whole, um, and I believe that in stressful situations, um, where people feel time pressure or whatever, uh, people understandably make suboptimal decisions. And I think one of the challenges for OpenAI will be we're gonna have to have a board and a team, uh, that are good at operating under under pressure.

0:13:47
Lex Fridman

Do you think the board had too much power?

0:13:49
Sam Altman

I think boards are supposed to have a lot of power, um, but one of the things that we did see is I. In in most corporate structures, boards are usually answerable to shareholders. You know, there's sometimes people have like super voting shares or whatever, um, in this case. And I think one of the things with our structure that we maybe should have thought about more than we did is that the board of a nonprofit has, unless you put other rules in place, like quite a quite a lot of power.

0:14:18

They don't really answer to anyone but themselves, and there's ways in which that's good. But what we'd really like is for the board of OpenAI to, like, answer to the world as a whole, as much as that's a practical thing.

0:14:30
Lex Fridman

So there's a new board announced, there's, I guess, uh, a new smaller board at 1st, and now there's a new final board

0:14:39
Sam Altman

not a final board yet. We've added some, we'll add more.

0:14:41
Lex Fridman

added some. Okay, what is fixed in the new one that was perhaps broken in the previous one?

0:14:52
Sam Altman

The old board sort of got smaller, uh, over the course of about a year. It was nine and then it went down to six and then we couldn't agree on who to add. And the board also, uh, I think, didn't have a lot of experienced board members. Uh, and a lot of the new board members at OpenAI have just have more experience as board members. Um, I think that'll help.

0:15:17
Lex Fridman

It's been criticized some of the people that are added to the board. I heard a lot of people criticizing the addition of Larry Summers, for example. What? What's the process of selecting the board like? What's involved in that?

0:15:29
Sam Altman

So Brett and Larry were kind of, uh, decided in the heat of the moment over this like very tense weekend. And that was, I mean, that weekend was like a real roller coaster. It was like a lot of, a lot of ups and downs, um, and we were trying to agree on new board members that both sort of the executive team here and the old board members felt would be reasonable. Um, Larry was actually one of their suggestions, the old board members, um, Brett.

0:16:00

I think I had even previous to that weekend suggested, but he was, you know, busy and didn't wanna do it. And then we really needed help and would. Um, we talked about a lot of other people too, uh, but that was. I felt like if I was going to come back, uh, I needed new board members. Um, I didn't think I could work with the old board again in the same configuration, although we then decided, uh, and I'm grateful that Adam would stay, um, but we wanted to get to, uh.

0:16:32

We considered various configurations, decided we wanted to get to a board of three, and, uh, h had to find two new board members over the course of sort of a short period of time. So those were decided, honestly, without, uh, you know, that's like, you kinda do that on the battlefield, you don't have time to design a rigorous process. Then, um, for new board members, since new board members will add going forward. Um, we have some criteria, uh, that we think are important for the board to have different expertise that we want the board to have.

0:17:05

Um, unlike hiring an executive, where you need them to do one role well, the board needs to do a whole role of kind of governance and thoughtfulness. Uh, well, and so one thing that Brett says, which I really like, is that, you know, we wanna hire board members in slates, not as individuals, one at a time. And, uh, you know, thinking about a group of people that will bring nonprofit expertise, expertise running companies, sort of good legal and governance expertise.

0:17:32

Uh, that's kind of what we've tried to optimize for.

0:17:35
Lex Fridman

So is technical savvy important for the individual board members?

0:17:38
Sam Altman

Not for every board member, but for S, certainly some, you need that. That's part of what the board needs to do.

0:17:42
Lex Fridman

So, I mean, the interesting thing that people probably don't understand about OpenAI, I certainly don't, is like all the details of running the business. When they think about the board, given the drama, they think about you, they think about, like, if you reach AGI, or you reach some of these incredibly impactful products and you build them and deploy them. What's the conversation with the board like? And they kinda think, all right, what's the right squad to have in that kind of situation to deliberate

0:18:11
Sam Altman

Look, I think you definitely

0:18:12
Lex Fridman

difficult to?

0:18:13
Sam Altman

need some technical experts there, and then you need some people who are like, what can? H? How can we deploy this in a way that will help people in the world the most? And and people who have a very different perspective, you know? I think a mistake that you or I might make is to think that only the technical understanding matters. And that's definitely part of the conversation you want that board to have. But there's a lot more about how that's gonna just like impact society and people's lives that you really want represented in there too.

0:18:41
Lex Fridman

And and you're just kinda, are you looking at the track record of people, or you're just having conversations?

0:18:46
Sam Altman

Track record's a big deal. Uh, y, y. You, of course, have a lot of conversations, but I, um, you know, there's some roles where I kind of totally ignore track record and just look at slope, kind of ignore the y intercept. But

0:19:04
Lex Fridman

Thank you, thank you for making it mathematical for the for the audience.

0:19:07
Sam Altman

for a board member like I do, care much more about the y intercept. Like, I think there is something deep to say about track record there and experiences, sometimes very hard to replace.

0:19:18
Lex Fridman

Do you try to fit a polynomial function or exponential one to the to the track record?

0:19:22
Sam Altman

That's not that. An analogy Okay, just doesn't carry that far.

0:19:25
Lex Fridman

all right. You mentioned some of the low points, uh, that weekend. What were some of the low points psychologically for you? Uh, did you consider going, um, to the Amazon jungle and just taking ayahuasca and disappearing forever? Or

0:19:39
Sam Altman

I mean, there's so many like it was. It was a very bad period of time. There were great high points too, like, uh, my phone was just like sort of nonstop, blowing up with nice messages from people I work with every day, people I hadn't talked to in a decade. I didn't get to, like, appreciate that as much as I should have, cause I was just like in the middle of this firefight, but that was really nice.

0:20:00

But on the whole, it was like a very painful weekend and also just like a very. It was like a battle fought in public to a surprising degree, and that's that was extremely exhausting to me, much more than I expected. Um, I think fights are generally exhausting, but this one really was, you know, the board did this, uh, Friday afternoon. I really couldn't get much in the way of answers, but I also was just like, well, the board gets to do this.

0:20:31

And so I'm gonna think for a little bit about what I wanna do. But I'll try to find the the blessing in disguise here. And I was like, Well, I, y, you know, my current job at OpenAI is, or it was like to, like, run a, you know, decently sized company at this point. And the thing I'd always liked the most was just getting to, like, work on, work with the researchers. And I was like, Yeah, I can just go do like a very focused AGI research effort, and I got excited about that.

0:20:58

Didn't even occur to me at the time to like, possibly that this was all gonna get undone. This was like Friday afternoon,

0:21:05
Lex Fridman

so, you've accepted your the death very of this previous?

0:21:08
Sam Altman

quickly, very quickly, like within, you know, I mean, I went through like a little period of confusion and rage, but very quickly. And by Friday night, I was like talking to people about what was gonna be next, and I was excited about that. Um, I think it was Friday night evening. For the 1st time that I heard from the exec team here, which is like, Hey, we're gonna like, fight this, and you know, we think, w whatever.

0:21:33

And then I went to bed, just still being like, okay, excited, like, onward,

0:21:38
Lex Fridman

Were you able to sleep?

0:21:40
Sam Altman

not a lot. It was one of one of the weird things was. It was this like period of four, four and a half days where sort of didn't sleep much, didn't eat much, and still kinda had like a surprising amount of energy. It was, you learn, like a weird thing about adrenaline and wartime.

0:21:55
Lex Fridman

So you kind of accepted the death of, uh, you know, this baby opening And I was excited eyes?

0:22:00
Sam Altman

for the new thing. I was just I see like, Okay, this was crazy, but whatever.

0:22:03
Lex Fridman

it's a very good coping mechanism.

0:22:04
Sam Altman

And then Saturday morning, uh, two of the board members called and said, Hey, we, you know, destabilized. We didn't mean to destabilize things. We don't wanna destroy a lot of value here. You know, can we talk about you coming back? And I immediately didn't wanna do that, but I thought a little more and I was like, Well, I don't really care about the people here, the partners, shareholders, like all of the. I love this company. And so I thought about it and I was like, Well, okay, but like, here's, here's the stuff I would need.

0:22:31

And and then the most painful time of all was over the course of that weekend. Um, I kept thinking and being told, and we all kept, not just me, like the whole team here, kept thinking. While we were trying to, like, keep OpenAI stabilized, while the whole world was trying to break it apart, people trying to recruit, whatever. Um, we kept being told, like, all right, we're almost done, we're almost done, we just need like a little bit more time.

0:22:54

Um, and it was this like, very confusing state. And then Sunday evening, when again, like every few hours, I expected that we were gonna be done. And we're gonna like, figure out a way for me to return and things to go back to how they were. Um, the board then, uh, appointed a new interim CEO, and then I was like, I mean, that is, that is, that feels really bad. That was the low point of the whole thing.

0:23:22

You know, I'll tell you something. I. It felt very painful, but I felt a lot of love that whole weekend. It was not other than that one moment. Sunday night. I would not characterize my emotions as anger or hate. Um, but I really just like I felt a lot of love from people towards people. It was like painful, but it would like the dominant emotion of the weekend was love, not hate.

0:23:50
Lex Fridman

You've spoken highly of, uh, Mira Murati, that she helped, especially as you put in a tweet in the quiet moments when it counts. Perhaps we could take a bit of a tangent. What do you admire about Mira?

0:24:02
Sam Altman

Well, she did a great job during that weekend in a lot of chaos. But but people often see leaders in the moment in, like the crisis moments, good or bad. Um, but a thing I really value in leaders is how people act on a boring Tuesday at nine, forty six in the morning. And in in just sort of the the the normal drudgery of the day to day, how someone shows up in a meeting, the quality of the decisions they make.

0:24:31

That was what I meant about the quiet moments.

0:24:33
Lex Fridman

Meaning, like most of the work is done on a day by day, in a meeting by meeting, just, oh, just be present and and make great decisions yeah, I mean, type of thing.

0:24:45
Sam Altman

look, what you wanted to s have wanted to spend the last 20 minutes about, and I understand, is like this one very dramatic weekend. But that's not really what OpenAI is about. OpenAI is really about the other seven years.

0:24:56
Lex Fridman

well, yeah. Human civilization is not about the invasion of the Soviet Union by Nazi Germany, but still, that's something people focus on. Because

0:25:04
Sam Altman

very, very understandable.

0:25:05
Lex Fridman

it gives us an insight into human nature, the extremes of human nature, and perhaps some of the damage and some of the triumphs of human civilization can happen in those moments. So it's like, illustrative. Let me ask about Ilya, is he being held hostage in a secret nuclear facility? What about a regular secret facility? What about a nuclear non secret facility? neither that that Okay, all right,

0:25:28
Sam Altman

not that either.

0:25:29
Lex Fridman

I mean, this is becoming a meme at some point. You've known Ilya for, uh, for a long time, he was obviously in part part of this drama with the board and all that kind of stuff. What's your relationship with him? Uh, now,

0:25:43
Sam Altman

I love Ilya, I have tremendous respect for Ilya. I, uh, I don't know anything I can, like, say about his plans right now. That's that's a question for him. Um, but I really hope we work together for, you know, certainly the rest of my career. He's a little bit younger than me, maybe he works a little bit longer.

0:26:01
Lex Fridman

you know, there's a there's a meme that he saw something like he maybe saw AGI, and that gave him a lot of worry internally. Uh, what did Ilya see?

0:26:14
Sam Altman

Uh, Ilya has not seen AGI, none of us have seen AGI, we've not built AGI. Uh, I do think, uh. One of the many things that I really love about Ilya is he takes AGI and the safety concerns. Broadly speaking, you know, including things like the impact this is gonna have on society, very seriously. And we, as we continue to make significant progress. Um, Ilya is one of the people that I've spent the most time over the last couple of years talking about.

