Topic
7 facts from 3 episodes, in date order. These are what speakers said on the shows, each linked to the moment it was said. They aren't independently verified.
2024
Tamara Keith says some Republican-drawn districts were based on the 2024 Trump electorate, a high point, and that young and Latino voters have since soured on him.
“some of these lines were drawn based on the Trump 2024 electorate, which was a real high watermark. Since then, key pieces of the Trump base have soured on the president, including young voters and Latino voters.”
2024
Tamara Keith says Republican-led states drew new district lines based on Donald Trump's 2024 base and performance, which she calls a high watermark for him.
“These new lines were drawn based on President Trump's 2024 base and his performance in 2024, and that was a real high watermark for the president.”
2026
Using Cook Political Report assessments, Tamara Keith calculates that about two thirds of newly drawn Republican-favoring districts are now competitive toss-ups.
“looks like about two thirds of these districts that, in theory, were supposed to be sure things for the president's party, are now really competitive toss-up races”
2026
Tamara Keith says gas, oil, diesel and fertilizer costs rose sharply because of the Iran conflict, hurting voters' sense of affordability.
“all of that gets vastly more expensive because of the conflict”
2026
Tamara Keith is running a long-term NPR project called Swing Shift, following about a dozen swing voters through the midterms and the next presidential election.
“this is part of a project that I've been working on most of the year called Swing Shift, and it is a long-term project.”
2026
Tamara Keith says many Trump administration election lawsuits were thrown out, and experts call its efforts legally dubious because states control elections.
“the Trump administration has filed a ton of lawsuits that have been thrown out, and election law experts say that pretty much everything that they've tried to do has been dubious legally because states control elections, not the federal government.”
2026
Tamara Keith said the average price of regular gasoline was over $4 a gallon and inflation was rising as the midterms approached.
“The average price of regular gasoline is over $4 a gallon. Inflation is up, people are worried about artificial intelligence and data centers.”
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