In brief
Former Attorney General Eric Holder argues that the Trump administration is preparing to cast doubt on the 2026 midterms, using the Justice Department, Homeland Security and the FBI. He says the main aim is to frighten voters and cast doubt on the results, not to find real fraud. His answer is preparation: court filings drafted in advance, war-game exercises, early voting and large turnout.
The central tension is between real alarm and calm reassurance. Holder says Democrats must warn voters about what is coming without scaring them off. He calls the agencies' moves ham-handed but says they could still stumble into something effective. The second half turns to gerrymandering, which he says Democrats beat back through lawsuits and protests. He expects the fight to continue into 2027 and 2028.
Facts
Stated by the speakers. Each quote matches the transcript, which shows what was said, not that it is true.
Alex Wagner said the Department of Justice is sending about 1,000 election monitors to all 50 states, roughly three times the number sent in the previous midterms.
“the DOJ is sending over one zero zero zero election monitors to all 50 states, which is, I think, three times the number, it's three times the number of watchers it sent out during the last midterms.”
0:38:37 · Alex Wagner · Election monitors · 2026
Alex Wagner said the Department of Homeland Security identified 20,000 likely noncitizen voters in California and another 17,000 voting records possibly tied to noncitizens.
“The Department of Homeland Security identified 20,000 likely non-citizen voters in California and a further 17,000 voting records that are potentially tied to non-citizens.”
0:20:06 · Alex Wagner · Noncitizen voter flags · 2026
Alex Wagner said the Department of Justice is demanding that 20,000 California ballots from flagged voters be separated from other ballots during counting.
“the DOJ is demanding that these 20,000 ballots, once cast, be segregated away from the other ballots once the counting begins.”
0:20:06 · Alex Wagner · Ballot segregation · 2026
Alex Wagner said a federal judge significantly limited what Department of Homeland Security agents can do under the 'unlawful voter initiative', effectively calling it voter intimidation.
“a federal judge significantly limited what DHS agents can do as part of this initiative, basically calling what they're doing voter intimidation.”
0:13:17 · Alex Wagner · DHS court ruling · 2026
Eric Holder said North Carolina's new mail-ballot rules require a sealed inner envelope inside a sealed outer envelope, and ballots are being rejected when the inner one is unsealed.
“if you look at what's happening in North Carolina, where they impose these new strict rules about for mail-in ballots, you know, you have to put your ballot in an envelope, seal it, and then put it in another envelope that actually gets mailed”
0:16:08 · Eric Holder · Mail ballots · 2026
Eric Holder cited the Brennan Center for Justice's finding that a person is more likely to be struck by lightning than to cast a fraudulent in-person ballot.
“the Brennan Center, I think, has that famous thing where they say, you know, you're more likely to be hit by lightning than to cast a an in-person fraudulent ballot.”
0:23:29 · Eric Holder · Voter fraud
Eric Holder said he and Hillary Clinton ran a tabletop exercise at his law firm's office with activist groups and civil society members to rehearse responses to election interference.
“Hillary Clinton and I did, um, did a a a tabletop exercise, um, at my l- uh, my law firm's office with a a whole bunch of activist groups and, um, people in in in civil society.”
0:09:20 · Eric Holder · Election war games · 2026
FBI Director Kash Patel told a Senate hearing that the FBI has an election crimes coordinator in each of its 56 field offices who will be staffed for election matters.
“We have an election crimes community coordinator in all 56 field offices, so you bet we're gonna have them there and manning the post for election interference matters.”
0:36:17 · Speaker 4 · FBI election staffing · 2026
Alex Wagner said former Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard took part in an FBI raid on Fulton County, Georgia, offices in which 2020 ballots were seized.
“Tulsi Gabbard was part of the raid on the Fulton County offices in Georgia, where the FBI seized the 2020 ballots”
0:47:54 · Alex Wagner · Fulton County raid
Alex Wagner said Jay Clayton, now Director of National Intelligence, would say in his confirmation hearing only that Joe Biden was certified as the winner, not that Biden won.
“He said that he had been certified the winner, but wouldn't say he actually won the election.”
0:48:22 · Alex Wagner · Clayton confirmation
Alex Wagner said Dan J. Sullivan, who goes by Dan Sullivan, was among the top four finishers in Alaska's August 18 primary.
“Dan J. Sullivan, who goes by the name Dan Sullivan, was among the top four finishers after the August eighteenth primary.”
0:54:51 · Alex Wagner · Alaska Senate race · 2026
Alex Wagner said the second Dan Sullivan is a retired teacher from Petersburg, Alaska, who won a lawsuit to get onto the Senate ballot.
“this Sullivan is a retired teacher from the island community of Petersburg in Alaska, and he sued for a spot on the ballot and succeeded in that lawsuit”
0:55:27 · Alex Wagner · Alaska Senate race · 2026
Eric Holder said Steve Bannon predicted Republicans' mid-decade redistricting push could gain as many as twenty-one House seats.
“at one point, Steve Bannon was saying, Yeah, we're gonna do this, and we're gonna get as many as twenty-one seats.”
1:00:29 · Eric Holder · Redistricting goals · 2025
Eric Holder estimated that Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering will gain at most five House seats, more likely between zero and two.
“Our best guess now is that they will that their maximum number is five, the I More likely number is between zero and two.”
1:00:29 · Eric Holder · Gerrymandering results · 2026
Eric Holder said Democrats filed successful lawsuits in Missouri and Utah and he discussed California's response to Texas's redistricting with Governor Gavin Newsom.
“we fought back and filed lawsuits that were successful in Missouri and in Utah, um, was on, you know, talking to Governor Newsom about what California might do in response to what Texas did.”
1:01:37 · Eric Holder · Redistricting lawsuits · 2025
Eric Holder said Democrats succeeded in unwinding a gerrymandered map in Michigan.
“we were successful here in unwinding a really bad gerrymander.”
0:02:55 · Eric Holder · Michigan gerrymander
Eric Holder said protests outside the Georgia and South Carolina legislatures led them to back off redistricting that Donald Trump had requested.
“if you look at states like Georgia and South Carolina, protested outside of their state legislatures and those legislatures, which were prepared to do gerrymandering as Trump asked them to do.”
0:44:58 · Eric Holder · Redistricting protests · 2025
Eric Holder predicted Republicans will try more redistricting in 2027, naming Georgia, Texas and Indiana among likely states.
“I'd look at Georgia and Texas, especially next year in 2027, they'll try to go back to Indiana, is my guess”
1:04:40 · Eric Holder · Future redistricting · 2027
Eric Holder said he has led the National Democratic Redistricting Committee since 2017 to raise awareness of gerrymandering's harm.
“I've been at NDRC since 2017 trying to raise people's consciousness about the the pernicious impact of, uh, of gerrymandering on our democracy.”
1:05:38 · Eric Holder · NDRC · 2017
Eric Holder explained that a writ of mandamus is a court order compelling a state official to perform a required duty such as certifying an election.
“which means you go to a court and you tell the you argue with, make your arguments before a court, and have the court order, um, the state official”
0:43:04 · Eric Holder · Writ of mandamus