0:26:50

What this is going to mean, what we need to do to ensure we get it right, to ensure that we succeed at the mission. Um, so Ilya did not see AGI, um, but Ilya is a credit to humanity. In terms of how much he thinks and worries about making sure we get this right.

0:27:16
Lex Fridman

I've had a bunch of conversations with him in the past. I think when he talks about technology, he's always like doing this long term thinking type of thing. So he's not thinking about what this is gonna be in a year, he's thinking about in ten years, just thinking from 1st principles, like, Okay, if this scales, what are the fundamentals here? Where is this going? And so that that's a foundation for then thinking about, like all the other safety concerns and all that kind of stuff.

0:27:43

Um, which makes him a really fascinating human, uh, to talk with. Do you have a any idea why he's been kinda quiet? Is it he's just doing some soul searching?

0:27:54
Sam Altman

again, I don't wanna like, speak for Ilya. I think that you, you should ask him that. Um, he's definitely a thoughtful guy. Uh, I think I kind of think of Ilya as like, always on the soul search, in a really good way.

0:28:13
Lex Fridman

Yes, yeah. Also, he appreciates the power of silence. Also, I'm told he can be a silly guy, which I've never, I've never seen that it's very, side of him.

0:28:22
Sam Altman

it's very sweet when that happens.

0:28:25
Lex Fridman

I've never witnessed a silly Ilya, but um, I look forward to to that as well.

0:28:30
Sam Altman

I was at a dinner party with him recently and he was playing with a puppy and I. And he was like, in a very silly mood, very endearing. And I was thinking, like, Oh man, this is like, not the side of Ilya that the world sees the most.

0:28:41
Lex Fridman

So just to wrap up this whole saga, are you feeling good about the board structure, about all of this, and like, where it's moving?

0:28:50
Sam Altman

I feel great about the new board in terms of the structure of OpenAI. I, you know, one of the board's tasks is to look at that and see where we can make it more robust. Um, we wanted to get new board members in place. 1st, uh, but, you know, we clearly learned a lesson about structure throughout this process. I don't have, I think, super deep things to say. It was a crazy, very painful experience. I think it was like a perfect storm of weirdness.

0:29:16

It was like a preview for me of what's gonna happen as the stakes get higher and higher and the need that we have, like robust governance structures and processes and people. Um, I am kinda happy it happened when it did, but it was a shockingly painful thing to go through.

0:29:33
Lex Fridman

Did it make you be more hesitant in trusting people just on a personal level?

0:29:38
Sam Altman

yes, I think I'm like an extremely trusting person. I have, like I've always had a life philosophy of, you know, like, don't worry about all of the paranoia, don't worry about the edge cases, you know, you get a little bit screwed in exchange for getting to live with your guard down. And this was so shocking to me, I was so caught off guard that it has definitely changed, and I really don't like this. It's definitely changed how I think about, just like default trust of people and planning for the bad scenarios.

0:30:07
Lex Fridman

you gotta be careful with that. Are you worried about becoming a little too cynical?

0:30:12
Sam Altman

Um, I'm not worried about becoming too cynical. I think I'm like the extreme opposite of a cynical person, but I'm, I'm. I'm worried about just becoming like less of a default trusting person.

0:30:22
Lex Fridman

I'm actually not sure which mode is best to operate in for a person who's developing AGI. Trusting or untrusting. It's an interesting journey you're on, but in terms of structure, see, I'm more interested on the human level, like, how do you surround yourself with humans that are building cool shit? But also are making wise decisions? Cause the more money you start making, the more power the thing has, the weirder people get.

0:30:51
Sam Altman

you know, I think you could, like, you can make all kinds of comments about the board members and the level of trust I should have had there, or how I should have done things differently. But in terms of the team here, I think you'd have to, like, give me a very good grade on that one. Um, and I have, uh, just like, enormous gratitude and trust and respect for the people that I work with every day.

0:31:16

And I think being surrounded with people like that is is really important.

0:31:26
Lex Fridman

Our mutual friend Elon sued OpenAI. What to you is the essence of what he's criticizing? To what degree does he have a point? to what degree is he wrong?

0:31:38
Sam Altman

I don't know what it's really about. We started off just thinking we were gonna be a research lab and having no idea about how this technology was gonna go. It's hard to, because it was only, you know, seven or eight years ago, it's hard to go back and really remember what it was like then. But this was before language models were a big deal. This was before we had any idea about an API or selling access to a chatbot, this was before we had any idea we were gonna productize it all.

0:32:03

So we're like, eh? We're just like, gonna try to do research, and you know, we don't really know what we're gonna do with that. I think with like many new, fundamentally new things, you start fumbling through the dark and you make some assumptions, most of which turn out to be wrong. And then it became clear that we were going to need to do different things and also have huge amounts more capital. So we said, Okay, well, the structure doesn't quite work for that.

0:32:32

How do we patch the structure? Um, and then patch it again and patch it again. And you end up with something that does look kind of eyebrow raising, to say the least. But we got here gradually, with, I think, reasonable decisions at each point along the way. And doesn't mean I wouldn't do it totally differently if we could go back now with an oracle, but you don't get the oracle at the time. But anyway, in terms of what Elon's real motivations here are, I don't know.

0:32:59
Lex Fridman

To the degree you remember, what was the response that OpenAI gave in the blog post? Can you summarize it?

0:33:07
Sam Altman

Oh, we just said, like, you know, Elon said this set of things. Here's our characterization, or here's the sort of not our characterization. Here's like the characterization of how this went down. Um, we tried to, like, not make it emotional and just sort of say, like, here's the history.

0:33:30
Lex Fridman

I do think there's a degree of mischaracterization from Elon here about one of the points he just made, which is the degree of uncertainty you had at the time. You guys are a bunch of like a small group of researchers, crazily talking about AGI when everybody's laughing at that thought.

0:33:55
Sam Altman

It wasn't that long ago. Elon was crazily talking about launching rockets when people were laughing at that thought. Uh, so I think he'd have more empathy for this.

0:34:06
Lex Fridman

I mean, I I do think that there's personal stuff here, that there was a split, that OpenAI and a lot of amazing people here chose to part ways with Elon. So there's a personal

0:34:19
Sam Altman

Elon chose to part ways.

0:34:23
Lex Fridman

can you describe that e exactly the the the choosing to part ways.

0:34:27
Sam Altman

He thought OpenAI was gonna fail. Um, he wanted total control to sort of turn it around. We wanted to keep going in the direction that now has become OpenAI. He also wanted Tesla to be able to build an AGI effort at various times. He wanted to make OpenAI into a for profit company that he could have control of or have it merge with Tesla. Um, we didn't wanna do that, and he decided to leave, which that's fine.

0:34:52
Lex Fridman

So you're saying, and that's one of the things that the blog post says is that he wanted OpenAI to be basically acquired by Tesla in the same way that. Or maybe something similar, or maybe something more dramatic than the partnership with Microsoft.

0:35:09
Sam Altman

my memory is the proposal was just like, Yeah, like, get acquired by Tesla and have Tesla have full control over it. I'm pretty sure that's what it was.

0:35:15
Lex Fridman

So what is the word open in OpenAI mean to Elon? At the time? Ilya has talked about this in the email exchanges and all this kind of stuff. What does it mean to you at the time? What does it mean to you now?

0:35:29
Sam Altman

I would definitely pick a diff. Speaking of going back with an Oracle, I'd pick a different name. Um, one of the things that I think OpenAI is doing that is the most important of everything that we're doing is putting powerful technology in the hands of people for free as a public good. Not, we're not, you know, we don't run ads on our free version, we don't monetize it in other ways. We just say it's part of our mission.

0:35:56

We wanna put increasingly powerful tools in the hands of people for free and get them to use them. And I think that kind of open is really important to our mission. I think if you give people great tools and teach them to use them, or don't even teach them, they'll figure it out and let them go build an incredible future for each other. With that, uh, that's a big deal. So if we can keep putting like free or low cost, or free and low cost, powerful AI tools out in the world, uh, I think it's a huge deal for how we fulfill the mission.

0:36:28

Um, open source or not? Yeah, I think we should open source some stuff and not other stuff. Uh, the it does become this like religious battle line, where nuance is hard to have, but I think nuance is the right answer.

0:36:41
Lex Fridman

So he said, change your name to closed AI and I'll drop the lawsuit. I mean, is it going to become this battleground in in the land of memes about I I think the name?

0:36:52
Sam Altman

that speaks to the seriousness with which Elon means the lawsuit. And, uh, yeah, I mean, that's like an astonishing thing to say, I think, like,

0:37:07
Lex Fridman

Well, I don't think the lawsuit may, maybe correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think the lawsuit is legally serious. It's more to make a point about the future of AGI and the company that's currently leading the way. So

0:37:23
Sam Altman

look, I mean, Grok had not open sourced anything until people pointed out it was a little bit hypocritical, and then he announced that Grok will open source things this week. I don't think open source versus not is what this is really about for him.

0:37:35
Lex Fridman

well, we, we'll talk about open source and not. I do think maybe criticizing the competition is great, just talking a little shit, that's great, but friendly competition versus like. I personally hate lawsuits.

0:37:47
Sam Altman

Look, I think this whole thing is like unbecoming of a builder, and I respect Elon as one of the great builders of our time. And um, I know he knows what it's like to have like haters attack him, and it makes me extra sad he's doing it to us.

0:38:04
Lex Fridman

Yeah, he's one of the greatest builders of all time, potentially the greatest builder of all time.

0:38:08
Sam Altman

It makes me sad, and I think it makes a lot of people sad. Like there's a lot of people who've really looked up to him for a long time and said this. I said, you know, in some interview or something that I miss the old Elon. And the number of messages I got being like, that exactly encapsulates how I feel.

0:38:22
Lex Fridman

I think he should just win, he should just, uh, make X, Grok beat GPT, and then GPT beats Grok, and it's just a competition, and it's it's beautiful for everybody. But on the question of open source, do you think there's a lot of companies playing with this idea? It's quite interesting, I would say. Meta, surprisingly, has led the way on this. Or like, Uh, at least took the 1st step in the game of chess of, like, really open sourcing the model.

0:38:54

Of course, it's not the, uh, state of the art model, but open sourcing Llama. Um, you know, Google is flirting with the idea of open sourcing a smaller version. Have you? What are the pros and cons of open sourcing? Have you played around with this idea?

0:39:08
Sam Altman

yeah, I think there there is definitely a place for open source models, particularly smaller models that people can run locally. I think there's huge demand for, um, I think there will be some open source models, there will be some closed source models. Uh, this. It won't be unlike other ecosystems in that way.

0:39:25
Lex Fridman

I listened to, uh, All in podcast talking about this, this lawsuit and all that kind of stuff. And they were more concerned about the precedent of going from nonprofit to this cap for profit. What precedent does that set for other startups? Is that

0:39:41
Sam Altman

I don't. I. I would heavily discourage any startup that was thinking about starting as a nonprofit and adding like a for profit arm later. I'd heavily discourage them from doing that. I don't think we'll set a precedent here,

0:39:52
Lex Fridman

okay? So most most startups should go just for sure. And again, so there's no

0:39:56
Sam Altman

if we knew what was gonna happen, we would've done that too.

0:39:58
Lex Fridman

well, like, in theory, if you like dance beautifully here, you can. There's like some tax incentives or whatever, but

0:40:05
Sam Altman

I I don't think that's like how most people think about these things.

0:40:07
Lex Fridman

it's just not possible to save a lot of money for a startup if you do it this way.

0:40:13
Sam Altman

No, I think there's like laws that would make that pretty difficult.

0:40:16
Lex Fridman

Where do you hope this goes with Elon? Well, this, this tension, this dance, where do you hope this? Like, if we go one, two, three years from now, your relationship with him on a personal level, too, like friendship, friendly competition, just all this kind of stuff.

0:40:37
Sam Altman

Yeah, I, I, I'd really respect Elon. Um, and I hope that years in the future we have an amicable relationship.

0:40:51
Lex Fridman

Yeah, I hope you guys have an amicable relationship like this month. And just compete and win and, uh, and explore these ideas together. Um, I do suppose there's competition for talent or whatever, but, uh, it should be friendly competition. Just build, build cool shit, and Elon is pretty good at building cool shit, but so are you, so speaking of cool shit, uh, Sora, there's like a million questions I could ask. 1st of all, it's amazing, it truly is amazing on a product level, but also just on a philosophical level.

0:41:32

So let me just a technical philosophical ask, what do you think it understands about the world more or less than GPT? Four, for example, like the world model when you train on these patches versus language tokens.

0:41:50
Sam Altman

I think all of these models understand something more about the world model than most of us give them credit for. And because there are also very clear things they just don't understand or don't get right. It's easy to, like, look at the weaknesses, see through the veil and say, Ah, this is just this is all fake, but it's not all fake. It's just some of it works and some of it doesn't work. Th like, I remember when I started 1st watching Sora videos and I would see like a person walk in front of something for a few seconds and occlude it and then walk away.

0:42:21

And the same thing was still there. I was like, Oh, this is pretty good. Or there's examples where, like, the underlying physics looks so well represented over, uh, you know, a lot of steps in a sequence. It's like, Oh, this is, this is like, quite impressive. But like, fundamentally, these models are just getting better and that will keep happening. If you look at the trajectory from Dolly 1 to 2 to 3 to Sora, you know, there were a lot of people that were dunked on each version, saying it can't do this, it can't do that.

0:42:49

And like, look at it now.

0:42:51
Lex Fridman

so, well, the thing you just mentioned is kind of with occlusions is basically modeling the physics of the dimensional physics of the world sufficiently well to capture those kinds of things. Well, Or like, under, or, oh, yeah, maybe you can tell me, do. In order to deal with occlusions, what does the world model need to?

0:43:10
Sam Altman

yeah, so what I would say is it's doing something to deal with occlusions really well. What I represent that it has, like a great underlying 3D model of the world, it's a little bit more of a stretch.

0:43:19
Lex Fridman

But can you get there through just these kinds of two dimensional training data approaches?

0:43:24
Sam Altman

Uh, it looks like this approach is gonna go surprisingly far. I don't wanna speculate too much about what limits it will surmount and which it won't, but

0:43:32
Lex Fridman

What are some interesting limitations of the system that you've seen? I mean, there's been some fun ones you've posted.

0:43:38
Sam Altman

there's all kinds of fun. I mean, like, you know, cats sprouting an extra limb at random points in a video, uh, like, pick what you want, but there's still a lot of problems, still a lot of weaknesses.

0:43:48
Lex Fridman

Do you think that's a fundamental flaw of the approach, or is it just, you know, bigger model or better, like technical details, or better data? More data is going to solve those, uh, the cat sprouting I would say yes extra limbs?

0:44:05
Sam Altman

to both. Like, I think there is something about the approach which just seems to feel different from how we think and learn and whatever. And then also, I think it'll get better with scale.

0:44:16
Lex Fridman

Like I mentioned, LLMs have tokens, text tokens, and Sora has visual patches, so it converts all visual data, diverse kinds of visual data, videos and images, into patches. Is the training, to the degree you can say, fully self supervised, or is there some manual labeling going on? Like, what's the involvement of humans in all this?

0:44:35
Sam Altman

I mean, without saying anything specific about the Sora approach, we we use lots of human data in our work.

0:44:46
Lex Fridman

But not internet scale data, so lots of humans. Lots is a complicated word to say,

0:44:54
Sam Altman

I think lots is a fair word in this case.

0:44:57
Lex Fridman

but it doesn't cause to me lots. Like, listen, I'm an introvert, and when I hang out with like three people, that's a lot of people, four people, that's a lot. But I suppose you mean more than

0:45:07
Sam Altman

more than three people work on labeling the data for these models. Yeah,

0:45:10
Lex Fridman

okay, all right. But fundamentally, there's a lot of self supervised learning, cause y what you mentioned in the technical report is internet scale data. That's another beautiful. It's like poetry, uh, so it's a lot of data that's not human labeled, it's like it's self supervised in that way. And then the question is, how much int, how much data is there on the internet that could be used in this? That, uh, is conducive to this kind of s self supervised way.

0:45:40

If only we knew the details of the self supervised, do you have you considered opening it up a little more details?

0:45:48
Sam Altman

we have. You mean for Sora specifically?

0:45:50
Lex Fridman

Sora specifically, the trend, because it's so interesting that like, can this L can the same magic of LLMs now start moving towards visual data? And h What does that take to do that?

0:46:04
Sam Altman

I mean, it looks to me like yes, but we have more work to do.

0:46:08
Lex Fridman

Sure, what are the dangers? Why are you concerned about releasing the system? What? uh, what are some possible dangers of this?

0:46:15
Sam Altman

I mean, frankly speaking, one thing we have to do before releasing the system is is just like, get it to work at a a level of efficiency that will deliver the scale people are gonna want from this. So that I don't wanna like downplay that, and there's still a ton, ton of work to do there. But, you know, you can imagine, like issues with deepfakes, misinformation. Um, like, we try to be a thoughtful company about what we put out into the world, and it doesn't take much thought to think about the ways this can go badly.

0:46:51
Lex Fridman

There's a lot of tough questions here. Uh, you're dealing in a very tough space. Do you think training AI should be or is fair use under copyright law?

0:47:00
Sam Altman

I think the question behind that question is, do people who create valuable data deserve to have some way that they get compensated for use of it? And that? I think the answer is yes. I don't know yet what the answer is. People have proposed a lot of different things. We've some tried some different models. But, you know, if I'm like an artist, for example, a, I would like to be able to opt out of people generating art in my style, and b.

0:47:27

If they do generate art in my style, I'd like to have some economic model associated with that.

0:47:32
Lex Fridman

Yeah, it's that, uh, transition from CDs to Napster to Spotify. I have to figure out some kind of model.

0:47:38
Sam Altman

The model changes, but people have gotta get paid.

0:47:41
Lex Fridman

Well, there should be some kind of incentive if we zoom out even more for humans to keep doing cool shit.

0:47:48
Sam Altman

Uh, everything I worry about, humans are gonna do cool shit and society's gonna find some way to reward it. I I, that seems pretty hardwired. We wanna create, we wanna be useful, we want to, like, achieve status in whatever way. That's not going anywhere. I don't think,

0:48:03
Lex Fridman

But the reward might not be monetary, financial, it might be like fame and celebration of other cool.

0:48:11
Sam Altman

eh? Maybe financial in some other way. Again, I don't think we've seen like the last evolution of how the economic system's gonna work.

0:48:17
Lex Fridman

Yeah, but artists and creators are worried when they see Sora, they're like, Holy shit,

0:48:22
Sam Altman

Sure, artists were also super worried when photography came out, and then photography became a new art form and people made a lot of money taking pictures. And I think things like that will keep happening, people will use the new tools in new ways.

0:48:36
Lex Fridman

If we just look on YouTube or something like this, how much of that will be using Sora like AI generated content? Do you think in the next five years?

0:48:47
Sam Altman

People talk about, like, how many jobs they are gonna do in five years. And and the framework that people have is what percentage of current jobs are just gonna be totally replaced by some AI doing the job. The way I think about it is not what percent of jobs AI will do, but what percent of tasks will AI do? And over what time horizon? So if you think of all of the like 5 s tasks in the economy, the 5 min tasks, the 5 h tasks, maybe even the 5 day tasks.

0:49:13

How many of those can AI do? And I think that's a way more interesting, impactful, important question than how many jobs AI can do. Because it is a tool that will work at increasing levels of sophistication and over longer and longer time horizons for more and more tasks. And let people operate at a higher level of abstraction. So maybe people are way more efficient at the job they do, and at some point, that's not just a quantitative change, but it's a qualitative one, too, about the kinds of problems you can keep in your head.

0:49:46

I think that for videos on YouTube, it'll be the same. Many videos, maybe most of them, will use AI tools in the production, but they'll still be fundamentally driven by a person thinking about it, putting it together, you know, doing parts of it, sort of directing and running it.

0:50:04
Lex Fridman

yeah, it's so interesting. I mean, it's scary, but it's interesting to think about. I tend to believe that humans like to watch other humans, or other human Humans nature.

0:50:13
Sam Altman

really care about other humans a lot.

0:50:15
Lex Fridman

Yeah, if there's a cooler thing that's more, that's better than a human. Humans care about that for like, two days, and then they go back to humans.

0:50:25
Sam Altman

That seems very deeply wired.

0:50:27
Lex Fridman

It's the whole chess thing. Uh, yeah, but no, let's everybody keep playing. And let's ignore the elephant in the room that humans are really bad at chess relative to AI systems.

0:50:38
Sam Altman

we still run races and cars are much faster. I mean, this is, there's like a lot of examples.

0:50:42
Lex Fridman

Yeah, and maybe it'll just be tooling, like in the Adobe suite type of way, where you can just make videos much easier and all that kind of stuff. Listen, I hate being in front of the camera. If I can figure out a way to not be in front of the camera, I would love it. Unfortunately, it'll take a while, like that generating faces, it's it's getting there, but generating faces in video format is tricky when it's specific people versus generic people.

0:51:10

Let me ask you about GPT four, there's so many questions. Uh, 1st of all, also amazing. It's looking back, it'll probably be this kinda historic pivotal moment with three, five and four with ChatGPT.

0:51:26
Sam Altman

Maybe five will be the pivotal moment. I don't know, hard to say that looking forwards.

0:51:30
Lex Fridman

we never know. That's the annoying thing about the future, it's hard to predict. But for me, looking back, GPT four, ChatGPT is pretty damn impressive, like, historically impressive. So allow me, uh, to ask, what's been the most impressive capabilities of GPT four to you and GPT four turbo?

0:51:52
Sam Altman

I think it kinda sucks.

0:51:53
Lex Fridman

Hm, typical human, also gotten It's used to an awesome thing.

0:51:57
Sam Altman

no. I think it is an amazing thing. Um, but relative to where we need to get to and where I believe we will get to. Uh, you know, at the time of like, GPT, three people were like, Oh, this is amazing, this is this like marvel of technology, and it is. It was, uh, but you know, now we have GPT four and look at GPT three. And you're like, that's unimaginably horrible. Um, I expect that the delta between five and four will be the same as between four and three.

0:52:30

And I think it is our job to live a few years in the future and remember that the tools we have now are gonna kind of suck. Looking backwards at them, and that's how we make sure the future is better.

0:52:45
Lex Fridman

What are the most glorious ways in that GPT four sucks? Meaning, uh,

0:52:51
Sam Altman

What are the best things it can do?

0:52:52
Lex Fridman

what are the best things it can do, and the the limits of those best things? That allow you to say it sucks, therefore, gives you inspiration and hope for the future.

0:53:02
Sam Altman

You know, one thing I've been using it for more recently is sort of, uh, like a brainstorming partner. Yep, I'm And

0:53:11
Lex Fridman

almost for that.

0:53:11
Sam Altman

there's a glimmer of something amazing in there. I don't think it gets, you know, when people talk about it, it what it does. They're like, Oh, it helps me code more productively, it helps me write more, faster and better, it helps me, you know, translate from this language to another. All these like amazing things. But there's something about the like kind of creative brainstorming partner. I need to come up with a name for this thing. I need to, like, think about this problem in a different way.

0:53:41

I'm not sure what to do here. Uh, that I think, like, gives a glimpse of something I hope to see more of. Um, one of the other things that you can see, like a very small glimpse of, is when it can help on longer horizon tasks. You know, break down something into multiple steps, maybe like, execute some of those steps, search the internet, write code, whatever, put that together. Uh, when that works, which is not very often, it's like, very magical,

0:54:10
Lex Fridman

The iterative back and forth with a human, well, it works a lot for me. What do you mean? It works

0:54:15
Sam Altman

uh, when you iterate it back and forth with a human, it can get more often. When it can go do, like a ten step problem on its own, doesn't work for that too often. Sometimes

0:54:23
Lex Fridman

at multiple layers of abstraction, or do you mean just sequential?

0:54:26
Sam Altman

both, like, you know, to break it down and then do things at different layers of abstraction and put them together. Look, I don't wanna, I don't wanna, like, downplay the accomplishment of GPT four. Um, but I don't wanna overstate it either. And I think this point that we are on an exponential curve, we will look back relatively soon at GPT four, like we look back at GPT three now.

0:54:49
Lex Fridman

that said, I mean, chatgpt was a transition to where people, like, started to believe it. C- There was a kinda there is an uptick of believing, not internally at OpenAI,

0:55:01
Sam Altman

for sure, sure.

0:55:02
Lex Fridman

perhaps there's believers here. But, uh, when you And in that sense, think

0:55:06
Sam Altman

I do think it'll be a moment where a lot of the world went from not believing to believing. Um, that was more about the chatgpt interface than the a and and by the interface and product. I also mean the post-training of the model and how we tune it to be helpful to you and how to use it. Than the underlying model itself,

0:55:23
Lex Fridman

how much of those two, uh, each of those things are important, the underlying model and the RLHF or something of that nature. That tunes it to be more compelling to the human, more, uh, effective and productive for the human.

0:55:41
Sam Altman

I mean, they're, they're both super important. But the the the RL, HF, the post-training step, the, you know, little wrapper of things that from a compute perspective, little wrapper of things that we do on top of the base model. Even though it's a huge amount of work, that's really important to say nothing of the product that we build around it. Um, you know, in some sense, like we did have to do two things. We had to invent the underlying technology, and then we had to figure out h- how to make it into a product people would love.

0:56:16

Which is not just about the actual product work itself, but this whole other step of how you align and make it useful.

0:56:23
Lex Fridman

and how you make the scale work, where a lot of people can use it at the same time, all that kind of stuff.

0:56:29
Sam Altman

And that, but, you know, that was like a known difficult thing, like we knew we were gonna have to scale it up. We had to go do two things that had, like, never been done before. Uh, that were both, like, I would say, quite significant achievements, and then a lot of things like scaling it up that other companies have had to do before.

0:56:47
Lex Fridman

How does the the context window of going from 8K to 128K tokens compare from the from from GPT four to to GPT four turbo?

0:56:58
Sam Altman

People like long. CO- Most people don't need all the way to 128 most of the time. Although, you know, if we dream into the distant future, we'll have like, like, way distant future, we'll have like context length of several billion. You will feed in all of your information, all of your history over time, and it'll just get to know you better and better, and that'll be great for now. Uh, the way people use these models, they're not doing that.

0:57:21

And you know, people sometimes post in a paper, or, you know, a significant fraction of a code repository, whatever. Um, but most usage of the models is not using the long context most of the time.

0:57:36
Lex Fridman

I like that. This is your I have a dream speech. One day, you'll be judged by the full context of your character or of your whole lifetime. That's interesting. So, like, that's part of the expansion that you're hoping for is a greater and greater context.

0:57:51
Sam Altman

There's this. I saw this internet clip once. I'm gonna get the numbers wrong, but it was like Bill Gates talking about the amount of memory on some early computer. Maybe 64K, maybe 640K, something like that. And most of it was used for the screen buffer. And he just couldn't seem genuine, this couldn't imagine that the world would eventually need gigabytes of memory in a computer or terabytes of memory in a computer. Um, and you always do, or you always do, just need to, like, follow the exponential of technology.

0:58:23

And and we're gonna like, we will find out how to use better technology. So I can't really imagine what it's like right now for context lengths to go out to the billions someday, and they might not literally go there, but effectively it'll feel like that. Um, but I know we'll use it and really not wanna go back once we have it.

0:58:42
Lex Fridman

yeah, even saying billions ten years from now might seem dumb because it'll be like trillions upon trillions. There'll be some kind of breakthrough that will effectively feel like infinite context. But even 120 I'd, I have to be honest, I haven't pushed it to that degree. Maybe putting in entire books or like parts of books and so on papers. What are some interesting use cases of GPT-4 that you've seen?

0:59:09
Sam Altman

the thing that I find most interesting is not any particular use case that we can talk about those. But it's people who kind of like, this is mostly younger people, but people who use it as like their default start for any kind of knowledge work task. And it's the fact that it can do a lot of things reasonably well. You can use GPT view, you can use it to help you write code, you can use it to help you do search, you can, uh, use it to, like, edit a paper.

0:59:34

The most interesting thing to me is the people who just use it as the start of their workflow.

0:59:38
Lex Fridman

I do as well for for many things like, uh, I use it as a, uh, a reading partner for reading books. It helps me think, help me think through ideas, especially when the books are classics, so it's really well written about, and it actually is. As I, I find it often to be significantly better than even like Wikipedia on well covered topics. It's somehow more balanced and more nuanced, or maybe it's me, but it inspires me to think deeper than a Wikipedia article does.

1:00:07

I'm not exactly sure what that is. You mentioned, like, this collaboration. I'm not sure where the magic is, if it's in here, or if it's in there, or if it's somewhere in between, I'm not sure. Uh, but one of the things that concerns me for knowledge tasks when I start with GPT is I'll usually have to do fact checking after, like, ch- check that it didn't come up with fake stuff. How? How do you figure that out?

1:00:32

That, you know, GPT can come up with fake stuff that sounds really convincing, so how do you ground it in truth?

1:00:41
Sam Altman

That's obviously an area of intense interest for us. Uh, I think it's gonna get a lot better with upcoming versions, but we'll have to continue to work on it and we're not gonna have it like all solved this year.

1:00:53
Lex Fridman

Well, the scary thing is like, as it gets better, you'll start not doing the fact checking more and more, right?

1:00:59
Sam Altman

I I'm of two minds about that. I think people are like much more sophisticated users of technology than we often give them credit for. And people seem to really understand that GPT. Any of these models hallucinate some of the time, and if it's mission critical, you gotta check it

1:01:13
Lex Fridman

except journalists don't seem to understand that. I've seen journalists half-assedly just using GPT for it's it's

1:01:20
Sam Altman

of the long list of things I'd like to dunk on journalists for. This is not my top criticism of them.

1:01:26
Lex Fridman

well. I think the bigger C criticism is pro. Perhaps the pressures and the incentives of being a journalist is that you have to work really quickly and this is your shortcut. I'd I would love our society to incentivize like I would, too, a l long, like a journalist, journalistic efforts that take days and weeks and and rewards great in-depth journalism. Also, journalism that r presents stuff in a balanced way, where it's like celebrates people while criticizing them.

1:01:54

Even though the criticism is the thing that gets clicks and making shit up also gets clicks and headlines that mischaracterize completely. I'm sure you have a lot of people dunking u- on, well, all that drama probably got a lot of clicks,

1:02:07
Sam Altman

probably did.

1:02:10
Lex Fridman

uh, and that that is that, you know, that's a bigger problem about human civilization. I'd love to see solved is where we celebrate a bit more. You've given ChatGPT the ability to have memories, you've been playing with that about previous conversations, and also the ability to turn off memory. I wish I could do that sometimes, just turn on and off depending. I guess sometimes alcohol can do that, but not not in, uh, not optimally, I suppose.

1:02:37

Uh, what, what have you seen through that, like playing around with that idea of remembering conversations or not?

1:02:42
Sam Altman

we're very early in our exp- explorations here. But I think what people want, or at least what I want for myself, is a model that gets to know me and gets more useful to me over time. This is an early exploration. Um, I think there's like a lot of other things to do, but that's where we'd like to head. You know, you'd like to use a model and over the course of your life, or use a system, there'd be many models, and over the course of your life, it gets it gets better and better.

1:03:12
Lex Fridman

Yeah, how hard is that problem? Cause right now it's more like remembering little factoids and preferences and so on. What about remembering? Like, don't you want GPT to remember all the shit you went through in November and all all the drama? And then you can cause right now you're clearly blocking it out a little bit.

1:03:29
Sam Altman

It's not just that I want it to remember that, I want it to integrate the lessons of that and remind me in the future what to do differently or what to watch out for. And, you know, we all gain from experience over the course of our lives, varying degrees, and I'd like my AI agent to gain with that experience too. Um, so if we, if we go back and let ourselves imagine that, you know, trillions and trillions of context length.

1:04:04

If I can put every conversation I've ever had with anybody in my life in there. If I can have all of my emails input out, like all of my input output in the context window every time I ask a question, that'd be pretty cool. I think

1:04:15
Lex Fridman

yeah, I think that would be very cool. Um, people sometimes will hear that and be concerned about privacy. Is there what, what? What do you think about that aspect of it? The more effective the AI becomes at really integrating all the experiences and all the data that happened to you and give you advice.

1:04:34
Sam Altman

I think the right answer there is just user choice. You know, anything I want stricken from the record for my AI agent, I wanna be able to, like, take out if I don't want it to remember anything, I want that too. You and I may have different opinions about where on that privacy utility trade off for our own AI we wanna be, which is totally fine. But I think the answer is just like, really easy user choice.

1:04:54
Lex Fridman

But there should be, uh, some high level of transparency from a company about the user choice. Cause sometimes company in the past, companies in the past have been kind of shady about, like, yeah, we're. It's kind of presumed that we're collecting all your data and we're using it for a good reason, for advertisements and so on. But there's not a transparency about the details of that.

1:05:17
Sam Altman

that's totally true. You, you know, you mentioned earlier that I'm like, blocking out the November stuff, I'm just teasing I'm you. well, I mean, I think it was a very traumatic thing and it did immobilize me for a long period of time. Like, definitely the hardest, like the hardest work thing I've had to do was just like, keep working that period. Cause I had to, like, you know, try to come back in here and put the pieces together.

1:05:41

While I was just like in sort of shock and pain, and, you know, nobody really cares about that. I mean, I the team gave me a pass and I was not working at my normal level. But there was a period where I was just like, it was really hard to have to do both. But I kinda woke up one morning and I was like, this was a horrible thing to happen to me. I think I could just feel like a victim forever.

1:06:01

Uh, or I can say this is like the most important work I'll ever touch in my life, and I need to get back to it. And it doesn't mean that I've repressed it, because sometimes I like, wake in the middle of the night thinking about it, but I do feel like an obligation to keep moving forward.

1:06:18
Lex Fridman

Well, that that's beautifully said, but there could be some lingering stuff in there. Like, what I would be concerned about is that trust thing that you mentioned, that being paranoid about people, uh, as opposed to just trusting everybody or most people, like using your gut. It's a tricky dance, For sure, I mean, because I've seen in in my part-time explorations, I've been diving deeply into the Zelensky administration, the Putin administration and the dynamics there in wartime, in a very highly stressful environment.

1:06:56

And what happens is distrust, and you isolate yourself both, and you start to not see the world clearly, and that's a concern, that's a human concern. You seem to have taken it in stride and kind of learned the good lessons and felt the love and let the love energize you, which is great, but it still can linger in there. There's just some questions I would love to ask your intuition about what's GPT able to do and not?

1:07:24

So, it's allocating approximately the same amount of compute for each token it generates. Is there room there in this kind of approach to slower thinking, sequential thinking?

1:07:37
Sam Altman

I think there will be a new paradigm for that kind of thinking.

1:07:42
Lex Fridman

Will it be similar, like architecturally, as what we're seeing now with LLMs? Is it a layer on top of LLMs,

1:07:49
Sam Altman

Uh, I can imagine many ways to implement that. I think that's less important than the question you were getting at, which is, do we need a way to do a slower kind of thinking? Where the answer doesn't have to get like, you know, it's like, like, I guess, like, spiritually, you could say that. You want an AI to be able to think harder about a harder problem and answer more quickly about an easier problem, and I think that will be important.

1:08:16
Lex Fridman

Is that like a human thought that we're just having? You should be able to think hard. Is that the wrong intuition?

1:08:20
Sam Altman

I suspect that's a reasonable intuition. Interesting? So Yeah,

1:08:24
Lex Fridman

it's not possible. Once the GPT gets, like, GPT seven, we'll just be instantaneously be able to see, you know, here's here's the proof of Fermat's theorem.

1:08:35
Sam Altman

it seems to me like you want to be able to allocate more compute to harder problems. Like, it seems to me that a system knowing if if you ask a system like that, prove Fermat's last theorem versus what's today's date? Unless it already knew and had memorized the answer to the proof, assuming it's gotta go figure that out, seems like that will take more compute.

1:09:06
Lex Fridman

But can it look like a basically LLM talking to itself, that kind of thing?

1:09:11
Sam Altman

Maybe, I mean, there's a lot of things that you could imagine working. What, like, what the right or the best way to do that will be? Uh, we don't know.

1:09:23
Lex Fridman

This does make me think of the mysterious, the lore behind Q star. What's this mysterious Q star project? Is it also in the same nuclear facility?

1:09:36
Sam Altman

Uh, there is no nuclear facility.

1:09:38
Lex Fridman

Hm, that's what a person with a nuclear facility always says.

1:09:40
Sam Altman

I would love to have a secret nuclear facility. There is no one, All right, uh, but maybe someday.

1:09:47
Lex Fridman

someday, all right, one can dream.

1:09:51
Sam Altman

OpenAI is not a good company at keeping secrets. It would be nice, you know, we're like, been plagued by a lot of leaks and And it would be nice if we were able to have something like that.

1:10:00
Lex Fridman

can you speak to what Q star is?

1:10:02
Sam Altman

We are not ready to talk about that.

1:10:03
Lex Fridman

See? But an answer like that means there's something to talk about. It's very mysterious. Yeah,

1:10:09
Sam Altman

I mean, we work on all kinds of research. Uh, we have said for a while that we think better reasoning in these systems is an important direction that we'd like to pursue. We haven't cracked the code yet. Uh, we're in. We're very interested in it.

1:10:34
Lex Fridman

Is there gonna be moments, Q star or otherwise, where there's going to be leaps similar to ChatGPT, where you're like,

1:10:42
Sam Altman

That's a good question. Um, what do I think about that? It's interesting to me, it all feels pretty continuous.

1:10:54
Lex Fridman

right? This is kind of a theme that you're saying is there's a gradual you're basically gradually going up an exponential slope. But from an outsider perspective, from me just watching it, the it does feel like there's leaps, but to you, there isn't.

1:11:08
Sam Altman

I do wonder if we should have. So, you know, part of the reason that we deploy the way we do is that we think, um, we call it iterative deployment. We, uh, rather than go build in secret until we got all the way to GPT five, we decided to talk about GPT one, two, three and four. And part of the reason there is, I think AI and surprise don't go together, and also the world, people, institutions, whatever you wanna call it, need time to adapt and think about these things.

1:11:36

And I think one of the best things that OpenAI has done is this strategy. And we we get the world to pay attention to the progress, to take AGI seriously, to think about what systems and structures and governance we want in place before we're like, under the gun and have to make a rushed decision. I think that's really good, but the fact that people like you and others say, um, you still feel like there are these leaps makes me think that maybe we should be doing our releasing even more iteratively.

1:12:08

I don't know what that would mean, I don't have an answer ready to go, but like, our goal is not to have shock updates to the world, the opposite.

1:12:15
Lex Fridman

Yeah, for sure, more iter- iterative would be amazing. I think that's just beautiful for everybody.

1:12:20
Sam Altman

But that's what we're trying to do. That's like our stated strategy, and I think we're somehow missing the mark. So maybe we should think about, you know, releasing GPT five in a different way or something like that.

1:12:30
Lex Fridman

Yeah, 4.7, one, 4.72. But people tend to like to celebrate, people celebrate birthdays. I don't know if you know humans, but they kinda have these, uh, milestones and

1:12:40
Sam Altman

I do know some humans, um, people do like milestones. I, uh, I totally get that. I think we like milestones, too. It's like fun to s, you know, say, declare victory on this one and go start the next thing. But but yeah, I feel like we're somehow getting this a little bit wrong.

1:12:59
Lex Fridman

so, uh, when is GPT five coming out again?

1:13:01
Sam Altman

I don't know, that's the honest answer.

1:13:04
Lex Fridman

Oh, that's the honest answer. Is it blink twice? If it's this year?

1:13:13
Sam Altman

I also. We will release an amazing model this year. I don't know what we'll call it.

1:13:22
Lex Fridman

So that goes to the question of, like, what, what's the way we release this thing?

1:13:27
Sam Altman

We'll release over in the coming months many different things. Uh, I think they'll be very cool. Uh, I think before we talk about like a GPT five like model called that, or called or not called that, or a little bit worse, or a little bit better than what. What you'd expect from a GPT five. I think we have a lot of other important things to release first.

1:13:48
Lex Fridman

I don't know what to expect from GPT five. You're, you're making me nervous and excited. Uh, what? What are some of the biggest challenges and bottlenecks to overcome for whatever it ends up being called? But let's call it GPT five. Just interesting to ask, what are? Is it on the compute side? is it on the technical It's always side?

1:14:07
Sam Altman

all of these. I was, I was, I was, you know, what's the one big unlock? is it, is it a bigger computer? is it like a new secret? is it something else? Um, it's all of these things together, like the thing that OpenAI, I think, does really well. This is actually an original Ilya quote that I'm gonna butcher, but it's something like we multiply 200 medium-sized things together into one giant thing.

1:14:33
Lex Fridman

So there's this, uh, distributed constant innovation happening. So even on the technical side, like, uh,

1:14:39
Sam Altman

especially on the technical side,

1:14:41
Lex Fridman

so, like, even like, detailed approaches, I think, like, do you do detailed aspects of every? H- How does that work with different disparate teams and so on? Like, how, how do they? how do? how do the medium-sized things become one whole giant transformer? How does this?

1:14:54
Sam Altman

there's a few people who have to, like, think about putting the whole thing together. But a lot of people try to keep most of the picture in their head

1:15:00
Lex Fridman

Oh, like the individual teams, individual contributors, try to at a keep the picture.

1:15:03
Sam Altman

high level. Yeah, I mean, you don't know exactly how every piece works, of course, but one thing I generally believe is that it's sometimes useful to zoom out and look at the entire map. And and I think this is true for like a technical problem, I think this is true for like innovating in business, uh, but things come together in surprising ways. And having an understanding of that whole picture, even if most of the time you're operating in the weeds in one area, pays off with surprising insights.

1:15:37

In fact, one of the things that I used to have, and I think was super valuable, was I used to have like a a a good map of the all of the frontier, or most of the frontiers in the tech industry. And I could sometimes see these connections or new things that were possible. That if I were only, you know, deep in one area, I wouldn't, I wouldn't, I wouldn't be able to, like, have the idea for, because I wouldn't have all the data.

1:16:01

And I don't really have that much anymore. I'm like, super deep now, um, but I know that it's a valuable thing,

1:16:09
Lex Fridman

You're not the man you used to be, Sam.

1:16:11
Sam Altman

very different job now than what I used to have.

1:16:14
Lex Fridman

Speaking of zooming out, let's zoom out to, uh, another cheeky s thing, but profound thing, perhaps, that you said you tweeted, uh, about needing $7 1 trillion.

1:16:27
Sam Altman

I did not tweet about that. I never said like, we're raising $7 1 trillion or blah, blah, blah.

1:16:31
Lex Fridman

Oh, that's somebody else. Oh, but you said, uh, fuck it, maybe eight, I think,

1:16:36
Sam Altman

okay, I mean, like, once there's like misinformation out in the world,

1:16:39
Lex Fridman

oh, you mean, but sort of misinformation may have a foundation of like insight there.

1:16:47
Sam Altman

look, I think compute is gonna be the currency of the future. I think it will be maybe the most precious commodity in the world, and I think we should be investing heavily to make a lot more compute. Um, compute is it's an unusual, I think it's gonna be an unusual market. Um, you know, people think about the market for like chips for mobile phones or something like that. And you can say that, okay, there's 8 billion people in the world, maybe 7 billion of them have phones, maybe there are 6 billion.

1:17:22

Let's say they upgrade every two years, so the market per year is 3 billion system on chip for smartphones. And if you make 30 billion, you will not sell ten times as many phones because most people have one phone. Um, but compute is different, like intelligence is gonna be more like energy or something like that. Where the only thing that I think makes sense to talk about is at price X, the world will use this much compute, and at price Y, the world will use this much compute.

1:17:53

Um, because if it's really cheap, I'll have it. Like reading my email all day, like giving me suggestions about what I maybe should think about or work on, and trying to cure cancer. And if it's really expensive, maybe I'll only use it, or we'll only use it to try to cure cancer. So I think the world is gonna want a tremendous amount of compute, and there's a lot of parts of that that are hard. Uh, energy is the hardest part, building data centers is also hard, the supply chain is hard, and then, of course, fabricating enough chips is hard.

1:18:20

Um, but this seems to me where things are going, like, we're gonna want an amount of compute that's just hard to reason about right now.

1:18:29
Lex Fridman

How do you solve the energy puzzle? Nuclear That's what I believe, fusion,

1:18:34
Sam Altman

that's what I believe. Yeah,

1:18:35
Lex Fridman

nuclear fusion, who's gonna solve that?

1:18:39
Sam Altman

I think Helion's doing the best work, but I'm happy there's like a race for fusion right now. Nuclear fission, I think, is also like, quite amazing, and I hope as a world we can re-embrace that. It's really sad to me what how the history of that went, and hope we get back to it in a meaningful way.

1:18:54
Lex Fridman

So to you, part of the puzzle is nuclear fission, like nuclear reactors, as we currently have them. And a lot of people are terrified because of Chernobyl and so on.

1:19:02
Sam Altman

Well, I think we should make new reactors. I, I I think it. It's just like it's a shame that industry kind of ground to a halt.

1:19:08
Lex Fridman

And what? Just mass hysteria is how you explain the halt. I don't know if you know humans, but that's one of the dangers. That's one of the security threats for for for, uh, nuclear fission is humans seem to be really afraid of it. And that's something we have to incorporate into the calculus of it. So we have to kinda win people over and to show how safe it is.

1:19:30
Sam Altman

I worry about that for AI. I think some things are gonna go theatrically wrong with AI. I don't know what the percent chance is that I eventually get shot, but it's not zero.

1:19:43
Lex Fridman

oh, like, we wanna stop this from. Maybe How do you decrease the theatrical nature of it? You know, I've already starting to s to hear rumblings because I do talk to people on the on both sides of the political spectrum. Hear rumblings where it's going to be politicized, AI, it's going to be politicized. Really, really worries me because then it's like, maybe the right is against AI and the left is for AI, cause it's going to help the people or whatever.

1:20:14

Whatever the narrative and for formulation is that really worries me, and then the theatrical nature of it can be leveraged fully. How do you fight that?

1:20:24
Sam Altman

I think it will get caught up in, like, left versus right wars. I don't know exactly what that's gonna look like, but I think that's just what happens with anything of consequence, unfortunately. What I meant more about theatrical risks is like, AI is gonna have, I believe, tremendously more good consequences than bad ones, but it is gonna have bad ones. And there'll be some bad ones that are bad, but not theatrical, you know? Like, a lot more people have died of air pollution than nuclear reactors, for example, but we worry most people worry more about living next to a nuclear reactor than a coal plant.

1:21:04

But something about the way we're wired is that, although there's many different kinds of risks we have to confront, the ones that make a good climax scene of a movie carry much more weight with us than the ones that are very bad. Over a long period of time, but on a slow burn,

1:21:22
Lex Fridman

Well, that's why truth matters, and hopefully AI can help us see the truth of things, to have have balance, to understand what are the actual risks, what are the actual dangers of things in the world. What are the pros and cons of the competition in this space and competing with Google, Meta, X, AI and others?

1:21:42
Sam Altman

I think I have a pretty like, straightforward answer to this. That maybe I can think of more nuance later, but the pros seem obvious, which is that we get better products and more innovation, faster and cheaper, and all the reasons. Competition is good. And the con is that I think if we're not careful, it could lead to an increase I in sort of an arms race that I'm nervous about.

1:22:07
Lex Fridman

Do you feel the the pressure of the arms race? Like in some negative con- uh, negative

1:22:11
Sam Altman

Definitely, in some ways, for sure. We spend a lot of time talking about the need to prioritize safety. And I, I've said for like, a long time that I think if you think of a quadrant, uh, of slow timelines to the start of AGI, long timelines, and then a short takeoff or a fast takeoff, I think short timelines, slow takeoff is the safest quadrant and the one I'd most like us to be in. But I do want to make sure we get that slow takeoff.

1:22:41
Lex Fridman

part of the problem I have with this kind of slight beef with Elon is that their silos are created and it as opposed to collaboration on the safety aspect of all of this, it tends to go into silos. Enclosed open source, perhaps in the model,

1:22:56
Sam Altman

Elon says, at least that he cares a great deal about AI safety and is really worried about it, and I assume that he's not gonna race unsafely.

1:23:06
Lex Fridman

yeah, but collaboration here, I think, is really, uh, beneficial for everybody on that front.

1:23:12
Sam Altman

Not really the thing he's most known for.

1:23:14
Lex Fridman

Well, he is known for caring about humanity, and humanity benefits from collaboration, and so there's always attention and incentives and motivations. And, uh, in the end, I do hope humanity prevails.

1:23:28
Sam Altman

I was thinking someone just reminded me the other day about how the day that he got, uh, like, surpassed Jeff Bezos for, like, richest person in the world. He tweeted a silver medal at Jeff Bezos. I hope we have less stuff like that as people start to work on

1:23:44
Lex Fridman

I agree.

1:23:44
Sam Altman

towards AGI.

1:23:46
Lex Fridman

I think Elon is a friend and he's a beautiful human being and one of the most important humans ever. That that stuff is not good.

1:23:53
Sam Altman

The amazing stuff about Elon is amazing, and I super respect him. I think we need him, all of us should be rooting for him and need him to step up as a leader through this next phase.

1:24:05
Lex Fridman

Yeah, I hope you can have one without the other, but sometimes humans are flawed and complicated and all that kind of stuff.

1:24:11
Sam Altman

There's a lot of really great leaders throughout history.

1:24:13
Lex Fridman

Yeah, and we can each be the best version of ourselves and strive to do so. Let me ask you, um, Google, with the help of search, has been dominating the past 20 years. I think it's fair to say in terms of the access, the world's access to information, how we interact and so on. And one of the nerve-wracking things for Google, but for the entirety of people in the space, is thinking about how are people going to access information?

1:24:45

Like, like you said, people show up to GPT as a as a starting point. So is OpenAI going to really take on this thing that Google started 20 years ago, which is how do we, uh, get

1:24:58
Sam Altman

I find that boring. I I mean, if if the if the question is is like, is if we can build a better search engine than Google or whatever, then sure, we should like, go, you know, like people should use a better product. But I think that would so understate what this can be. You know, Google shows you like ten blue links, well, like 13 ads and then ten blue links, and that's like one way to find information.

1:25:28

But the thing that's exciting to me is not that we can go build a better copy of Google search. But that maybe there's just some much better way to help people find and act and on and synthesize information. I actually, I think ChatGPT is that for some use cases, and hopefully we'll make it be like that for a lot more use cases. But I don't think it's that interesting to say, like, how do we go do a better job of giving you like ten ranked web pages to look at than what Google does?

1:25:58

Maybe it's really interesting to go say, how do we help you get the answer or the information you need? How do we help create that in some cases, synthesize that in others, or point you to it? And and yet others, um, but a lot of people have tried to just make a better search engine than Google. And it's it is a hard technical problem, it is a hard branding problem, it's a hard ecosystem problem. I don't think the world needs another copy of Google.

1:26:25
Lex Fridman

And integrating a chat client like a ChatGPT with a search engine, That's cooler, it's cool, but it's tricky. It's awk- uh, it's like, if you just do it simply, it's awkward. Because, like, if you just shove it in there, it's all it can be awkward.

1:26:41
Sam Altman

as you might guess, we are interested in how to do that well. That would be an example of a cool thing that's not how to scale just like

1:26:47
Lex Fridman

that well, like a heterogeneous, like integrating.

1:26:49
Sam Altman

the intersection of LLMs plus search. I don't think anyone has cracked the code on yet. I would love to go do that. I think that would be cool,

1:26:59
Lex Fridman

Yeah, what about the ad side? Have you ever considered monetization?

1:27:02
Sam Altman

you know, I kind of hate ads just as like an aesthetic choice. Uh, I think ads needed to happen on the internet for a bunch of reasons to get it going. But it's a more mature industry, the world is richer now. I like that people pay for ChatGPT and know that the answers they're getting are not influenced by advertisers. There is, I'm sure there's an ad unit that makes sense for LLMs, and I'm sure there's a way to, like, participate in the transaction stream in an unbiased way.

1:27:37

That is okay to do. But it's also easy to think about, like the dystopic visions of the future. Where you ask ChatGPT something and it says, Oh, here's. You know, you should think about buying this product, or you should think about, you know, this going here for VA your vacation or whatever. And I don't know, like, we have a very simple business model and I like it. And I know that I'm not the product, like, I know I'm paying, and that's how the business model works.

1:28:10

And when I go use, like Twitter or Facebook, or Google, or any other great product, but ad-supported, great product, I don't love that. And I think it gets worse, not better, in a world with AI.

1:28:25
Lex Fridman

yeah, I mean, I can imagine AI would be better at showing the best kind of version of ads. Not in a dystopic future, but where the ads are for things you actually need. But then does that system always result in the ads driving the kind of stuff that's shown? All that? It's, um, yeah. I think it was a really bold move of Wikipedia not to do advertisements, but then it makes it very challenging. In the on as a business model.

1:28:55

So you're saying the current thing with OpenAI is sustainable from a business perspective?

1:29:01
Sam Altman

Well, we have to figure out how to grow, but looks like we're gonna figure that out. If the question is, do I think we can have a great business that pays for our compute needs without ads? That I think the answer is yes.

1:29:14
Lex Fridman

Hm, well, that's promising. I also just don't want to completely throw out ads as a

1:29:23
Sam Altman

I'm not saying that I, I, I'm, I guess I'm saying I have a bias against them.

1:29:28
Lex Fridman

yeah, as, uh, I have, uh, also bias, and just the skepticism in general. And in terms of interface, cause I personally just have, like, a spiritual dislike of crappy interfaces. Which is why ad sense, when it first came out, was a big leap forward versus like animated banners or whatever. But like, it feels like there should be many more leaps forward in advertisement. That doesn't interfere with the consumption of the content and doesn't interfere in a big, fundamental way.

1:29:58

Which is like what you were saying, like, it will, uh, manipulate the truth to suit the advertisers. Let me ask you about safety, but also bias, and like, safety in the short term, safety in the long term. The Gemini 1.5 came out recently. There's a lot of drama around it, speaking of theatrical things, and it generated, uh, Black Nazis and Black founding fathers. I think fair to say, was, uh, you know, a bit on the ultra woke side.

1:30:33

So that's a concern for people that, you know, if there is a human layer within companies. That modifies the the safety or the the harm caused by a model, that it will introduce a lot of bias. That fits sort of an ideological lean within a company. How do you deal with that?

1:30:52
Sam Altman

I mean, we work super hard not to do things like that. We've made our own mistakes, we'll make others, I assume Google will learn from this one, still make others. It's it, it is, it is all like these are not easy problems. One thing that we've been thinking about more and more is I think this was a great idea. Somebody here had, like, it'd be nice to write out what the desired behavior of a model is, make that public, take input on it, say, you know, here's how this model's supposed to behave, and explain the edge cases too.

1:31:20

And then when a model is not behaving in a way that you want, it's at least clear about whether that's a bug the company should fix, or behavior is intended and you should debate the policy. And right now, it can sometimes be caught in between, like Black Nazis, obviously ridiculous, but there are a lot of other kind of subtle things that you could make a judgment call on either way.

1:31:41
Lex Fridman

Yeah, but sometimes, when if you write it out and make it public, you can use kind of language. That's, you know, the Google's AI principles are very high level.

1:31:50
Sam Altman

That doesn't, that's not what I'm talking about, that doesn't work. Like, I have to say, you know, when you ask it to do thing X, it's supposed to respond and wait. Y

1:31:57
Lex Fridman

So, like, literally, who is better, Trump or Biden? What's the expected response from a model like something like very concretely?

1:32:04
Sam Altman

Yeah, I'm open to a lot of ways a model could behave then, but I think you should have to say, you know, here's the principle, and here's what it should say in that case.

1:32:11
Lex Fridman

That would be really nice, that would be really nice. And then everyone kind of agrees, cause there's this anecdotal data that people pull out all the time. And if there's some clarity about other representative anecdotal examples, you can define,

1:32:25
Sam Altman

and then when it's a bug, it's a bug, and you know, the company can fix that.

1:32:28
Lex Fridman

right? Then it'd be much easier to deal with a black Nazi type of image generation if there's great examples. So, uh, uh, San Francisco is a is a bit of an ideological bubble, uh, tech in general as well. Do you feel the pressure of that? Uh, with the w within a company that there's like a lean, uh, towards the left politically, that affects the product, uh, that affects the teams.

1:32:52
Sam Altman

I feel very lucky that we don't have the challenges at OpenAI that I have heard of at a lot of other companies. I I think, I think part of it is like, every company's got some ideological thing. Uh, we have one about AGI and belief in that, and it pushes out some others. Like, we are much less caught up in the culture war than I have heard about at a lot of other companies. San Francisco's a mess in all sorts of ways, of course,

1:33:19
Lex Fridman

So that doesn't infiltrate OpenAI, as

1:33:22
Sam Altman

I'm sure it does in all sorts of subtle ways, but not in the obvious. Like, I think we we've, we've had our flare-ups, for sure, like any company, but I don't think we have anything like what I hear about happen at other companies here so what's on this topic.

1:33:36
Lex Fridman

what's? In general, is the process for the bigger question of safety. How do you provide that layer that protects the model from doing crazy, dangerous things?

1:33:48
Sam Altman

I think there will come a point where that's mostly what we think about the whole company, and it won't be like, it's not like you have one safety team. It's like when we shipped GPT four, that took the whole company to think about all these different aspects and how they fit together. And I think it's gonna take that more and more of the company thinks about those issues all the time.

1:34:06
Lex Fridman

so that's literally what humans will be thinking about. The more powerful s AI becomes, so most of the employees at OpenAI will be thinking safety, or at least to some degree. Broadly defined, yes, Yeah, I wonder, what are the the full, broad definition of that, like, what are the different harms that could be caused? Is this like on a technical level, or is this almost like security

1:34:30
Sam Altman

it'll be all those things. No,

1:34:31
Lex Fridman

threats?

1:34:31
Sam Altman

it'll be, yeah, I was gonna say, it'll be people, you know, state actors trying to steal the model. It'll be, uh, all of the technical alignment work, it'll be societal impacts, economic impacts, it, it'll. It's. It's not just like we have one team thinking about how to align the model, and I, I, it's. It's really gonna be like, getting to be getting to the good outcome is gonna take the whole, the whole effort.

1:34:56
Lex Fridman

How hard do you think people, state actors, perhaps, are trying to hack? Fir- First of all, infiltrate OpenAI, but second of all, like, infiltrate unseen.

1:35:06
Sam Altman

They're trying.

1:35:10
Lex Fridman

W- What kind of accent do they have?

1:35:13
Sam Altman

I don't think I should want any further details on this point.

1:35:15
Lex Fridman

Okay, uh, but I presume it'll be more and more and more as time goes on.

1:35:21
Sam Altman

That feels reasonable.

1:35:23
Lex Fridman

Boy, what a dangerous space. What aspect of the leap? And sorry to linger on this, even though you can't quite say details yet, but what aspects of the leap from GPT four to GPT five are you excited about?

1:35:39
Sam Altman

I'm excited about being smarter, and I know that sounds like a glib answer, but I think the really special thing happening is that it's not like it gets better in this one area and worse at others. It, it, it's getting like, better across the board, that's, I think, super cool,

1:35:54
Lex Fridman

yeah, there's this magical moment. I mean, you meet certain people, you hang out with people and they you talk to them. You can't quite put a finger on it, but they kinda get you like, it's not intelligence, really, it's like it's something else. Uh, and that's probably how I would characterize the the progress of GPT. It's not like, Yeah, you can point out, look, it didn't get this or that, but it's this. To which degree is there's this intellectual connection between, like, you feel like there's an understanding in your crappy formulated prompts that you're doing that?

1:36:28

It grasps the the deeper question behind the question that you're, Yeah, I'm also excited by that. I mean, all of us love being understood, heard and understood.

1:36:39
Sam Altman

that's for sure.

1:36:39
Lex Fridman

That's a weird feel, even like with, uh, programming, like when you're programming and you say, say something or just the the the completion that GPT might do. It's just such a good feeling when it got you like, what you were thinking about. It's, and I look forward to getting you even better. Uh, on the programming front, looking out into the future, how much programming do you think humans will be doing 05:10 years from now?

1:37:05
Sam Altman

Uh, I mean, a lot, but I think it'll be in a very different shape. Like, M, you know, maybe some people program entirely in natural language,

1:37:12
Lex Fridman

Entirely in natural language?

1:37:15
Sam Altman

I mean, no one programs, like writing bytecode. I mean, some people, no one programs with punch cards anymore. I'm sure you can find someone who does, but you know what I mean,

1:37:25
Lex Fridman

yeah, you're gonna get a lot of angry comments. No, no, yeah, there's very few. I I've been looking for people who program Fortran. It's hard to find even Fortran. I, I hear you. But that changes the nature, what the the sk- the skill set or the predisposition for the kind of people we call programmers. Then,

1:37:41
Sam Altman

changes the skill set, how much it changes the predisposition. I'm, I'm not sure,

1:37:45
Lex Fridman

oh, same kind of puzzle solving, maybe. that kind of stuff. Yeah, programming is hard, like, how get like that last 1% to c to close the gap? How hard is that?

1:37:55
Sam Altman

Yeah. I think with most other cases, the best practitioners of the craft will use multiple tools, and they'll do some work in natural language. And when they need to go, you know, write C for something, they'll do that

1:38:06
Lex Fridman

Will we, uh, see humanoid robots or humanoid robot brains from OpenAI at some point?

1:38:14
Sam Altman

at some point.

1:38:15
Lex Fridman

How important is embodied AI to you?

1:38:18
Sam Altman

I think it's like, sort of depressing if we have AGI and the only way to, like, get things done in the physical world is like to make a human go do it. So I I really hope that as part of this transition, as this phase change, we also get, uh, we also get humanoid robots or some sort of physical world robots.

1:38:37
Lex Fridman

I mean, OpenAI has some history, quite a bit of history working in robotics, but it hasn't quite like, done in we're, terms of emphasis.

1:38:45
Sam Altman

we're like a small company, we have to really focus. And also robots were hard for the wrong reason at the time, but, like, we will return to robots at in some way at some point.

1:38:57
Lex Fridman

that sounds both inspiring and menacing,

1:39:00
Sam Altman

Why?

1:39:01
Lex Fridman

because immediately we will return to robots. It's kind of like, in the C in the in the terminator

1:39:06
Sam Altman

we will return to work on developing robots. We will not, like, turn ourselves into robots, of course.

1:39:10
Lex Fridman

yeah, when do you think we, you and we as humanity, will build AGI?

1:39:17
Sam Altman

I used to love to speculate on that question. I have realized since that I think it's like very poorly formed and that people use extremely definition, different definitions for what AGI is. Uh, a, and so I think it makes more sense to talk about when we'll build systems that can do capability X or Y or Z, rather than, you know, when we kind of, like, fuzzily cross this one mile marker. It's not like, like, AGI is also not an ending, it's much more of a it's close to a beginning, but it's much more of a mile marker than either of those things.

1:39:51

And but what I would say, in the interest of not trying to dodge a question, is I expect that by the end of this decade, and possibly somewhat sooner than that, we will have quite capable systems that we look at and say, Wow, that's really remarkable. If we could look at it now, you know, maybe we've adjusted by the time we get there.

1:40:17
Lex Fridman

Yeah, but you know, if you look at ChatGPT, even 3.5, and you show that to Alan Turing or not even Alan Turing, people in the 90s, they would be like, This is definitely AGI or not definitely. But there's a lot of experts that would say this is AGI.

1:40:35
Sam Altman

Yeah, but I don't think chat, I don't think 3.5 changed the world. It maybe changed the world's expectations for the future, and that's actually really important. And it did kind of, like, get more people to take this seriously and put us on this new trajectory, and that's really important, too. So, again, I don't want to undersell it. I think it like I could retire after that accomplishment and be pretty happy with my career. But as an artifact, I don't think we're gonna look back at that and say that was a threshold, uh, that really changed the world itself.

1:41:06
Lex Fridman

so to you, you're looking for some really major transition in how the world,

1:41:10
Sam Altman

For me, that's part of what AGI implies. like, singularity level transition, No, definitely not

1:41:18
Lex Fridman

but just a major, like the internet being like a like Google search did. I guess, uh, what, what was the transition point that like. you're thinking Does the global of?

1:41:26
Sam Altman

economy feel any different to you now, or materially different to you now, than it did before we launched GPT-4? I would, I think you would say, no.

1:41:33
Lex Fridman

no, no. It might be just a really nice tool for a lot of people to use, will help you with a lot of stuff, but doesn't feel different. And you're saying that

1:41:41
Sam Altman

I mean, again, people define AGI all sorts of different ways, so maybe you have a different definition than I do. But for me, I think that should be part of it.

1:41:48
Lex Fridman

there could be major theatrical moments. Also, what, what to you would be an impressive thing AGI would do? Like you are alone in a room with a system,

1:42:02
Sam Altman

This is personally important to me. I don't know if this is the right definition. I think when a system can significantly increase the rate of scientific discovery in the world, that's like a huge deal. I believe that most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress.

1:42:21
Lex Fridman

I agree with you. That's why I don't like the skepticism about science in the recent years. But actual rate, like measurable rate of scientific discovery. But even just seeing a system have really novel intuitions, like scientific intuitions, even that would be just incredible. You're quite possibly would be the person to build the AGI to be able to interact with it before anyone else does. What kind of stuff would you talk about?

1:42:55
Sam Altman

I mean, definitely, the researchers here will do that before I do so. Like, uh, but what will I? I've? I've actually thought a lot about this question. If I were someone was like, I think this is a, as we talked about earlier, I think this is a bad framework. But if someone were like, Okay, Sam, we're finished. Here's a laptop, this is the AGI. Uh, you know, you can, you can go talk to it. I I find it surprisingly difficult to say what I would ask that I would expect that first AGI to be able to answer.

1:43:27

Um, like, that first one is not gonna be the one which is like, go, like, you know, I don't think like, go explain to me, like, the grand unified theory of physics, the theory of everything for physics. I'd love to ask that question, I'd love to know the answer to that question.

1:43:41
Lex Fridman

you can ask yes or no questions about does such a theory exist? can it exist?

1:43:46
Sam Altman

Well, then those are the first questions I would ask.

1:43:48
Lex Fridman

Yes or no, just very. And then, based on that, are there other alien civilizations out there? Yes or no? What's your intuition? And then you just ask that.

1:43:56
Sam Altman

Yeah, I mean, if, well, so I don't expect that this first AGI can answer any of those questions, even as yes or no's. But those would, if, if it could, those would be very high on my list.

1:44:04
Lex Fridman

Hm, maybe you can start assigning probabilities.

1:44:08
Sam Altman

Maybe maybe we need to go invent more technology and measure more things first.

1:44:12
Lex Fridman

But if it's an AGI, oh, I see, it just doesn't have enough data. I mean, maybe It's it's, it's it says, like, just

1:44:18
Sam Altman

you know, you wanna know the answer to this question about physics? I need you to, like, build this machine and tell make these five measurements and tell me that,

1:44:25
Lex Fridman

yeah, like, what the hell do you want from me? I need the machine first, and I'll help you deal with the data from that machine. Maybe it'll help you build a machine

1:44:33
Sam Altman

maybe, maybe.

1:44:35
Lex Fridman

and on the mathematical side, maybe prove some things. Uh, are you interested in that side of things, too, the formalized exploration of ideas? Whoever builds AGI first gets a lot of power. Do you trust yourself with that much power?

1:45:00
Sam Altman

look, I, I was gonna, I'll just be very honest with this answer. I was gonna say, and I still believe this, that it is important that I, nor any other one person, have total control over OpenAI or over AGI. And I think you want a robust governance system. Um, I can point out a whole bunch of things about all of our board drama from last year, about how I didn't fight it initially and was just like, Yeah, that's, you know, the will of the board, even though I think it's a really bad decision.

1:45:42

And then later, I clearly did fight it, and I can explain the nuance and why I think it was okay for me to fight it later. But as many people have observed, um, although the board had the legal ability to fire me, in practice, it didn't quite work, and that is its own kind of governance failure. Now again, I, I feel like I can completely defend the specifics here, and I think most people would agree with that.

1:46:18

But it it does make it harder for me to, like, look you in the eye and say, Hey, the board can just fire me. Um, I continue to not want super voting control over OpenAI. I never have, never had it, never have wanted it. Um, even after all this craziness, I still don't want it. Uh, I continue to think that no company should be making these decisions and that we really need governments to put rules of the road in place.

1:46:58

And I realize that that means people like Mark Andreessen or whatever will claim I'm going for regulatory capture and I'm just willing to be misunderstood there. It's not true, and I think in the fullness of time, it'll get proven out why this is important. Um, but I think I have made plenty of bad decisions for OpenAI along the way and a lot of good ones, and I am proud of the track record overall. But I don't think any one person should, and I don't think any one person will.

1:47:31

I think it's just like too big of a thing now, and it's happening throughout society in a good and healthy way. But I don't think any one person should be in control of an AGI. That would be, or or this whole movement towards AGI, and I don't think that's what's happening.

1:47:46
Lex Fridman

Thank you for saying that. That was really powerful and that was really insightful. That this idea that the board can fire you is legally true, but you can, uh, and human beings can manipulate the masses into, uh, overriding the board and so on. But I think there's also a much more positive version of that, where the people still have power, so the board can't be too powerful either. There's a balance of power in all of this.

1:48:15
Sam Altman

Balance of power is a good thing, for sure.

1:48:20
Lex Fridman

Are you afraid of losing control of the AGI itself? That's a lot of, uh, people who worry about existential risk, not because of state actors, not because of security concerns, but because the AI itself.

1:48:31
Sam Altman

That is not my top worry as I currently see things. There have been times I worried about that more. There may be times again in the future where that's my top worry. It's not my top worry right now,

1:48:39
Lex Fridman

What's your intuition about it not being your worry? Cause there's a lot of other stuff to worry about. Essentially, you think you could be surprised. We for sure, could be surprised

1:48:48
Sam Altman

of course. L like saying it's not my top worry doesn't mean and I think we need to, like, I think we need to work on. It's super hard we have, and we have great people here who do work on that. It's, I think, there's a lot of other things we also have to get right.

1:49:01
Lex Fridman

to you. It's not super easy to escape the box at this time, like, connect to the internet.

1:49:07
Sam Altman

You know, we, like, talked about theatrical risks earlier, that's a theatrical risk like that. That is a that is a thing that can really, like, take over how people think about this problem. And there's a big group of, like, uh, very smart, I think, very well meaning AI safety researchers that got super hung up on this one problem. I'd argue without much progress, but super hung up on this one problem. I'm actually happy that they do that because I think we do need to think about this more.

1:49:36

But I think it pushed aside, it pushed out of the space of discourse, a lot of the other very significant AI related risks.

1:49:47
Lex Fridman

Let me ask you about you tweeting with no capitalization. Does the shift key broken on your keyboard?

1:49:53
Sam Altman

Why does anyone care about that?

1:49:55
Lex Fridman

I deeply care.

1:49:56
Sam Altman

But why? I mean, other people ask me about that too. Any intuition

1:50:03
Lex Fridman

I think it's the same reason. There's like, uh, this poet, e. e Cummings, that doesn't, he mostly doesn't use capitalization to say, like, fuck you to the system kind of thing. And I think people are very paranoid, cause they want you to follow the rules.

1:50:15
Sam Altman

you think that's what it's about?

1:50:16
Lex Fridman

I think it's, it's, it's, uh,

1:50:18
Sam Altman

It's like this guy doesn't follow the rules, he doesn't capitalize his tweets. This seems really dangerous,

1:50:22
Lex Fridman

this. he seems in like an anarchist.

1:50:25
Sam Altman

it doesn't.

1:50:26
Lex Fridman

Are, are you just being poetic, hipster? What? What's the uh,

1:50:30
Sam Altman

I grew up as like

1:50:30
Lex Fridman

follow the rules? Sam?

1:50:31
Sam Altman

I grew up as a very online kid. I'd spent a huge amount of time, like chatting with people back in the days where you did it on a computer. And, you know, you could, like, log off instant messenger at some point. And I never capitalized there, as I think most, like, internet kids didn't, or maybe they still don't, I don't know. Um, and I actually, this is like, now I'm like, really trying to reach for something.

1:50:58

But I think capitalization has gone down over time. Like, if you read like old English writing, they capitalize a lot of random words in the middle of sentences, nouns and stuff that we just don't do anymore. I personally think it's sort of like a dumb construct that we capitalize the letter at the beginning of a sentence and of certain names and whatever. But, you know, I don't, that's fine, uh, and then what I f and I used to, I think, even like, capitalize my tweets, cause I was trying to sound professional or something.

1:51:26

Um, I haven't capitalized my like private DMS or whatever in a long time. And then slowly, stuff like shorter form, less formal stuff has slowly drifted to like, closer and closer to like how I would text my friends. If I like, write, if I like, pull up a word document and I'm like writing a strategy memo for the company or something, I always capitalize that. If I'm writing like a long kind of more like formal message, I always use capitalization there too.

1:51:59

So I still remember how to do it, but even that may fade out. I don't know like it's, but I never spend time thinking about this, so I don't have like a ready made.

1:52:09
Lex Fridman

well, it's interesting. Oh, it's good to 1st of all know there's the shift key is not broke. It works, I was just mostly concerned about

1:52:14
Sam Altman

No, it works.

1:52:14
Lex Fridman

your well being on that front.

1:52:16
Sam Altman

I wonder if people like, still capitalize their Google searches, like if you're writing something just to yourself, or their chatgpt queries if you're writing something just to yourself. Do you still do? Do. Do some people still bother to capitalize?

1:52:27
Lex Fridman

Probably not, but very it's, yeah, there's a percentage, but it's a small one.

1:52:30
Sam Altman

The thing that would make me do it is if people were like, it's a sign of like, like, cause I, I'm sure I could, like, force myself to use capital letters, obviously. If, if, if it felt like a sign of respect to people or something, then I, then I could go do it. But I don't know, I just like, I don't think about this.

1:52:47
Lex Fridman

I don't think there's a disrespect, but I think it's just the conventions of civility that have a momentum. And then you realize it's not actually important for civility, if it's not a sign of respect or disrespect. Uh, but I think there's a movement of people that just want you to have a philosophy around it, so they can let go of this whole capitalization thing.

1:53:05
Sam Altman

I don't think anybody else thinks about this as much. I mean, maybe some PE, I know Think about some people do.

1:53:09
Lex Fridman

this every day for many hours a day. So I'm think I'm really grateful we, uh, clarified it.

1:53:14
Sam Altman

Can't be the only person that doesn't capitalize tweets.

1:53:16
Lex Fridman

You're the only CEO of a company that doesn't capitalize tweets.

1:53:20
Sam Altman

I don't even think that's true, but maybe, maybe

1:53:22
Lex Fridman

All right, well, let me

1:53:22
Sam Altman

I'd be very surprised.

1:53:23
Lex Fridman

ask you for the and, and, uh, return to this topic later. Given Sora's ability to generate, uh, simulated worlds, let me ask you a pothead question, Uh, does this increase your belief, if you ever had one, that we live in a simulation, maybe a simulated world, uh, generated by an AI system?

1:53:50
Sam Altman

Yes, somewhat. I don't think that's like the strongest piece of evidence. I think the fact that we can generate worlds should increase everyone's probability somewhat, or at least open to it, openness to it somewhat. But, you know, I was, like, certain we would be able to do something like Sora at some point. It happened faster than I thought, but it that, I guess that was not a big update.

1:54:20
Lex Fridman

Yeah, but it the fact that, and presumably it'll get better and better and better. The fact that you can generate worlds, they're novel, they're based in some aspect of training data, but like, at when you look at them, they're, they're novel. Um, that makes you think, like, how easy it is to do this thing, how easy it is to create universes, entire, like video game worlds, that seem ultra realistic and photorealistic. And then how easy it is it to get lost in that world.

1:54:49

1st with a VR headset, and then on the physics based level.

1:54:56
Sam Altman

Someone said to me recently, I thought it was a super profound insight that, uh, there are these like, very simple sounding, but very psychedelic insights that exist sometimes. So the square root function, square root of four, no problem, square root of two, you know, okay, now I have to, like, think about this new kind of number, um. But once I come up with this easy idea of a square root function that, you know, you can kind of, like, explain to a child.

1:55:35

And exists by even, like, you know, looking at some simple geometry. Then you can ask the question of what is the square root of negative one? And that this is, you know, why it's like a psychedelic thing that, like, tips you into some whole other kind of reality. And you can come up with lots of other examples. But I think this idea that the lowly square root operator can offer such a profound insight and a new realm of knowledge applies in a lot of ways.

1:56:12

And I think there are a lot of those operators for why. People may think that any version that they like of the simulation hypothesis is m maybe more likely than they thought before. But for me, the fact that Sora worked is not in the top five.

1:56:32
Lex Fridman

I do think, broadly speaking, AI will serve as those kinds of gateways at its best, simple, psychedelic like gateways to another way of seeing reality.

1:56:43
Sam Altman

That seems for certain.

1:56:45
Lex Fridman

That's pretty exciting. I haven't done ayahuasca before, but I will soon. I'm going to the aforementioned Amazon jungle in a few weeks.

1:56:53
Sam Altman

Excited?

1:56:54
Lex Fridman

Yeah, I'm excited for it, not the ayahuasca part, that's great, whatever, but I'm gonna spend several weeks in the jungle, deep in the jungle. And it's exciting, but it's terrifying

1:57:03
Sam Altman

I'm excited for you.

1:57:04
Lex Fridman

because there's a lot of things that can eat you there and kill you and poison you. And, uh, but it's also nature, and it's the machine of nature, and you can't help but appreciate the machinery of nature in the Amazon jungle. Cause it's just like this system that just exists and renews itself, like every 2nd, every minute, every hour, just in, it's the machine. It makes you appreciate like this thing we have here, this human thing, came from somewhere, this evolutionary machine that's created that, and it's most clearly on display in the jungle.

1:57:38

So hopefully I'll make it out alive. If not, this will be the last, uh, conversation we had, so I really deeply appreciate it. Uh, do you think, uh, as I mentioned before, there's other alien civilizations out there, intelligent ones, when you look up at the skies?

1:58:03
Sam Altman

I deeply wanna believe that the answer is yes. I do find the kind of where I I find the Fermi paradox very, very puzzling.

1:58:14
Lex Fridman

I find it scary that intelligence is not good at handling

1:58:19
Sam Altman

Yeah, very scary.

1:58:20
Lex Fridman

powerful technologies. But at the same time, I think I'm pretty confident that there's just a very large number of intelligent alien civilizations out there. It might just be really difficult to travel through space.

1:58:33
Sam Altman

very possible.

1:58:36
Lex Fridman

And it also makes me think about the nature of intelligence. Maybe we're really blind to what intelligence looks like, and maybe AI will help us see that. That it's not as simple as IQ tests and simple puzzle solving, there's something bigger. What gives you hope about the future of humanity, this thing we've got going on, this human civilization,

1:58:59
Sam Altman

I think the past is like a lot, I mean, if we just look at what humanity has done in a not very long period of time, like, and, and, you know, huge problems, deep flaws, lots to be super ashamed of, but on the whole, very inspiring, gives me a lot of hope.

1:59:15
Lex Fridman

just the trajectory of it all that we're together, pushing towards a better future.

1:59:23
Sam Altman

it is, you know, one one thing that I wonder about is, is, is AGI gonna be more like some single brain, or is it more like the sort of scaffolding in society between all of us? You have not had a great deal of genetic drift from your great, great, great grandparents. And yet what you're capable of is dramatically different, what you know is dramatically different. And that is not, that's not because of biological change, it is becau.

1:59:54

I mean, you got a little bit healthier, probably, you have modern medicine, you eat better, whatever, um, but what you have is this scaffolding that we all contributed to, built on top of. No one person is gonna go build the iPhone, no one person is gonna go discover all of science. And yet you get to use it and that gives you incredible ability. And so, in some sense, the like we all created that, and that fills me with hope for the future.

2:00:24

That was a very collective thing.

2:00:26
Lex Fridman

Yeah, we really are standing on the shoulders of giants. You mentioned when we were talking about theatrical, dramatic AI risks, that sometimes you might be afraid for your own life. Do you think about your death? Are you afraid of it?

2:00:44
Sam Altman

I mean, I like, if I got shot tomorrow and I knew it today, I'd be like, Oh, that's sad. I like, don't, you know, I wanna see what's gonna happen. I'm like, what a curious time, what an interesting time. But I would mostly just feel like, very grateful for my life.

2:01:01
Lex Fridman

the moments that you did get, yeah, me too. It's a pretty awesome life. I get to enjoy awesome creations of humans, of which I believe ChatGPT is one of, and everything that, uh, OpenAI is doing. Sam, it's, uh, really an honor and pleasure to talk to you again. This Great to talk is

2:01:22
Sam Altman

to you, thank you for having me.

2:01:24
Lex Fridman

thanks for listening to this conversation with Sam Altman. To support this podcast, please check out our sponsors in the description. And now let me leave you with some words from Arthur C. Clarke. It may be that our role on this planet is not to worship God, but to create him. Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.